AGCO CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2020

AGCO Corporation — Q1 2020 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2020; unaudited. AGCO designs, manufactures and distributes agricultural equipment and related parts through four geographic segments.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ1 2020Q1 2019 / comparison
Net sales$1,928.3 million$1,995.8 million; down 3.4%
Gross profit / margin$450.5 million / 23.4%$456.7 million / 22.9%
Operating income / margin$100.4 million / 5.2%$92.4 million / 4.6%
Net income attributable to AGCO$64.7 million; diluted EPS $0.85$65.1 million; diluted EPS $0.84
Cash from operations$(435.3) million$(329.9) million
Capital expenditures$60.6 million$60.9 million
Cash and cash equivalents$386.7 million at March 31$432.8 million at December 31, 2019

Gross margin improved on pricing, material costs and product mix, partly offset by lower production. Operating income rose with improved margins and cost control. Higher income tax provision ($29.4 million versus $19.4 million) largely offset those gains, leaving net income slightly lower. Foreign-currency translation reduced reported sales by $71.9 million, more than the total year-over-year sales decline.

Working capital was $1,247.9 million, reflecting the business’s seasonal build. Total liquidity at March 31 was $682.7 million: cash of $386.7 million plus $296.0 million available on the revolving facility. The debt-to-capitalization ratio increased to 39.4% from 30.4% at year-end; management said the company was in compliance with debt covenants. The filing reports a $504.0 million revolving-facility balance and $166.2 million of short-term borrowings at quarter-end.

Operating cash outflow increased year over year, reflecting seasonal working-capital needs and COVID-related factory shutdowns, production cuts and supply constraints. Inventory rose to $2,187.5 million from $2,078.7 million at year-end. Comprehensive loss attributable to AGCO was $131.5 million, principally reflecting $209.1 million of foreign-currency translation losses.

Material changes and business trends

  • Sales declined in Europe/Middle East and Asia/Pacific/Africa, with pandemic-related production disruption and currency translation among the factors. North American sales grew 11.2%; South American reported sales declined 1.4%, but increased excluding currency effects.
  • Tractor and combine unit sales fell approximately 8.7%; worldwide average prices were relatively flat. Segment operating income increased in North America, declined in Europe/Middle East and Asia/Pacific/Africa, and South America continued to report an operating loss.
  • At March 31, long-term debt, net of issuance costs and current portion, was $1,669.5 million; short-term borrowings were $166.2 million. A new revolving-facility draw contributed to higher debt versus year-end.
  • AGCO repurchased $55.0 million of shares in Q1 under accelerated repurchase agreements. It subsequently suspended future repurchases until business visibility improves; management said it currently expects to maintain the quarterly dividend.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected COVID-19 to continue to negatively affect sales and production. April factory closures were expected to significantly reduce Q2 sales and earnings; preliminary April sales were approximately 30% below April 2019. Management cautioned that the remainder of 2020 remained highly uncertain and that April’s decline appeared largely production-driven.
  • Most major facilities had resumed operations by the filing date, but full-time production remained uncertain due to component availability, workforce and safety constraints, and government restrictions. Management cited cost-saving measures and active cash-flow and capital management.
  • On April 9, AGCO amended its credit facility to add up to approximately $524.4 million of incremental term loans. On April 15, it borrowed approximately $261.5 million and used approximately $108.7 million to repay revolving borrowings. April 30 liquidity was approximately $967.8 million, including $406.0 million cash and $561.8 million available borrowing capacity. Management’s liquidity confidence was conditional on pandemic impacts not exceeding current estimates.
  • Key pandemic-related exposures include weaker equipment demand and commodity prices, supply interruptions, receivable collection and finance-joint-venture performance, possible inventory write-downs and asset impairments, pension asset values, and deferred tax asset realization. AGCO reported no goodwill or intangible-asset impairment indicators at March 31.
  • A Brazilian tax dispute concerns disallowed goodwill-amortization deductions; the disputed amount before interest and penalties was approximately 131.5 million reais ($25.3 million). AGCO is contesting the assessment and believes payment is unlikely, but the appeal may take years. The filing also describes potential joint-venture operational and impairment risk if a time-limited U.S. Treasury license is not extended.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Subsequent quarterly disclosures on COVID-related production capacity, orders, sales, margins and cash generation.
  • Liquidity usage, incremental term-loan borrowings, covenant headroom and debt maturities, particularly if operating conditions worsen.
  • Inventory levels and valuation, receivable collections, and performance and credit quality of AGCO Finance joint ventures.
  • Whether currency movements, lower commodity and protein prices, or weaker farm income materially affect demand and reported results.
  • Developments in the Brazilian tax appeal and the time-limited license affecting the Netherlands and Russia joint ventures.