Caledonia Mining Corp Plc annual report, Q4 FY2018

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc — FY 2018 Form 20-F

Reporting period: Year ended December 31, 2018. This is an annual report, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing; quarterly financial results are not provided clearly in the supplied text. Financial statements are prepared under IFRS in U.S. dollars.

Business context and operating performance

Caledonia’s primary operation is the Blanket gold mine in Zimbabwe. The company reported a 49% legal shareholding in Blanket and consolidates the mine. Gold sales are made to state-controlled Fidelity under Zimbabwean rules.

  • Gold produced was 54,511 ounces, down 2.9% from 56,133 ounces in 2017. Q4 production was 14,952 ounces.
  • Tonnes milled rose 2.5% to 560,913, but feed grade fell 4.7% to 3.26 g/t. Average plant recovery was 92.9%, versus 93.4% in 2017.
  • Management attributed lower grade partly to dilution following adoption of long-hole stoping. It reported grade improvement in February and March 2019.

Financial results and liquidity

Metric20182017
Revenue$68.399 million$69.762 million
Gross profit$21.587 million in audited statements; selected data elsewhere states $21.624 million$26.321 million
Operating profit$21.421 million$20.618 million
Profit before tax$21.201 million$20.587 million
Profit for the year$13.756 million$11.896 million
Profit attributable to company owners$10.766 million$9.384 million
Basic and diluted EPS$0.99$0.86
Net cash from operating activities$17.667 million$24.512 million
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$11.187 million$13.067 million
Capital expenditure, cash$20.192 million$21.639 million

Revenue declined as gold sales volume fell; the average realized gold price edged up to $1,245 per ounce from $1,243. Production costs increased to $39.315 million from $36.180 million, led by higher consumables and electricity. On-mine cost was $690 per ounce (2017: $633); AISC was $802 (2017: $847), helped by the export incentive credit; all-in cost was $1,124 (2017: $1,162). The audited-statement gross profit implies a gross margin of about 31.6%, down from 37.7% in 2017; net margin was about 20.1%, up from 17.0%.

Year-end current assets were $28.168 million and current liabilities $12.198 million, producing reported working capital of $15.970 million. Total equity was $78.808 million. Debt included a $5.960 million term loan, due as a bullet payment at the end of its three-year term; the $4 million overdraft facility was unused at year-end. Cash exceeded term debt by approximately $5.227 million. Cash-flow statement net cash decreased $1.582 million. Dividends paid were $3.497 million; the stated quarterly dividend policy was 6.875 cents per share.

Changes, outlook and material risks

  • Guidance: 2019 production guidance is 53,000–56,000 ounces; on-mine cost $735–$817 per ounce; AISC $933–$1,022 per ounce; and adjusted EPS 86–117 cents, assuming a $1,300 gold price and achievement of production and cost targets. 2018 production was within revised guidance, but actual on-mine cost ($690) and AISC ($802) exceeded guidance; adjusted EPS of 131.5 cents was below 140–150 cents guidance.
  • Growth project: Power interruptions delayed Central Shaft work. The shaft was at 1,148 metres at report date, with sinking planned to 1,204 metres and completion expected mid-2019, followed by commissioning expected mid-2020. Management’s production goal shifted to about 75,000 ounces in 2021 and 80,000 in 2022. Further progress depends on power and foreign-exchange availability. Planned investment was approximately $21.6 million in 2019 and $21 million in 2020–2021.
  • Zimbabwe currency and policy exposure: From November 2018, 55% of gold proceeds were allocated to foreign-currency accounts and the remainder to RTGS accounts. A February 2019 policy introduced interbank exchange between RTGS and foreign currency and cancelled the export credit incentive. Management said mine operations and dividends depend partly on timely access to foreign currency and cash externalization. The 2018 export incentive contributed $6.482 million of other income; its cancellation may affect subsequent results.
  • Costs and plant: The oxygen plant failure increased oxygen, cyanide and other consumable costs and impaired recovery. A replacement plant was expected to be commissioned mid-2019, subject to foreign-exchange funding. Two fatal mining accidents occurred in 2018; management described additional safety measures.
  • Other items: A gold hedge covering 8,000 ounces generated a $360,000 loss. Other income included the $6.482 million export incentive, $217,000 from rock-dump sales and a $363,000 provident-fund surplus payment. The Fremiro agreement to acquire its 15% Blanket stake for $16.667 million, partly through issuing 727,266 Caledonia shares, remained subject to Zimbabwean approvals; completion would increase Caledonia’s stake to 64%. The filing reports no material legal proceedings or contingent claims.
  • Principal risks: Gold-price volatility, Zimbabwe political/regulatory and currency risks, sole-customer/payment concentration at Fidelity, power and infrastructure reliability, rising input costs, reserve and grade uncertainty, mine safety, and execution and funding risks for the investment plan. Management assessed disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting as effective; the auditor did not provide an internal-controls attestation.

Investor facts to verify

  • Reconcile the filing’s inconsistent 2018 gross-profit figures: $21.587 million in the audited statements versus $21.624 million in selected financial data.
  • Track foreign-currency allocations, RTGS conversion rates, cash remittance and the financial impact of the cancelled export incentive.
  • Check Central Shaft milestones, oxygen-plant commissioning, grade/recovery trends, and progress toward 2019 guidance and longer-term production targets.
  • Confirm regulatory completion and consideration/dilution effects of the Fremiro transaction, alongside the status of any proposed NIEEF stake purchase.
  • Review quarterly cash generation, capital spending, term-loan repayment plans, and dividend sustainability against Zimbabwe cash-access constraints.
  • Note the annual filing does not provide a clear standalone Q4 revenue or profit figure.