EDENOR current report, Q4 FY2016

EDENOR Annual Report 2016 Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K filing presents the Annual Report for Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte S.A. (EDENOR), an Argentine electricity distribution company, for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2016. The report covers the company's 25th fiscal year, characterized as a transition period from years of regulatory irregularity to a new era of normalization following the completion of a Tariff Structure Review (RTI) effective February 1, 2017. The company operates under a 95-year concession in the City of Buenos Aires and surrounding districts, serving approximately 2.8 million customers.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (ARS Millions) 2016 2015
Revenue from Sales 13,079.6 3,802.2
Energy Purchases 6,060.3 2,022.0
Operating Profit (Loss) (656.1) 2,241.7
Net Profit (Loss) (1,188.6) 1,142.4
Total Assets 18,933.5 12,980.9
Total Liabilities 18,571.7 11,455.8
Shareholders' Equity 361.8 1,525.1
Operating Cash Flow 2,931.3 3,002.1
Investments (CapEx) 2,703.2 N/A

Note: All figures are in Argentine Pesos (ARS) millions unless otherwise noted. The 2016 revenue increase of 244% is largely attributable to tariff adjustments effective February 2016.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Profitability Reversal: The company shifted from a net profit of ARS 1.14 billion in 2015 to a net loss of ARS 1.19 billion in 2016. This was primarily driven by the recording of ARS 2.56 billion in penalties imposed by the regulator (ENRE) and the absence of a one-time ARS 5 billion income recognized in 2015 under SE Resolution No. 32.
  • Equity Erosion: Shareholders' equity declined by 76% to ARS 361.8 million, placing the company on the verge of negative equity due to accumulated losses and regulatory liabilities.
  • Revenue Surge: Revenue increased significantly due to the implementation of a new electricity rate schedule in February 2016, though this was partially offset by provisional remedies suspending increases for certain districts.
  • Cost Inflation: Operating expenses rose approximately 90% year-over-year, driven by penalties, salary increases, and inflationary pressures.
  • Regulatory Normalization: The filing marks the end of a 12-year period of government non-compliance with the Concession Agreement, culminating in a new five-year tariff structure approved in January 2017.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

Outlook and Tariff Structure: The new Tariff Structure Review (RTI) approved for the 2017-2021 period sets a capital base of ARS 34.5 billion and a pre-tax capital cost rate of 12.46%. The approved revenue is 18% lower than the company's proposal. Tariffs are indexed semiannually to inflation (if >5%), with a 42% increase in distribution costs projected for 2017, followed by further tranches in late 2017 and early 2018.

Management Commentary: Management views 2016 as a "refounding" year. Despite the financial loss, they express satisfaction with the regulatory normalization and the completion of the RTI. The company plans to focus on drastic service improvements, tackling energy theft, and protecting shareholder investments.

Risks and Contingencies:

  • Provisional Remedies: Pending legal resolutions regarding provisional remedies that suspended tariff increases in certain districts could impact 2017 finances.
  • Regulatory Liabilities: The company holds approximately ARS 9.5 billion in regulatory liabilities, including ARS 3.5 billion in accumulated penalties and ARS 4 billion in commercial debt to CAMMESA, stemming from the previous administration's non-compliance.
  • Internal Control Weakness: The company identified a material weakness in internal controls regarding the classification of government financial assistance in prior years (2014-2015), which required restatement of cash flow statements.
  • Delinquent Payments: Unpaid bills increased to ARS 659 million (14.32 days) due to the inability to suspend service for non-payment during the period of provisional remedies.

Key Facts for Investor Verification

  • Equity Position: Verify the sufficiency of the remaining ARS 361.8 million equity against the ARS 9.5 billion in regulatory liabilities and the risk of further negative equity.
  • Penalty Resolution: Monitor the status of the ARS 3.5 billion in accumulated penalties and the potential for their reversal or settlement.
  • Tariff Implementation: Confirm the actual collection rates under the new 2017 tariff structure, specifically regarding the 18% revenue shortfall compared to the company's proposal.
  • Cash Flow Sustainability: Assess the ability to fund the ARS 2.7 billion investment plan while managing the ARS 1.3 billion net financial loss and high interest costs on CAMMESA debt.
  • Legal Proceedings: Track the resolution of the complaint filed against the Federal Government for damages related to non-compliance with the Adjustment Agreement.