STAR GROUP, L.P. annual report, FY2023

Star Group, L.P. 2023 Form 10-K Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

Star Group, L.P. is a Northeast and Mid-Atlantic distributor of home heating oil, propane, diesel and gasoline, and a provider of heating, air-conditioning and related services. The filing covers the fiscal year ended September 30, 2023; the business is highly seasonal, with approximately 80% of heating-oil and propane volume sold in the first two fiscal quarters. Fiscal fourth-quarter results were a net loss due to normal seasonality.

  • Approximately 402,200 full-service residential and commercial heating-oil and propane customers, 52,400 delivery-only customers and 26,600 motor-fuel customers at September 30, 2023.
  • Fiscal 2023 revenue mix: approximately 62% home heating oil and propane, 23% other petroleum products, and 15% installations, repairs and ancillary services.
  • Common units trade on the NYSE under SGU; approximately 35.6 million common units were outstanding at September 30, 2023.

Financial Performance and Key Metrics

MetricFiscal 2023Fiscal 2022Change
Total sales$1,952.9 million$2,006.6 millionDown 2.7%
Product sales$1,650.7 million$1,698.3 millionDown 2.8%
Installations and services sales$302.1 million$308.3 millionDown 2.0%
Total gross profit$470.8 million$484.2 millionDown 2.8%
Gross margin24.1%24.1%Approximately flat
Operating income$62.5 million$60.5 millionUp 3.5%
Net income$31.9 million$35.3 millionDown 9.5%
Net income per limited partner unit$0.81$0.85Down $0.04
Adjusted EBITDA$96.9 million$110.3 millionDown 12.2%
Cash flow from operating activities$123.7 million$33.9 millionUp $89.8 million
  • Home heating oil and propane volume declined 12.5% to 259.2 million gallons, primarily because fiscal 2023 temperatures were 7.7% warmer than fiscal 2022 and 16.3% warmer than normal in the New York City metropolitan area.
  • Motor fuel and other petroleum-product volume declined 7.4% to 139.0 million gallons.
  • Home heating oil and propane gross margin increased to $1.5496 per gallon from $1.3935 per gallon, but the margin improvement did not offset lower volume.
  • Interest expense increased 48.3% to $15.5 million as the weighted-average interest rate increased from 3.7% to 6.5%.
  • The fiscal 2023 effective income tax rate was 30.4%, compared with 28.0% in fiscal 2022.
  • At September 30, 2023, cash and cash equivalents were $45.2 million; accounts receivable were $114.1 million and inventory was $56.5 million.

Liquidity, Debt and Distributions

  • Total debt at September 30, 2023 was $148.1 million carrying value, consisting primarily of a $147.8 million senior secured term loan and $0.2 million of revolver borrowings. Fair-value debt was $148.7 million.
  • The credit agreement provides a $400 million revolving facility, increasing to $550 million during the December-April heating season, and a $165 million term loan. Both mature July 6, 2027.
  • Availability under the credit agreement was $202.1 million, with $3.2 million of letters of credit outstanding; the Company was in compliance with its financial covenants.
  • Fiscal 2023 distributions totaled $23.7 million, including $22.5 million to common unitholders and $1.2 million to general partner unitholders. The quarterly common-unit distribution was $0.1625, or $0.65 annualized.
  • The September 2023 credit agreement amendment temporarily reduced certain fixed-charge-coverage requirements for distributions and unit repurchases through February 27, 2024.
  • The Company repurchased approximately 489,000 common units for $4.5 million during fiscal 2023.

Material Changes Versus the Prior Comparable Period

  • Warmer weather sharply reduced heating-oil and propane volume, while net customer attrition improved modestly to 3.6% from 3.7%.
  • Product gross profit declined $12.2 million despite higher heating-oil and propane per-gallon margins.
  • Adjusted EBITDA declined $13.5 million, primarily because lower volume exceeded the benefit from improved margins and a larger weather-hedge recovery.
  • Cash flow from operations improved substantially because of lower receivables and inventory balances and higher customer credit balances.
  • The Company acquired one propane and two heating-oil businesses for approximately $19.8 million, compared with five heating-oil acquisitions for approximately $15.6 million in fiscal 2022.
  • Fiscal 2023 included a $12.5 million weather-hedge benefit, compared with $1.1 million in fiscal 2022. Commodity derivatives produced a $2.0 million income-statement charge in fiscal 2023 versus a $17.3 million charge in fiscal 2022.

Guidance, Outlook, Commentary and Risks

  • Management expects fiscal 2024 maintenance capital expenditures of approximately $11.5 million, leased-fleet capital requirements of approximately $11.7 million, and approximately $2.2 million of investment in propane operations.
  • At the current quarterly distribution rate, fiscal 2024 distributions are estimated at approximately $23.1 million to common unitholders, $1.3 million to general partner unitholders and $1.2 million to management under the incentive plan.
  • Quarterly term-loan amortization is approximately $4.1 million, with approximately $4.0 million of additional fiscal 2024 excess-cash-flow repayment expected.
  • For fiscal 2024, the Company contracted for approximately 76% of expected heating-oil and propane requirements and approximately 43% of expected diesel and gasoline requirements. Approximately 76% of contracted heating-oil volume includes a biofuel component.
  • Key risks include warm weather, declining heating-oil demand, conversions to natural gas and electricity, climate-related regulation, wholesale price volatility, supply disruptions, customer attrition, interest-rate increases, union negotiations, underfunded multiemployer pension plans, environmental liabilities, cyberattacks and counterparty risk.
  • New York, New York City and Massachusetts climate initiatives could reduce demand for fossil-fuel heating products. A legal challenge to New York's fossil-fuel ban was pending and in its early stages at the filing date.
  • Self-insurance liabilities were approximately $77.5 million at September 30, 2023. KPMG identified evaluation of these liabilities as a critical audit matter.
  • Subsequent to year-end, the Company acquired two heating-oil businesses for approximately $2.5 million.

Important Facts for Investors to Verify

  1. Whether fiscal 2024 weather, heating degree days and customer consumption support recovery from the fiscal 2023 volume decline.
  2. Whether the fiscal 2023 heating-oil and propane margin of $1.5496 per gallon is sustainable.
  3. Compliance with fixed-charge-coverage and leverage covenants after the temporary relief period ends, particularly while distributions, repurchases and acquisitions continue.
  4. The effect of higher interest rates on cash flow and the ability to repay or refinance the term loan due in 2027.
  5. Customer attrition, including the estimated 1.6% fiscal 2023 loss from natural-gas and electricity conversions.
  6. The financial and operational impact of climate regulations, environmental remediation, union renewals and multiemployer pension obligations.
  7. The volatility of reported earnings from marking commodity derivatives to market and the difference between Adjusted EBITDA and cash available for debt service or distributions.