Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: San Juan Basin Royalty Trust (the "Trust")
Reporting Period: Quarter ended March 31, 2008
Trustee: Compass Bank
Underlying Asset: 75% net overriding royalty interest in oil and gas properties in the San Juan Basin, New Mexico, operated by Burlington Resources Oil & Gas Company LP ("BROG").
Units Outstanding: 46,608,796 as of May 12, 2008.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric | Q1 2008 | Q1 2007 |
|---|---|---|
| Royalty Income | $25,576,418 | $23,948,749 |
| Interest Income | $164,379 | $624,781 |
| Total Income | $25,740,797 | $24,573,530 |
| General & Admin Expenses | $610,074 | $565,648 |
| Distributable Income | $25,130,723 | $24,007,882 |
| Distribution per Unit | $0.539184 | $0.515094 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $3,873,014 | $9,042,528 (Dec 31, 2007) |
| Trust Corpus | $19,438,062 | $19,880,888 (Dec 31, 2007) |
Production Data (Q1 2008 vs Q1 2007):
- Gas Sales: 8,559,117 Mcf (Avg Price: $6.97/Mcf) vs 8,943,584 Mcf (Avg Price: $6.04/Mcf).
- Oil Sales: 12,698 Bbls (Avg Price: $88.58/Bbl) vs 18,382 Bbls (Avg Price: $54.76/Bbl).
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Increase: Royalty income increased by approximately 6.8% year-over-year, driven primarily by higher average gas prices ($0.93/Mcf increase) and significantly higher oil prices ($33.82/Bbl increase).
- Volume Decline: Despite price increases, total gas and oil sales volumes decreased due to unplanned third-party plant downtime, poor weather conditions, and natural production decline.
- Cost Reductions: Capital expenditures deducted in calculating royalty income dropped to $6.2 million in Q1 2008 from $10.9 million in Q1 2007, contributing to higher net profits.
- Interest Income Drop: Interest income fell significantly due to the absence of large audit-related interest payments received in early 2007.
- March Distribution Reduction: The March 2008 distribution was reduced by $4,921,578 due to the Trust's allocated share of a legal settlement paid by BROG (see below).
Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items
Unusual Items: Legal Settlement
BROG paid $105.3 million to settle claims regarding underpayment of royalties to the U.S. government and Native American tribes for production between 1988 and 2005. BROG allocated $6.56 million (principal and interest) to the Trust, resulting in a $4.92 million reduction to the March 2008 distribution. The Trust's consultants are auditing this allocation.
Outlook and Capital Expenditures
BROG revised its 2008 capital expenditure budget for the Underlying Properties to $24.4 million (up from a previously disclosed $18.3 million). Approximately 35% is allocated to Fruitland Coal formation projects. BROG estimates actual 2008 expenditures could range from $15 million to $50 million depending on regulatory approvals and gas prices.
Risks and Contingencies
- Active Litigation: On April 28, 2008, the Trust sued BROG to recover $5.025 million (plus interest and punitive damages) related to an arbitration award from 2005 that was partially vacated by an appellate court in August 2007.
- Regulatory Risk: Ongoing disputes regarding "major portion" royalty calculations with the Jicarilla Apache Nation and the Department of the Interior could result in future royalty reductions or reimbursement claims against the Trust.
- Contract Expirations: Gas sales contracts with ChevronTexaco and Coral Energy expire March 31, 2009. Requests for proposals for new contracts will be circulated.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Settlement Allocation: Verify the Trust's consultants' audit of the $6.56 million legal settlement allocation to ensure the $4.92 million distribution reduction is accurate.
- Capital Expenditure Impact: Monitor the revised $24.4 million capital budget and the potential range of $15M-$50M, as higher spending will directly reduce future royalty income.
- Litigation Status: Track the progress of the April 2008 lawsuit against BROG regarding the vacated $5 million arbitration award.
- Production Volumes: Assess whether the volume declines cited (plant downtime, weather) are temporary or indicative of a steeper long-term decline curve.
- Contract Renewals: Watch for new gas sales contracts to replace those expiring in March 2009, as pricing terms will impact future revenue.