STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. annual report, FY2023

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. — FY2023 Form 10-K

Period clarification: The filing is for the fiscal year ended December 30, 2023, not 2022 Q4. It reports full-year results, with comparisons to FY2022 and FY2021. Unless stated otherwise, financial amounts are in U.S. dollars.

Business context

The company is a global tools, outdoor products and engineered-fastening provider. FY2023 revenue was $15.8 billion; approximately 62% came from the United States. Tools & Outdoor generated 85% of revenue and Industrial 15%. The company continued simplifying its portfolio, including a pending agreement to sell Infrastructure for $760 million in cash. Its two reportable segments are Tools & Outdoor and Industrial.

Key financial metrics

MetricFY2023FY2022
Net sales$15.781 billion$16.947 billion
Gross profit / margin (GAAP)$3.933 billion / 24.9%$4.284 billion / 25.3%
Gross margin, excluding specified adjustments26.0%26.0%
Continuing-operations net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders$(281.7) million; diluted EPS $(1.88)$165.5 million; diluted EPS $1.06
Total net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders, including discontinued operations$(310.5) million; diluted EPS $(2.07)$1.058 billion; diluted EPS $6.76
Cash from operating activities$1.191 billion$(1.460) billion
Free cash flow, as defined by the company$853 million$(1.990) billion
Cash and cash equivalents at year-end$449 million$396 million
Short-term borrowings / long-term debt at year-end$1.075 billion / $6.101 billion$2.103 billion / $5.353 billion

FY2023 GAAP results included $274.8 million of asset impairment charges, $39.4 million of restructuring charges and $372.5 million of net interest expense. The company reported adjusted diluted continuing-operations EPS of $1.45, versus $4.62 in FY2022; adjusted measures exclude specified gains and charges and are not GAAP results.

Changes versus FY2022

  • Sales declined 7%, as a 7% volume decrease and the Oil & Gas divestiture outweighed a 1% price increase. Tools & Outdoor sales fell 7%; Industrial sales fell 4%.
  • Tools & Outdoor segment profit fell to $688 million from $972 million, with margin declining to 5.1% from 6.7%. Excluding specified adjustments, segment margin was 6.6% versus 8.4%.
  • Industrial segment profit rose to $267 million from $236 million, with margin increasing to 11.0% from 9.4%. Excluding specified adjustments, margin was 11.8% versus 9.7%.
  • Operating cash flow improved by $2.651 billion year over year, principally as inventory declined. Year-end inventory was $4.739 billion, down $1.123 billion from FY2022 and $1.9 billion from its Q2 2022 peak.
  • Continuing-operations results swung to a GAAP loss. The FY2022 total earnings comparison also includes $892 million of net earnings from discontinued operations, principally gains on the Security business sales; FY2023 included a $29 million discontinued-operations loss.

Outlook, management commentary and risks

  • FY2024 outlook: diluted GAAP EPS of $1.60–$2.85, or $3.50–$4.50 excluding specified adjustments; free cash flow of approximately $0.6–$0.8 billion. The forecast assumes the Infrastructure sale closes at the end of Q1 2024. The company expects free cash flow to exceed net income, supported by continued inventory reduction.
  • Transformation: The $2.0 billion Global Cost Reduction Program targets approximately $2 billion in annual pre-tax run-rate savings by year-end 2025. The company reported approximately $1.0 billion of cumulative run-rate savings through 2023 and expects $0.9–$1.1 billion of cash investment for the supply-chain portion of the program. Its longer-term objectives include adjusted gross margins above 35% and free cash flow at least equal to net income; these are targets, not guarantees.
  • Liquidity and debt: Total indebtedness was reported at approximately $7.3 billion, including commercial paper. The company had $449 million of cash and undrawn $2.5 billion and $1.5 billion committed facilities at year-end. Credit agencies downgraded ratings during 2023, though ratings remained investment grade. The temporarily reduced minimum interest-coverage covenant is scheduled to revert from 1.5x to 3.5x after Q2 2024; the company reported compliance in all 2023 quarterly tests.
  • Material risks: Continued weak consumer outdoor and DIY demand, customer inventory actions and retailer concentration; execution and costs of restructuring and supply-chain transformation; competition and pricing pressure; inflation, interest rates, foreign exchange and supply-chain disruption; and the company’s substantial debt and goodwill/intangible-asset balances. Lowe’s and Home Depot represented approximately 27% of FY2023 consolidated sales combined.
  • Contingencies: The company disclosed a potential approximately $32 million CPSC civil penalty recommendation concerning alleged untimely reporting tied to prior voluntary recalls; the matter is at an early stage and the potential loss is not estimable. DOJ and SEC investigations into transactions that may raise FCPA questions remain ongoing; outcomes and potential losses cannot be estimated. Securities class and derivative litigation related to alleged statements about demand also remains unresolved. Environmental remediation reserves were $124.5 million; the reasonably possible range was $79.9–$226.8 million.
  • Other unusual items: FY2023 included $124 million of non-cash impairment for the Irwin and Troy-Bilt trade names and $150.8 million for Infrastructure in connection with its pending sale. Management reported effective internal control over financial reporting; the independent auditor gave unqualified opinions on the financial statements and internal controls.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether 2024 sales, adjusted margins and free-cash-flow performance support management’s outlook, especially the assumed timing and proceeds of the Infrastructure sale.
  • Whether cost savings and inventory reductions are achieved without weakening customer service, demand or core-brand investment.
  • Debt repayment progress, borrowing costs, credit ratings and compliance with the 3.5x interest-coverage covenant after it resets.
  • Developments in the CPSC, FCPA and securities-litigation matters, including any change in estimated exposure or required accruals.
  • The sustainability of Tools & Outdoor segment profitability and the assumptions supporting the value of goodwill and remaining intangible assets.