Vale S.A. annual report, Q4 FY2017

Vale S.A. 2017 Form 20-F Summary

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2017. The supplied filing is an annual Form 20-F, not a standalone fourth-quarter report; quarterly results are not separately presented in the provided text. Financial statements are prepared under IFRS and presented in U.S. dollars.

Business context

Vale is a global mining and logistics company and a leading producer of iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, copper, coal, manganese, ferroalloys, cobalt, gold, silver and platinum-group metals. Continuing operations are concentrated in ferrous minerals, coal, base metals and logistics. Iron ore and pellets represented approximately 71.2% of 2017 revenue, and China accounted for 41.3% of total revenue.

Key financial metrics

Metric20172016Change
Net operating revenueUS$33.967 billionUS$27.488 billion+23.6%
Gross profitUS$12.928 billionUS$9.838 billion+31.4%
Operating incomeUS$10.930 billionUS$7.052 billion+55.0%
Net income attributable to Vale stockholdersUS$5.507 billionUS$3.982 billion+38.3%
Net income from continuing operations attributable to Vale stockholdersUS$6.313 billionUS$5.211 billion+21.2%
Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operationsUS$15.338 billionUS$11.972 billion+28.1%
Operating cash flow from continuing operationsUS$12.450 billionUS$6.401 billion+94.5%
Capital expendituresUS$3.848 billionUS$5.482 billion budgeted/executed comparison in filing; cash additions were US$4.951 billion in 20162017 cash additions down 22.3% from 2016
Total debtUS$22.489 billionUS$29.322 billionDown US$6.833 billion
Net debtUS$18.143 billionUS$25.042 billionDown US$6.899 billion
Cash and cash equivalentsUS$4.328 billionUS$4.262 billion+1.5%

Calculated margins were approximately 38.1% gross, 32.2% operating, and 16.2% net attributable on total revenue. Continuing-operations net margin attributable to Vale stockholders was approximately 18.6%.

  • Ferrous-minerals revenue increased 23.5% to US$25.129 billion, with adjusted EBITDA of US$13.192 billion.
  • Coal revenue increased 86.8% to US$1.567 billion; adjusted EBITDA improved from a US$54 million loss to US$330 million.
  • Base-metals revenue increased 11.9% to US$6.871 billion; adjusted EBITDA increased 15.7% to US$2.139 billion.
  • Iron ore sales volume was 288.7 million metric tons, broadly in line with 2016, while pellet sales increased to 51.8 million metric tons.
  • Average realized prices increased to US$64.17 per metric ton for iron ore and US$109.18 per metric ton for pellets, versus US$54.44 and US$80.26, respectively, in 2016.
  • Basic and diluted earnings per common share were US$1.05, compared with US$0.77 in 2016.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue and profitability benefited primarily from higher iron ore prices, quality premiums, commercial initiatives and improved coal performance.
  • Cost of goods sold increased 19.2% to US$21.039 billion. Adverse cost factors included exchange-rate effects, higher bunker fuel and freight costs, energy costs and royalties linked to higher commodity prices.
  • Net financial results shifted from income of US$1.843 billion in 2016 to an expense of US$3.019 billion in 2017, primarily because foreign-exchange gains in 2016 became losses and derivative gains declined.
  • Impairment and other results on non-current assets fell to US$294 million from US$1.240 billion. The main 2017 impairment was US$133 million related to a Sudbury underground mine placed on care and maintenance.
  • Discontinued operations produced an attributable loss of US$806 million, including US$729 million related to final adjustments on the fertilizer-business sale and US$156 million related to the planned Cubatão sale.
  • Vale reduced debt through substantial repayments, asset sales and improved operating cash generation. The company’s total debt-to-adjusted-EBITDA ratio was 1.5x and interest coverage was 9.0x at year-end.
  • Vale completed the conversion of remaining preferred shares into common shares, merged Valepar into Vale and migrated to the Novo Mercado listing segment. The company ended 2017 with no class A preferred shares.

Guidance, outlook, commentary and unusual items

  • Management targeted net debt of US$10 billion by the end of 2018, compared with US$18.143 billion at December 31, 2017.
  • The 2018 capital-expenditure budget was approximately US$3.837 billion, including US$972 million for project execution and US$2.865 billion for sustaining and replacement projects. The S11D project represented 81.6% of project-execution spending.
  • Management expected continued positive global economic conditions in 2018, but anticipated moderation in China’s growth and identified property-sector weakness as a downside risk. Management expected nickel demand to remain supported by stainless steel and battery applications.
  • The Nacala Logistics Corridor financing closed after year-end. Vale received approximately US$2.6 billion in March 2018 from project financing proceeds used to repay shareholder loans.
  • Vale expected to resume Tubarão II pellet operations in January 2018 and targeted resumption of Tubarão I and São Luís plants during 2018.
  • Samarco’s operations remained suspended following the 2015 Fundão tailings-dam failure. Vale’s provision for Samarco-related obligations was US$996 million at year-end, and Vale contributed US$237 million to Samarco during 2017. The timing and scope of Samarco’s restart remained uncertain.
  • Potential Samarco-related exposures remain significant. The filing cites public claims of approximately R$20.2 billion and R$155 billion, although the ultimate outcomes and additional obligations cannot be reliably estimated.
  • Other key risks include commodity-price volatility, China concentration, foreign-exchange movements, permitting and environmental regulation, tailings-dam safety, litigation, labor disruptions, energy costs and operational incidents.
  • Vale reported no undisclosed off-balance-sheet arrangements as defined in Form 20-F. KPMG issued an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal control over financial reporting.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Reconcile the annual figures with Vale’s fourth-quarter and full-year earnings releases because the filing itself does not provide a standalone Q4 income statement.
  • Track progress toward the US$10 billion net-debt target, including post-year-end debt tenders and Nacala financing proceeds.
  • Assess sensitivity to iron ore prices; Vale estimated that a US$1 per dry metric ton decrease in average iron ore prices would reduce 2017 operating income by approximately US$300 million.
  • Review Samarco remediation funding, legal proceedings, provisions and any changes to the Framework Agreement or MPF negotiations.
  • Verify 2018 production, pellet-plant restarts, S11D ramp-up, Nacala logistics performance and the reassessment of the Voisey’s Bay expansion.
  • Monitor the US$14.605 billion of reasonably possible litigation claims, including tax, environmental, civil and labor matters, which were not fully provisioned.
  • Review commodity, currency and freight exposures, including the effect of a stronger Brazilian real on costs and cash flow.