Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Lam Research Stock Will Climb or Sink?

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Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Lam Research Stock Will Climb or Sink?

With a market cap of around $392.9 billion, Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) designs and manufactures the highly specialized equipment that chipmakers use to build advanced semiconductors. The Fremont, California-based company’s systems play a critical role in key wafer-fabrication processes, including thin-film deposition, plasma etching, photoresist strip, wafer cleaning, and metrology, helping semiconductor manufacturers produce smaller, faster, and more powerful chips.

Lam Research has been one of the market’s biggest winners, with its stock delivering eye-popping gains that have left the broader market behind. Over the past year, LRCX stock has jumped 219.5% while the broader S&P 500 Index ($SPX) has rallied 20.5%. The rally has remained red-hot in 2026, with shares climbing another 83.5% year to date, compared with the benchmark’s 12.1% gain.

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And the outperformance looks just as dramatic against its technology peers. LRCX has crushed the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's (XLK41.6% return over the past 52 weeks and 27.3% in 2026. 

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After reporting its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results on July 29, LRCX shares dropped 6.4% before staging a stunning 18% rebound in the following trading session, as investors zeroed in on the company’s record-breaking performance and blockbuster outlook. AI-fueled semiconductor demand drove revenue 30% higher year over year to $6.72 billion. Its systems revenue reached $4.25 billion, while customer support-related revenue surged to $2.47 billion, highlighting strength across both equipment sales and its recurring services business. On an adjusted basis, EPS came in at $1.82, up 23.8% year over year, also comfortably ahead of Wall Street expectations. 

Looking ahead, Lam gave investors an even bigger reason to cheer, forecasting $8.10 billion in revenue for the first quarter plus or minus $400 million, and EPS of $2.15, plus or minus $0.15, guidance that came in well above analysts’ expectations. 

Lam Research’s earnings story is shaping up to be another major catalyst for the stock. For the fiscal year ending in June 2027, analysts expect adjusted EPS to jump 60.4% year over year to $9.32. Adding to the bullish setup, LRCX has beaten Wall Street’s earnings estimates in each of the past four quarters, suggesting the company has consistently delivered more than analysts anticipated.

Among the 33 analysts covering the stock, the consensus rating is a “Strong Buy.” That’s based on 23 “Strong Buy” ratings, four “Moderate Buys,” and six “Holds.”

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The configuration is bullish than two months ago when the stock had “22” Strong Buy suggestions. 

On Aug. 15, TD Cowen’s Krish Sankar reiterated his “Buy” rating on Lam Research and set a bullish $700 price target, signaling continued confidence in the semiconductor equipment maker’s growth prospects. 

The mean price target of $370.28 represents a 17.9% premium to LRCX’s current price levels. The Street-high price target of $500 suggests a 59.2% potential upside.


On the date of publication, Kritika Sarmah did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

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