Is REAL a Buy Now as Growth Accelerates but Valuation Stays Rich?

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Is REAL a Buy Now as Growth Accelerates but Valuation Stays Rich?

The RealReal, Inc. REAL is showing a sharper operating trajectory, with marketplace growth, higher-value transactions and improving profitability supporting a stronger 2026 outlook. The question is whether that progress is enough to justify a stock that remains expensive on a growth-adjusted basis.

The answer is not straightforward. REAL has credible operating momentum, but take-rate pressure, leverage and a demanding valuation leave limited room for execution missteps.

Second-quarter 2026 gross merchandise value reached a record $617 million, up 22% year over year, while revenues rose 17% to about $193 million. Orders increased 8% and average order value climbed 13% to $659, showing that growth came from both higher transaction activity and stronger customer spending. Trailing 12-month active buyers increased 11% to about 1.1 million.

The RealReal, Inc. Price and Consensus

The RealReal, Inc. Price and Consensus

The RealReal, Inc. price-consensus-chart | The RealReal, Inc. Quote

Supply trends are reinforcing that demand. Supply per sales representative rose 15% in the first six months of 2026, while 44% of new consignors in the second quarter came from the active buyer base. Adjusted EBITDA doubled to $13.5 million, and the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 290 basis points to 7%. Management raised its 2026 outlook to GMV of $2.535-$2.565 billion, revenues of $788-$797 million and adjusted EBITDA of $66-$69 million.

Automation could support further operating leverage. REAL expects its AI-enabled Athena intake system to process nearly 50% of items fully through the system by the end of 2026. The company is also expanding AI-powered shopping and pricing tools to improve product discovery and processing efficiency.

The growth mix carries a trade-off. Sales of items priced above $1,000 increased 36% in the first half of 2026, but those transactions carry lower percentage take rates. REAL's second-quarter take rate fell 200 basis points to 35.9%, and consignment revenue growth of 15% trailed GMV growth.

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Leverage is another constraint. As of June 30, 2026, REAL carried about $231.5 million of convertible senior notes and $144.3 million of non-convertible notes compared with $119.1 million of cash and cash equivalents. The company later secured a $150 million senior secured term loan and a $25 million revolving facility to redeem its 2029 senior secured notes. The refinancing addresses a maturity but does not remove balance-sheet risk.

Valuation also demands caution. REAL trades at 10.96X forward 12-month PEG compared with 1.91X for the Zacks sub-industry, 1.17X for the Zacks sector and 1.39X for the S&P 500. Its three-year median is 5.46X, leaving a sizable premium despite the acceleration in growth.

Competition remains relevant. eBay Inc. EBAY continues to expand its recommerce and authenticated luxury offerings, including broader Authenticity Guarantee coverage. ThredUp Inc. TDUP, another large online resale platform, reported 17% second-quarter 2026 revenue growth and 21% active-buyer growth. Both underscore the opportunity in resale, but also the competition for buyers and supply.

REAL's operating progress supports a more constructive view, but the stock is not a clean value case. Growth, improving margins and automation offer upside, while take-rate compression, debt and a premium PEG multiple keep the risk-reward balanced.

The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), along with a Growth Score of A, VGM Score of B, Momentum Score of C and Value Score of D. That combination favors investors focused on near-term earnings-revision strength and growth characteristics, while the weak Value Score reinforces the valuation concern. REAL may appeal more to growth-oriented investors comfortable with volatility than to value-focused buyers seeking a wider margin of safety.

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).

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