American Airlines Group Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2014

American Airlines Group Inc. 2014 Q3 Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period

Combined quarterly report for American Airlines Group Inc. (AAG) and wholly owned American Airlines, Inc. for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2014. The December 9, 2013 merger with US Airways Group materially affects comparability: AAG’s 2013 GAAP results exclude US Airways Group, so management also presents non-GAAP combined prior-year results.

AAG operated approximately 6,700 daily flights to 339 destinations in 54 countries, with 978 mainline aircraft and 557 regional aircraft at September 30, 2014. American and US Airways continued operating separately pending completion of integration and issuance of a single FAA operating certificate, which management expected to take approximately 18 months.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ3 2014Q3 20139M 20149M 2013
Operating revenue$11.139 billion$6.828 billion$32.490 billion$19.375 billion
Operating income$1.260 billion$701 million$3.389 billion$1.284 billion
Operating margin11.3%10.3%10.4%6.6%
Net income$942 million$289 million$2.285 billion$167 million
Net margin8.5%4.2%7.0%0.9%
Diluted EPS$1.28$1.02$3.10$0.65

For a more meaningful year-over-year comparison, Q3 2014 operating income was $1.260 billion versus combined Q3 2013 operating income of $1.128 billion, and net income was $942 million versus combined net income of $505 million. Excluding total net special charges, Q3 2014 net income was approximately $1.2 billion versus $771 million on a combined basis.

  • Mainline and regional passenger revenue increased 2.9% versus combined Q3 2013, supported by a 2.6% increase in yield. Passenger revenue per available seat mile was 14.12 cents, up 1.0%.
  • System capacity increased 2.0% on a combined basis, while the passenger load factor declined 1.3 percentage points to 83.4%.
  • Mainline and regional fuel expense was $3.4 billion, down 1.0% on a combined basis, reflecting a 1.6% decrease in average fuel price to $2.98 per gallon, partly offset by higher consumption.
  • Mainline CASM excluding special items and fuel was 8.35 cents, up 0.7% from combined Q3 2013, primarily due to higher labor and maintenance costs.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities for the first nine months was $2.276 billion, compared with $1.887 billion in 2013.
  • Capital expenditures and aircraft purchase deposits were $4.006 billion; net cash used in investing activities was $2.125 billion.
  • At September 30, AAG held $1.178 billion of cash, $6.721 billion of short-term investments and $875 million of restricted cash and investments. Total cash and short-term investments were $8.774 billion, including $7.899 billion unrestricted.
  • Long-term debt and capital lease obligations were $17.150 billion before discounts and current maturities; net long-term debt and capital leases were $15.651 billion. Stockholders’ equity was $4.971 billion, compared with a deficit of $2.731 billion at December 31, 2013.

Material changes versus prior comparable periods

  • On a combined-company basis, Q3 revenue increased 4.4%, operating income increased 11.8%, and net income increased 86.7% versus Q3 2013.
  • For the first nine months, AAG reported $2.285 billion of net income versus $167 million in the reported 2013 period; however, the comparison is substantially affected by the merger and the absence of US Airways results from most of 2013.
  • Operating results benefited from strong travel demand, higher yields, lower fuel prices and reduced interest expense. Costs increased from merger-related labor contracts, engine overhauls, fleet renewal, aircraft rent and depreciation.
  • 2014 operating cash flow increased by $389 million, but pension contributions increased by $693 million to $781 million, including $613 million of supplemental contributions above the $168 million minimum requirement.
  • AAG repurchased 2.9 million shares for $113 million under a newly authorized $1.0 billion program and paid $72 million of dividends, including its first cash dividend since 1980.
  • Bankruptcy settlement obligations declined from $5.928 billion at year-end 2013 to $239 million at September 30, 2014, primarily following conversion and distribution of preferred stock and common stock under the reorganization plan.

Guidance, outlook, unusual items and risks

Management did not provide specific earnings or revenue guidance. Management stated that strong Q3 results demonstrate a foundation for continued improvement following restructuring and the merger. Integration, including systems, labor contracts, branding and operational processes, remains ongoing.

  • Q3 total net special charges were $281 million, including $166 million of merger integration costs, $99 million of aircraft residual-value and other asset charges, $50 million of debt-extinguishment costs and a $40 million bankruptcy-related credit.
  • Nine-month total net special charges were $795 million, including a $330 million non-cash tax provision related to the sale of fuel hedges. A $309 million gain on the sale of DCA slots partially offset operating special charges.
  • AAG had no fuel hedges outstanding at September 30 and stated that its current policy was not to hedge fuel. A one-cent-per-gallon fuel-price increase was estimated to increase annual expense by approximately $43 million.
  • Approximately $721 million of unrestricted cash was held in Venezuelan bolivars and remained subject to repatriation, exchange-rate and potential impairment risk.
  • Subsequent to quarter-end, AAG borrowed $750 million under a new term loan, arranged a $400 million revolving facility and increased an existing revolving commitment from $1.0 billion to $1.4 billion. The revolving facilities had no borrowings or letters of credit outstanding at the time disclosed.
  • Key risks include substantial debt and fixed obligations, aircraft purchase commitments, merger-integration execution, fuel-price volatility, pension funding, labor negotiations, economic and travel-demand weakness, competition, foreign-exchange and Venezuelan cash restrictions, credit-card processor holdbacks, regulatory requirements and pending litigation.
  • Contractual obligations totaled approximately $146.2 billion, comprising $63.0 billion for American and $83.2 billion for AAG parent, US Airways Group and other subsidiaries.

Most important facts to verify

  • Reconcile reported GAAP results with management’s combined-company and special-item-adjusted measures before assessing year-over-year performance.
  • Verify the sustainability of profitability after excluding merger integration, bankruptcy, tax, slot-sale and debt-extinguishment items.
  • Assess liquidity after aircraft purchases, pension contributions, debt service, aircraft commitments and potential credit-card processor holdbacks.
  • Monitor merger integration milestones, labor-contract ratifications, technology integration and the timing of a single FAA operating certificate.
  • Evaluate exposure to unhedged fuel prices, Venezuelan cash repatriation and foreign-currency losses.
  • Review the remaining disputed bankruptcy claims, the approximately 27.5 million shares in the disputed claims reserve and related dilution or distribution effects.
  • Review pending OPEB proceedings, the approximately $212 million of related union grievances, antitrust litigation and the continuing availability of federal and state NOLs.