Fluent, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

Fluent, Inc. — Q3 2019 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. Fluent provides data-driven digital and performance marketing services, connecting advertisers with consumers through its media properties and marketing technology. This unaudited filing covers the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019; financial amounts below are in millions of dollars unless noted. Comparisons are with the corresponding 2018 periods.

Key financial results

MetricQ3 2019Q3 2018Nine months 2019Nine months 2018
Revenue$64.6$66.5$201.7$179.5
Operating income (loss)($2.7)$6.3$2.5$7.8
Net income (loss) from continuing operations($4.5)$4.5($2.7)$1.5
GAAP diluted EPS from continuing operations($0.06)$0.06($0.03)$0.02
Media margin (non-GAAP)$21.3; 33.0% of revenue$25.8; 38.8%$67.3; 33.4%$67.1; 37.4%
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$4.3$12.4$23.2$32.9
Adjusted net income (loss) (non-GAAP)($1.0)$7.2$7.7$16.7
Net cash provided by operating activitiesNot provided for the quarterNot provided for the quarter$26.6$16.6

Media margin, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net income are company-defined non-GAAP measures, not substitutes for GAAP results or liquidity measures.

Financial position and liquidity

  • At September 30, 2019, cash and cash equivalents were $24.2 million, plus $1.5 million of restricted cash. Total current assets were $72.0 million and current liabilities were $44.0 million.
  • Total debt, net of unamortized discounts, was $53.0 million, of which $6.1 million was current. The company reported approximately $57.0 million of principal maturities, including a $1.3 million required excess-cash-flow prepayment. Debt is secured by substantially all company assets; the term loan matures in March 2023.
  • Nine-month investing cash outflow was $11.2 million, including $7.3 million cash paid for AdParlor and $2.1 million for property and equipment. Financing cash outflow was $8.9 million, primarily debt repayments and taxes on share settlements. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash increased $6.5 million to $25.7 million.
  • Management stated that available cash was expected to fund operations and expected capital expenditures for the next 12 months. The company was in compliance with debt covenants at quarter-end.

Material changes and notable items

  • Q3 performance weakened: Revenue fell 3% year over year while cost of revenue rose 7%. Management attributed lower revenue to reduced availability of cost-effective media and traffic; higher media costs pressured media margin. Q3 adjusted EBITDA fell 65%.
  • Nine-month growth did not translate to improved profitability: Revenue rose 12%, but cost of revenue increased 20%, and media margin as a share of revenue fell from 37.4% to 33.4%. Adjusted EBITDA decreased 30%. Higher demand drove revenue growth, while greater media costs and increased general and administrative and product development expenses weighed on results.
  • General and administrative expense rose 44% in Q3, mainly because the bad-debt provision increased to $1.9 million from $0.2 million. For the nine months, the provision was $2.1 million versus $0.5 million. The nine-month period also included higher share-based compensation, professional fees and product development costs.
  • AdParlor was acquired effective July 1, 2019, to expand performance-based marketing capabilities. Consideration included $7.3 million cash and a $2.35 million seller note. Its Q3 revenue was $1.6 million; purchase accounting remained preliminary.
  • Q3 included a $0.28 million write-off of internally developed software. The company conducted interim impairment tests after declining operating results and a falling share price; it reported no impairment, but goodwill fair value exceeded carrying value by only approximately 12%.
  • The 2018 comparison includes Red Violet discontinued operations and substantial spin-off charges. Nine-month 2018 net loss included $21.1 million from discontinued operations, including a $19.0 million disposal loss; comparisons with 2019 should account for this difference.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • No formal revenue, earnings or other forward guidance is provided. Management said October 2019 workforce reductions affected approximately 48 employees; it expected $1.5 million of cash exit costs in Q4 2019 and Q1 2020 and lower quarterly expenses thereafter.
  • On November 8, 2019, after quarter-end, the company amended its credit agreement, modifying certain financial covenants and increasing the interest rate by 0.50% during periods when total leverage exceeds 2.5.
  • Disclosure controls and procedures were deemed ineffective at September 30, 2019 because a previously identified material weakness in revenue-recognition controls remained under remediation. The plan includes changes to revenue confirmation and implementation of an ERP system.
  • The New York Attorney General and U.S. Department of Justice issued subpoenas concerning consumer information submitted in connection with an FCC proceeding. The company is cooperating; timing, outcome and potential loss are not estimable.
  • New York tax authorities asserted that certain customer-acquisition data services may be taxable. Fluent disputes the position but says an unfavorable outcome could create a liability that cannot currently be estimated.
  • A full valuation allowance remains against deferred tax assets. Management said a significant release might become supportable within 12 months, depending on profitability; timing and amount are uncertain. Goodwill impairment remains a risk if actual results or valuation assumptions deteriorate.
  • The company warned that failure to meet debt covenants could trigger default and acceleration. Its floating-rate debt, mandatory excess-cash-flow payments and restrictions on additional debt and other actions constrain financial flexibility.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether media costs, traffic availability and media-margin percentage stabilize, and whether revenue growth can produce improved GAAP profitability.
  • Bad-debt exposure, receivable collectability and customer confirmation practices, given the elevated provision and revenue-control material weakness.
  • AdParlor’s post-acquisition contribution, integration results and final purchase-price allocation.
  • Debt covenant headroom, the impact of the November amendment and ability to service or refinance debt.
  • Developments in the NY AG/DOJ investigations, New York sales-tax dispute, and goodwill impairment assumptions.
  • Actual restructuring costs and savings, and any change in the timing or likelihood of a deferred-tax valuation-allowance release.