FARMERS NATIONAL BANC CORP annual report, FY2018

Farmers National Banc Corp. — FY 2018 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period

Ohio-based financial holding company operating banking, trust, retirement consulting and insurance businesses, primarily in Northeast Ohio and parts of Pennsylvania. The filing covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2018; quarterly data below includes Q4 2018. Unless noted, dollar amounts are in millions.

Financial results and position

MetricFY 2018FY 2017
Total interest and dividend income$91.8$80.5
Net interest income$78.5$73.6
Net interest margin3.87%3.99%
Noninterest income$25.5$24.1
Noninterest expense$62.7$61.2
Provision for loan losses$3.0$3.4
Income before taxes$38.3$33.2
Net income$32.6$22.7
Diluted EPS$1.16$0.82
Return on average assets / equity1.46% / 13.13%1.09% / 9.92%
  • Profitability improved, while the efficiency ratio improved to 57.93% from 59.66%. Net interest spread declined to 3.66% from 3.88% as funding costs rose faster than asset yields.
  • Net cash from operating activities was $40.0; investing activities used $179.3 and financing activities provided $139.6. Cash and cash equivalents ended the year at $57.9.
  • Year-end assets were $2.329 billion, net loans $1.722 billion, deposits $1.800 billion and stockholders’ equity $262.3. Short- and long-term borrowings totaled $250.8, down from $296.6 a year earlier. Core deposits were 93.8% of deposits.
  • Loans grew about 10% organically. Commercial real estate and residential real estate represented approximately 65% of the loan portfolio. Nonperforming loans were 0.45% of loans; allowance coverage was 175.81% of nonperforming loans.
  • Regulatory capital ratios were above minimums; the Bank was categorized as well capitalized. Unpledged securities were $202.4, and additional FHLB borrowing capacity was approximately $309 million.

Material changes versus the prior period

  • Net income rose about 43%, supported by higher net interest and noninterest income and a lower effective tax rate. The 2018 effective tax rate was 14.9%, versus 30.7% in 2017; the 2017 rate included a $1.8 million deferred-tax remeasurement charge following federal tax reform.
  • Interest expense increased 92.8% to $13.3 million, reflecting higher deposit and borrowing costs amid Federal Reserve rate increases. Net interest margin fell 12 basis points.
  • Deposits increased $195.0 million; short-term borrowings declined $44.8 million. Commercial real estate, agricultural and commercial lending grew notably.
  • Net charge-offs decreased to $1.7 million from $1.9 million. The allowance rose to $13.6 million, while nonperforming loans edged down in ratio terms.
  • Other comprehensive income shifted to a $4.5 million loss, principally from unrealized losses on available-for-sale securities; accumulated other comprehensive income was a $4.0 million loss at year-end.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected 2019 effective taxes of 15%–16% and anticipated noninterest income growth. The filing provides no quantified earnings or revenue guidance.
  • Management cited deposit-rate competition and rising funding costs as pressure on margins. Interest-rate modeling showed a 3.0% decline in net interest income and a 16.6% decline in net present value of equity under a 100-basis-point rate decrease; the latter exceeded the company’s 10% policy limit. Management said it would continue monitoring the exception.
  • Key risks include regional economic and real-estate conditions, concentrations in real-estate lending, indirect auto credit, loan-loss estimate uncertainty, interest-rate exposure, liquidity and funding access, competition, cybersecurity, regulatory changes and integration of acquired businesses.
  • Available-for-sale securities had $7.3 million of gross unrealized losses at year-end; management attributed losses primarily to interest rates and liquidity rather than credit deterioration and did not expect to be required to sell the securities before recovery.
  • Q4 net income was $8.7 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, versus $5.2 million, or $0.19, in Q4 2017. Q4 2018 included a $180,000 reduction in merger-related costs from a Bowers acquisition earnout revaluation.
  • Management believed pending and threatened legal matters would not materially affect results or equity, though an unfavorable resolution could affect a future period. The company changed its auditor for 2019 after the 2018 audit; it reported no disagreements or reportable events with the outgoing auditor. Management and the auditor reported effective internal control over financial reporting.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Reconcile conflicting 2017 figures in the filing: the audited income statement reports pretax income of $33.2 million, taxes of $10.5 million and noninterest expense of $61.2 million, while selected-data and MD&A disclosures show differing amounts.
  • Track deposit pricing, funding costs and margin trends, alongside the composition and growth of wholesale borrowings and brokered deposits.
  • Monitor real-estate and agricultural credit quality, consumer auto charge-offs, nonperforming loans, and allowance adequacy as the loan book expands.
  • Assess the sensitivity of equity value and earnings to falling rates and management’s response to the disclosed policy-limit exception.
  • Review subsequent securities valuation changes, capital and liquidity levels, and the realization of management’s 2019 outlook statements.