LAKELAND FINANCIAL CORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2011

Lakeland Financial Corporation — Q3 2011 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. Lakeland Financial is the holding company for Lake City Bank, operating 43 offices in 12 northern Indiana counties and a loan production office in Indianapolis. This unaudited filing covers the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2011; balance-sheet comparisons are to December 31, 2010. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars, generally millions unless stated otherwise.

Financial performance and condition

  • Earnings: Third-quarter net income was $8.45 million, up 29.5% from $6.52 million; diluted EPS was $0.52 versus $0.40. Nine-month net income was $22.40 million, up 19.4% from $18.76 million; diluted EPS was $1.37 versus $0.96. The 2010 nine-month common earnings comparison included $3.19 million of preferred-stock dividends and discount accretion.
  • Revenue and margins: Net interest income was $22.82 million for Q3, down 1.7%, and $69.30 million for nine months, essentially unchanged year over year. Net interest margin declined to 3.48% from 3.70% in Q3 and to 3.60% from 3.77% year to date. Nine-month noninterest income rose 1.5% to $16.67 million; noninterest expense increased 3.8% to $41.62 million.
  • Credit costs and profitability drivers: Q3 provision for loan losses was $2.40 million versus $6.15 million; nine-month provision was $10.90 million versus $17.43 million. The lower provision was the principal driver of earnings growth. Nine-month net charge-offs were $3.83 million, compared with $7.49 million.
  • Balance sheet and funding: Total assets were $2.827 billion, up 5.4% from year-end 2010. Loans, excluding loans held for sale, were $2.181 billion, up $91.0 million; deposits were $2.356 billion, up 7.1%. Cash and cash equivalents were $101.3 million. Short-term borrowings declined to $141.6 million from $174.1 million; long-term borrowings were $15.0 million and subordinated debentures $30.9 million.
  • Cash flow: For the first nine months, operating cash flow was $38.25 million, investing cash flow was negative $112.59 million, and financing cash flow was positive $115.47 million. Cash and cash equivalents increased $41.14 million to $101.28 million.
  • Capital: Total equity was $268.8 million, up 8.8% since year-end. At September 30, the company reported Tier 1 leverage, Tier 1 risk-based, and total risk-based capital ratios of 10.3%, 12.3%, and 13.6%, respectively; the filing states the Bank remained above “well capitalized” regulatory levels.

Material changes and credit quality

  • Nonperforming assets declined 11.1% to $36.2 million; nonperforming loans were $33.3 million, or 1.52% of total loans, versus 1.77% at year-end. Impaired loans nevertheless increased to $57.7 million from $48.0 million, including four newly impaired commercial credits totaling $12.2 million.
  • Total troubled debt restructurings rose to $31.7 million from $14.6 million. Of the September balance, $22.4 million was accruing and $9.3 million was nonaccrual. The allowance for loan losses increased to $52.1 million, or 2.39% of loans, from $45.0 million at year-end.
  • Commercial lending represented approximately 85% of the loan portfolio. Management identified concentration risk from larger commercial exposures; six commercial relationships comprised 81.5% of nonperforming loans. The largest nonperforming exposure was a $14.6 million real-estate-development relationship.
  • The available-for-sale securities portfolio was $464.1 million. The company sold securities with $73.3 million in proceeds during the first nine months as part of a strategic portfolio realignment. Of 15 remaining non-agency mortgage-backed securities, 13 had been downgraded, including 10 rated below investment grade by at least one agency. Nine-month impairment losses recognized in earnings were $154,000.

Outlook, management commentary, and risks

The filing provides no specific earnings or financial guidance. Management described economic conditions in its markets as stabilized or improving in some areas, but expected a slow recovery, particularly in real estate development, recreational vehicle and mobile-home manufacturing, and other regional industries. It warned that weaker economic conditions could increase delinquencies, nonperforming loans, charge-offs, and required loan-loss provisions. Management also noted that falling rates, deposit mix, and deposit pricing could pressure net interest margin; it characterized the balance sheet as relatively neutral to interest-rate changes. The company reported that its modeled interest-rate exposure was within policy limits.

Other material considerations include reliance on commercial borrowers and potential sensitivity to a small number of large credits; downgraded non-agency mortgage-backed securities; and competition and cyclical availability of public-fund and other deposits. Management stated it intended and had the ability to hold securities with unrealized losses until recovery or maturity. No material subsequent events or material pending legal proceedings were reported. Disclosure controls were deemed effective, with no material change in internal control over financial reporting reported for the quarter.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the decline in provision expense is sustainable given rising impaired loans and troubled debt restructurings, and the adequacy of the $52.1 million allowance.
  • Performance and collateral support for the largest nonperforming commercial credits, including the $14.6 million real-estate-development exposure.
  • Further credit deterioration, ratings changes, impairment, or realized losses in the remaining non-agency mortgage-backed securities.
  • Whether loan growth and deposit funding can continue without further net interest margin compression or greater reliance on higher-cost funding.
  • How actual results compare with management’s stated expectation of a slow, uneven regional recovery; the filing gives no quantified guidance.