UNITED FIRE GROUP INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2013

United Fire Group, Inc. — Q2 2013 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2013. United Fire writes property-and-casualty and life insurance through independent agencies. Financial statements are unaudited; the independent accountant performed an interim review, not an audit. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ2 2013Q2 2012Six months 2013Six months 2012
Net premiums earned$186.4m$170.1m$363.2m$331.6m
Total revenues$219.7m$199.6m$425.0m$393.3m
Income before tax$20.3m$19.2m$50.2m$44.1m
Net income$15.5m$14.7m$37.9m$33.9m
Diluted EPS$0.61$0.58$1.49$1.33
Operating cash flow—$70.4m$75.1m
  • Premiums earned rose 9.6% in Q2 and 9.5% in the first half. Management attributed growth mainly to rate increases, premium audit collections and new business.
  • Net income increased 5.3% in Q2 and 11.8% in the first half. Six-month net investment income declined 4.2% to $55.5m; realized investment gains increased to $6.1m from $3.4m.
  • Property-and-casualty GAAP combined ratio was 99.5% for Q2 versus 96.3% a year earlier, and 95.0% for the first half versus 95.1%. Q2 underwriting gain was $0.8m, compared with $5.7m.
  • Pre-tax catastrophe losses were $14.2m in Q2 versus $12.0m, but $18.7m for the first half versus $26.1m. Prior-accident-year net reserve development was favorable by $16.4m in Q2 and $40.5m in the first half.
  • At June 30, total assets were $3.70bn, stockholders’ equity $734.4m, and cash and equivalents $80.8m. Book value per share was $29.00. Equity rose from $729.2m at year-end, as earnings were partly offset by lower unrealized investment gains and dividends.
  • Net unrealized investment gains fell $27.9m after tax in the first half, largely reflecting lower fixed-maturity values amid rising interest rates. Q2 comprehensive income was a loss of $20.2m despite net income of $15.5m.
  • Operating cash flow was $70.4m; investing cash outflow was $54.1m and financing cash outflow $42.9m. Cash declined $26.7m in the first half. Financing outflows reflected net annuity withdrawals and dividends.

Material changes, outlook and risks

  • Life insurance pre-tax income was $3.6m in Q2 versus $2.3m, but $6.1m for the first half, approximately flat year over year. Lower annuity sales and low yields weighed on premiums and investment income; annuity-related net cash outflow widened to $46.1m for the first half from $5.6m.
  • No credit-facility balance was outstanding at June 30. The company had a $100m unsecured revolving facility, maturing December 2015, and reported compliance with its covenants. The facility’s obligations were transferred to United Fire Group, Inc. from United Fire & Casualty Company in June.
  • Management gave no specific earnings or revenue guidance. It said it expected 2013 pension contributions to remain near the previously planned $7.0m; $3.5m had been contributed by June 30.
  • Key exposures include catastrophe severity and timing, long-tail claims and reserve-estimation uncertainty, interest-rate and equity-market movements, low investment yields, annuity withdrawals, and reinsurance collectability or disputes. Management said unrealized fixed-income losses were primarily rate-related and it had no intent or expected need to sell the affected securities before recovery or maturity; future impairment charges remain possible.
  • Approximately half of P&C premiums were written in five states, and 76% of life premiums in five states. A $2.9m potential capital-contribution commitment to a limited-liability partnership runs through 2017. Pending litigation was described as ordinary and routine. The IRS was examining the 2011 tax year.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether premium growth and pricing persist, and whether the Q2 deterioration in the combined ratio—especially catastrophe losses and claims in commercial liability, workers’ compensation and personal fire—continues.
  • How much future earnings rely on favorable prior-year reserve development; the filing cautions that development can vary materially between periods.
  • Whether falling unrealized investment values, higher rates, reduced investment income or annuity withdrawals affect capital, liquidity and earnings.
  • Whether the company maintains reserve adequacy, investment-portfolio credit quality, credit-facility covenant compliance and sufficient liquidity under adverse claim and reinsurance scenarios.
  • Shareholder returns: $0.33 per share in first-half dividends, 3,577 shares repurchased, and authorization to repurchase 1,126,143 additional shares through the program’s August 2014 expiration.