ASPEN AEROGELS INC annual report, FY2015

Aspen Aerogels, Inc. — FY 2015 Form 10-K

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2015; filed March 4, 2016. This is an annual report, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing. Aspen designs and manufactures aerogel insulation primarily for energy infrastructure, and also performs contract research.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricFY 2015FY 2014
Total revenue$122.5 million$102.4 million
Product revenue$120.5 million$99.3 million
Research services revenue$2.0 million$3.1 million
Gross profit / margin$24.6 million / 20%$17.1 million / 17%
Operating loss$6.2 million$16.0 million
Net loss / diluted loss per share$6.4 million / $0.28$66.3 million / $5.37
Adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAP$9.1 million$3.0 million
Cash from operations$5.4 million$6.6 million

Revenue grew 20%, driven by a 21% increase in product sales. Shipments rose 11% to 42.2 million square feet; average selling price increased 9.9% to $2.85 per square foot, reflecting price increases and a shift toward higher-priced products. Gross margin improved with higher prices, favorable product mix, expanded capacity and better manufacturing productivity. Research-services revenue fell 37%, largely due to fewer active government contracts.

Capital expenditures were $22.0 million, leaving operating cash flow more than offset by investment spending. Cash and equivalents were $32.8 million, down from $49.7 million; working capital was $44.2 million. Total debt was approximately $0.1 million, principally capital leases. The company had no revolver borrowings, but $2.7 million of letters of credit; effective availability under its $20 million facility was $12.6 million. The facility matures August 31, 2016. Accumulated deficit was $405.5 million.

Material changes and business developments

  • The third East Providence production line began operating in Q1 2015, lifting annual nameplate capacity to 50–55 million square feet. FY 2015 shipments were about 42.2 million square feet.
  • The company selected Statesboro, Georgia, for a second manufacturing facility. It estimated $110–$120 million for plant infrastructure and the first production line, planned in two phases, with initial operation expected in 2018. Each phase is expected to add 20–24 million square feet of annual nameplate capacity.
  • International revenue was $78.0 million, or 64% of total revenue. Two customers accounted for 14% and 12% of revenue; the ten largest represented approximately 64% in the business discussion (another MD&A passage reports approximately 66%).
  • Material costs were 45% of product revenue, down from 46%; manufacturing expense was 36% of product revenue, down from 38%.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • 2016 outlook: Management expected total revenue to be approximately flat versus 2015, with lower subsea-market demand due to low oil prices offsetting anticipated strength in refinery, petrochemical and building/construction markets. It expected gross margin to improve and product cost of revenue to decline, while sales, marketing and administrative expenses could rise against a flat revenue base.
  • Investment and financing: The Georgia expansion requires substantial capital; management anticipated funding from cash flows, government incentives, debt and potentially equity. The company cautioned that it may need additional capital and may not obtain financing on acceptable terms.
  • Operational and market exposure: The company depended on one manufacturing site, faced risks from energy-sector capital spending and premium product pricing, and disclosed a September 2015 carbon-dioxide supply interruption that intermittently idled equipment and reduced output. Silica precursor supply was not secured through long-term contracts.
  • Other risks: Customer and receivables concentration, foreign-market exposure, competition, product quality and installation risks, and environmental, health and safety compliance. The Georgia incentives may be repayable if specified investment and job targets are missed or not maintained.
  • Unusual items: FY 2014’s $50.3 million interest expense largely reflected fair-value remeasurement of convertible debt that converted at the IPO; it did not recur in 2015. FY 2015 included $0.7 million of Northborough facility restoration settlement costs. The filing reports no material legal proceedings or probable litigation losses.
  • Management reported disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting were effective at year-end 2015. Significant deficiencies identified in 2013–2014 concerning accounting resources and income-tax controls were reported as remediated during 2015.

Investor verification priorities

  • Confirm the flat-revenue 2016 outlook and the assumed offset between weaker subsea demand and growth in other markets.
  • Track Statesboro construction timing, total cost, financing arrangements and progress against incentive-related investment and employment targets.
  • Assess cash use, working-capital needs and the renewal or replacement of the revolver before its August 2016 maturity.
  • Monitor customer concentration, supplier continuity, manufacturing yields and the effect of oil-market conditions on orders and pricing.
  • Reconcile the filing’s different descriptions of top-ten customer revenue concentration (64% versus approximately 66%) and its quarterly Q4 net-income figures with the audited annual statements.