CARPENTER TECHNOLOGY CORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2015

Carpenter Technology Corporation — Form 10-Q Summary

Reporting period: The filing is for the fiscal third quarter and nine months ended March 31, 2015 (filed May 7, 2015). Although the request metadata says “2014 Q3,” the filing itself covers fiscal 2015 Q3.

Business context and results

Carpenter manufactures, fabricates and distributes specialty metals and operates two reportable segments: Specialty Alloys Operations (SAO) and Performance Engineered Products (PEP).

MetricThree months ended March 31Nine months ended March 31
Net sales$570.6 million vs. $566.3 million; up 1%$1,668.8 million vs. $1,568.4 million; up 6%
Gross profit / margin$75.8 million / 13.3%, vs. $94.5 million / 16.7%$229.9 million / 13.8%, vs. $293.2 million / 18.7%
Operating income / margin$4.8 million / 0.8%, vs. $49.5 million / 8.7%$71.9 million / 4.3%, vs. $152.8 million / 9.7%
Net income (loss)$(1.4) million vs. $30.6 million; diluted EPS $(0.03) vs. $0.57$36.2 million vs. $94.7 million; diluted EPS $0.68 vs. $1.76

Management reported adjusted Q3 diluted EPS of $0.32, excluding restructuring charges and consulting costs; this is a non-GAAP measure. Excluding surcharge revenue, Q3 sales declined 1% and shipment volume fell 11%. Q3 sales to aerospace and defense increased 8%, while energy sales declined 15%. For the nine-month period, sales excluding surcharges rose 4%.

SAO Q3 sales were $469.8 million, up 4%, but operating income fell to $37.9 million from $51.6 million. PEP sales were $120.4 million, down 7%, and operating income was $8.5 million versus $13.1 million. The filing attributes pressure to oil-and-gas weakness, higher operating costs, reduced inventory and unfavorable cost absorption, and increased depreciation.

Cash flow, debt and liquidity

  • Nine-month operating cash flow was $148.4 million, versus $144.0 million. Capital expenditures were $152.3 million, down from $298.2 million; reported free cash flow, after dividends, was negative $32.5 million versus negative $182.7 million.
  • Cash was $29.4 million at March 31, 2015, down from $120.0 million at June 30, 2014. The company reported total liquidity of approximately $521.2 million, including $491.8 million available under its $500 million revolving credit facility.
  • Long-term debt was $609.8 million, compared with $604.3 million at June 30, 2014. The company reported covenant compliance, with a 31% debt-to-capital ratio against a maximum of 55%, and interest coverage of 11.5x against a 3.5x minimum.
  • Nine-month dividends were $28.8 million ($0.54 per share). The company repurchased 1.41 million shares for $60.3 million; $439.7 million remained under its $500 million, two-year authorization.

Material changes, outlook and risks

  • In March 2015, the company approved restructuring actions with $25.3 million of charges: workforce reductions of approximately 200 salaried positions, exit from an ultra-fine-grain development program, and a facility closure. Completion is expected substantially by the end of fiscal Q1 2016. Management expects approximately $30 million in annual overhead savings.
  • Management said Q3 results reflected improved SAO product mix, more than offset by cost increases, inventory-reduction-related under-absorption and oil-and-gas weakness. Inventory was reduced by approximately $46 million in Q3, with further reductions planned. The filing provides no formal earnings guidance.
  • Management expects fiscal 2015 net periodic benefit costs of $45.9 million, compared with $60.1 million in fiscal 2014, and approximately $1.7 million in additional qualified pension contributions for the rest of fiscal 2015.
  • Commodity and customer exposure merits attention: the company reported approximately $55.5 million of net deferred commodity-forward losses, about 62% associated with contracts supporting firm-price sales to one customer. A customer failure to meet commitments could expose the company to losses. Alcoa accounted for approximately 12% of Q3 sales.
  • Other risks include cyclical end markets, raw-material and surcharge timing, oil-and-gas conditions, pension assumptions, foreign exchange, specialized manufacturing equipment, and execution of restructuring and cost-saving plans. Environmental remediation liabilities were $15.7 million; management said they were not expected to be material long-term, while noting possible material effects in an individual quarter or year.
  • Derivative liabilities at fair value rose to $59.1 million from $10.9 million at June 30, 2014, primarily reflecting commodity contracts. The filing also describes a $4.4 million favorable legal settlement in the nine-month period and an immaterial correction of an equity-method investment translation error.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether cost actions deliver the stated approximately $30 million annual savings, and whether restructuring costs or additional actions arise.
  • Whether operating margins and volumes stabilize, particularly in SAO and oil-and-gas-exposed PEP businesses, and how inventory reductions affect production absorption and cash flow.
  • The one-customer concentration within deferred commodity losses, customers’ performance under firm-price arrangements, and subsequent movements in derivative valuations.
  • Cash needs for capital spending, share repurchases, dividends and pension contributions, alongside covenant headroom and borrowing availability.
  • How much of the reported earnings decline reflects ongoing operations versus restructuring, consulting costs, surcharge effects and other non-GAAP adjustments.