M&T BANK CORP quarterly report, Q3 FY2012

M&T Bank Corporation — Q3 2012 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2012; balance-sheet comparisons are to December 31, 2011 unless noted. Amounts are in U.S. dollars. The filing is unaudited.

Business context and results

M&T is a regional bank with commercial, real estate, consumer, retail, trust and mortgage-banking businesses. Its August 2012 agreement to acquire Hudson City Bancorp is a major pending transaction. Results also include Wilmington Trust, acquired in May 2011.

MetricQ3 2012Q3 2011Change
Net interest income$662.7 million$616.7 millionUp 7%
Total revenue (net interest income plus other income)$1.108 billion$985.1 millionUp 13%
Provision for credit losses$46 million$58 millionDown 21%
Other expense$616.0 million$662.0 millionDown 7%
Net income$293.5 million$183.1 millionUp 60%
Diluted EPS$2.17$1.32Up 64%
Net interest margin, taxable-equivalent3.77%3.68%Up 9 basis points
Return on average assets1.45%0.94%Higher

For the first nine months of 2012, net income was $733.3 million versus $711.7 million; diluted EPS was $5.37 versus $5.32. Net interest income was $1.931 billion versus $1.772 billion, while total other income was $1.214 billion versus $1.184 billion. The 2011 comparison included $150 million of securities-sale gains and a $65 million Wilmington Trust acquisition gain.

Management’s non-GAAP net operating income was $302.1 million, or $2.24 per diluted share, for Q3 2012, compared with $210.0 million and $1.53 in Q3 2011. The filing defines this measure to exclude acquisition-related amortization and merger gains and expenses.

Financial position, cash flow and credit

MetricSeptember 30, 2012December 31, 2011
Total assets$81.1 billion$77.9 billion
Loans, net of unearned discount, before allowance$64.1 billion$60.1 billion
Total deposits$64.0 billion$59.4 billion
Long-term borrowings$5.0 billion$6.7 billion
Shareholders’ equity$9.9 billion$9.3 billion
Allowance for credit losses$921 million$908 million

For the first nine months, operating cash flow was $473.8 million, compared with $1.285 billion in 2011; investing cash flow was a use of $2.726 billion, versus a source of $614.7 million; and financing cash flow was a source of $2.423 billion, versus a use of $1.480 billion. Cash and cash equivalents were $1.623 billion at period-end. The cash-flow statement reflects a $3.572 billion net increase in loans and a $4.624 billion increase in deposits.

  • Net charge-offs were $41.8 million in Q3, versus $57.1 million a year earlier; the annualized charge-off rate declined to 0.26% from 0.39%.
  • Nonaccrual loans were $925 million, or 1.44% of loans, down from $1.114 billion, or 1.91%, a year earlier. Nonperforming assets were $1.037 billion, or 1.62% of loans plus foreclosed assets.
  • Accruing loans at least 90 days past due, excluding acquired loans, were $309 million, up from $240 million a year earlier; most were government-guaranteed residential mortgages.
  • The allowance was 1.44% of loans, compared with 1.56% a year earlier. Management said it believed the allowance appropriately reflected inherent portfolio losses.

At September 30, consolidated Tier 1 capital, total capital and Tier 1 leverage ratios were 10.21%, 13.55% and 9.82%, respectively. Tangible common equity to tangible assets was 7.04%, compared with 6.40% at year-end 2011. The common dividend remained $0.70 per share quarterly.

Material changes and unusual items

  • Q3 earnings benefited from higher net interest income, lower credit-loss provision and stronger mortgage-banking revenue. Mortgage-banking revenue rose to $106.8 million from $38.1 million, reflecting refinancing activity, wider margins and higher loan-sale volumes.
  • Average loans grew 9% year over year to $63.5 billion, led by residential real estate and commercial lending. Average core deposits rose 10% to $60.0 billion; noninterest-bearing balances increased while time deposits declined.
  • Q3 2012 had no Wilmington Trust merger-related expense; Q3 2011 included $26 million pre-tax. For the first nine months, 2012 included $10 million of merger-related expense, compared with $67 million in 2011.
  • Other-than-temporary impairment losses recognized in earnings were $5.7 million in Q3 and $33.3 million year to date, primarily on privately issued mortgage-backed securities. The 2011 nine-month period included $150 million of securities-sale gains.
  • In August 2012, the U.S. Treasury sold its M&T Series A and C preferred shares, allowing M&T to exit TARP. The preferred shares remain outstanding; amended terms provide for a 6.375% dividend rate from November 2013, subject to shareholder approval, and restrict redemption before November 2018.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Hudson City acquisition: M&T expected completion by mid-2013, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. Hudson City reported $41.9 billion of assets and $37.2 billion of liabilities. M&T expected to repay about $13 billion of its long-term borrowings by liquidating a comparably sized securities portfolio. No earnings guidance is provided in the filing.
  • Interest rates: Management’s modeled first-year net interest income increased by $98 million under a gradual +100 basis-point scenario and declined by $57 million under a -100 basis-point scenario. These are estimates dependent on assumptions; actual outcomes could differ materially.
  • Credit and securities exposure: Management cited weak housing conditions, real-estate valuations, elevated delinquencies, unemployment and regional economic weakness. Privately issued mortgage securities include substantial Level 3 valuations based partly on unobservable inputs. The company warned that adverse collateral performance could prompt additional impairment.
  • Funding and regulation: Management considered normal-course liquidity sources adequate, but noted that funding access could be affected by rating deterioration or market disruption. Dodd-Frank phase-in beginning in 2013 will remove trust-preferred securities from holding-company Tier 1 capital over time; M&T had $1.2 billion of such securities.
  • Commitments and litigation: Commitments included $20.5 billion of commercial and other credit extensions, $3.9 billion of standby letters of credit and $2.0 billion of financial guarantees and indemnification contracts. Management did not expect litigation liabilities to be material to financial position; reasonably possible losses beyond recorded liabilities were estimated at $0–$40 million, though future-period operating results could be affected.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the Hudson City transaction received required approvals, closed as expected, and achieved its stated financing and integration assumptions.
  • Whether mortgage-banking gains and elevated origination volumes persisted, and how repurchase claims affected revenue; Q3 mortgage-banking revenue included an estimated $10 million reduction for repurchase obligations.
  • Whether loan-quality improvement continued, particularly in residential real estate, builder/developer, Alt-A and junior-lien home-equity portfolios, and whether the allowance remained adequate.
  • How privately issued mortgage-backed securities and other Level 3 valuations performed, and whether collateral defaults or loss severities required additional impairments.
  • How capital ratios and funding costs were affected by trust-preferred phase-out, changing interest rates, and any post-merger repayment of Hudson City borrowings.