NOAH HOLDINGS LTD annual report, Q4 FY2019

Noah Holdings Limited — Form 20-F Summary

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2019. This is an annual filing, not a standalone fourth-quarter report; separate Q4 results are not provided in the supplied filing text. Financial statements are prepared under U.S. GAAP. Amounts below are RMB unless otherwise stated.

Business context

Noah provides wealth management, asset management and lending services, principally to high-net-worth clients in China and overseas. Its revenue comes mainly from product-distribution commissions, recurring management and service fees, performance-based income, and other services. The company operates through subsidiaries and a PRC variable interest entity (VIE) controlled by contractual arrangements.

Financial and operating performance

MetricFY 2019FY 2018Change
Total revenueRMB3,413.2mRMB3,310.1m+3.1%
Net revenueRMB3,391.8mRMB3,289.6m+3.1%
Operating incomeRMB915.0mRMB926.5m-1.2%
Net income attributable to Noah shareholdersRMB829.2m (US$119.1m)RMB811.3m+2.2%
Adjusted net income attributable to Noah shareholders (non-GAAP)RMB1,038.2m (US$149.1m)RMB1,010.8m+2.7%
Operating cash flowRMB1,288.2mRMB1,029.4m+25.1%

Operating margin was approximately 27.0%, versus 28.2% in 2018; net income attributable to shareholders was approximately 24.4% of net revenue, versus 24.7%. Basic/diluted EPS was RMB27.12/RMB26.84; basic/diluted EPS per ADS was RMB13.56/RMB13.42. No dividends were declared for 2019, and the board did not plan to pay dividends.

Revenue mix and segments: Wealth management net revenue was RMB2,319.3m (+0.6%) and operating income RMB437.7m, down from RMB607.2m. Asset management net revenue was RMB783.6m (+4.7%) and operating income RMB391.3m, up from RMB353.2m. Lending and other businesses net revenue was RMB289.0m (+22.9%) and operating income RMB85.9m, compared with an operating loss of RMB33.9m. Other service fees increased to RMB523.0m from RMB361.9m; one-time commissions fell to RMB931.7m from RMB1,028.0m, and performance-based income declined to RMB113.1m from RMB143.6m.

Business metrics: Wealth-management product transaction value was RMB78.5bn, down from RMB110.0bn. Public-securities transaction value rose 94.1% to RMB26.4bn, while credit-product value fell to RMB34.3bn from RMB75.5bn. The company stopped offering single-counterparty private debt products beginning in Q3 2019. Asset-management AUM increased 0.6% to RMB170.2bn; private equity accounted for 61.6% of AUM, while credit investments fell to RMB29.6bn from RMB39.4bn. Loans originated declined 50% to RMB6.8bn.

Costs and unusual items: Operating costs and expenses rose 4.8% to RMB2,476.8m. A RMB130.7m provision for doubtful accounts was recorded, including a RMB121.6m one-time write-off of receivables related to a credit fund product. Investment income turned to a RMB28.6m loss from RMB48.6m income, including RMB104.4m impairment losses on held-to-maturity investments. Income from equity in affiliates increased to RMB115.8m from RMB14.5m.

Cash, liquidity and obligations

  • Cash and cash equivalents were RMB4,387.3m (US$630.2m) at year-end, up from RMB2,704.1m. Current assets were RMB6,731.2m and current liabilities RMB1,505.1m, a current ratio of approximately 4.5x.
  • Operating cash flow was RMB1,288.2m; investing cash outflow was RMB182.0m and financing cash inflow RMB543.3m. Financing inflow included RMB518.6m of contributions from non-controlling shareholders. Capital expenditures were RMB65.3m.
  • Total liabilities were RMB1,927.6m. The 2015 convertible notes were fully converted by year-end 2019; no convertible notes remained outstanding. Operating lease liabilities were RMB374.4m. Contractual operating lease payments totaled RMB405.3m.
  • Management stated that cash and anticipated operating cash flow should cover expected needs for at least the next 12 months. However, PRC statutory reserves, registered capital restrictions and foreign-exchange controls limit transfers of some PRC net assets; restricted net assets totaled RMB1,771.6m.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management emphasized a shift toward standardized public securities products, broader asset allocation, recurring-fee products and overseas growth. Overseas revenue was RMB945.8m, up 25.4% according to management. No specific quantitative earnings or revenue guidance is provided.
  • Key risks include regulatory changes affecting wealth and asset management, the VIE structure and foreign-investment rules; client investment losses, redemptions and product-provider concentration; credit, real-estate and market risks; and reliance on PRC subsidiaries and VIEs to fund the offshore holding company.
  • Claims were filed in 2020 against Gopher Shanghai, an affiliate fund manager, relating to credit funds involved in supply-chain financing connected to companies associated with Camsing International. Noah stated Gopher was not involved in the suspected fraud; proceedings were preliminary and the financial impact could not be reasonably estimated.
  • COVID-19 was identified as a subsequent event. The filing said it had not materially affected the company’s financial condition or results as of the reporting date, but future effects were uncertain and could disrupt operations, client activity and investment values.
  • The company reported effective internal control over financial reporting, with an unqualified auditor opinion. It also disclosed risks concerning the enforceability of PRC VIE contracts and U.S. investors’ access to audit oversight in China.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • How the credit-fund receivables write-off and the Camsing-related claims may affect future losses, collections, legal costs and reputation.
  • Whether the shift away from single-counterparty private debt can sustain transaction volumes, commission revenue and client activity as public-securities products expand.
  • The quality, valuation and liquidity of AUM, including the timing and realizability of performance-based fees and returns from private equity and real-estate investments.
  • Recoverability and collection of related-party receivables, which totaled RMB548.7m on the balance sheet, and the scale of related-party fund revenues and fees.
  • Availability of cash at the parent-company level given VIE dependence, statutory restrictions, foreign-exchange controls and substantial restricted net assets.
  • Developments in PRC regulation of VIEs and private funds, COVID-19 effects, and any changes to the status of the company’s auditor-inspection or U.S. listing risks.