PROVIDENT FINANCIAL SERVICES INC quarterly report, Q1 FY2016

Provident Financial Services, Inc. — Q1 2016 Form 10-Q

Business context and period. Provident Financial Services, Inc. and its subsidiary, The Provident Bank, reported unaudited results for the three months ended March 31, 2016, compared with Q1 2015. Balance-sheet comparisons are with December 31, 2015. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars; financial statement amounts are rounded to millions unless stated otherwise.

Key financial metrics

MetricQ1 2016 / March 31, 2016Comparison
Net interest income$63.1 million$61.9 million in Q1 2015
Net interest margin3.11%3.24% in Q1 2015
Provision for loan losses$1.5 million$0.6 million in Q1 2015
Non-interest income$13.0 million$10.3 million in Q1 2015
Non-interest expense$44.9 million$43.4 million in Q1 2015
Net income; diluted EPS$21.0 million; $0.33$19.8 million; $0.32 in Q1 2015
Total assets$9.03 billion$8.91 billion at year-end 2015
Total loans; allowance for loan losses$6.64 billion; $62.2 millionLoans up $100.5 million; allowance was 0.94% of loans
Deposits; borrowed funds$6.15 billion; $1.57 billionDeposits up $230.9 million; borrowings down $137.5 million
Stockholders’ equity$1.21 billionUp $18.1 million from year-end 2015
Cash flowsOperating +$27.8 million; investing −$106.2 million; financing +$84.3 millionCash and cash equivalents increased $5.9 million to $108.1 million

Performance and material changes

  • Net income rose about 5.9% year over year. Net interest income grew $1.1 million, as loan growth and increased average non-interest-bearing deposits partly offset margin compression.
  • Net interest margin declined 13 basis points year over year. Average loan yield fell 19 basis points to 3.97%; the yield on interest-earning assets declined 12 basis points to 3.66%.
  • Non-interest income increased 26.4%, principally reflecting a $1.8 million increase in wealth management income associated with the MDE acquisition completed April 1, 2015. Other income also included a $204,000 gain from a strategic branch deposit sale.
  • Non-interest expense increased $1.4 million, mainly from compensation and benefits, including employees added through MDE, merit increases, and higher employee benefit costs. Lower occupancy costs partly offset the increase.
  • Loans grew 1.5% during the quarter, with growth concentrated in multifamily mortgages and commercial lending. Commercial real estate, commercial, and construction loans represented 72.6% of the portfolio.
  • Credit quality weakened on selected measures: non-accrual loans rose to $50.6 million from $44.4 million at year-end; non-performing assets increased to $61.7 million from $55.1 million. Non-performing loans were 0.76% of total loans, versus 0.68% at year-end. Net charge-offs were $734,000, compared with $1.2 million in Q1 2015.
  • Core deposits were $5.36 billion, or 87.1% of deposits; brokered deposits totaled $153.2 million. Management attributed lower quarter-end borrowings to deposit inflows replacing shorter-term wholesale funding.

Liquidity, capital, outlook, and risks

  • The Bank and holding company exceeded stated minimum regulatory capital requirements. At the Bank, the common equity Tier 1 ratio was 10.558%, Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio 10.558%, total risk-based capital ratio 11.473%, and Tier 1 leverage ratio 8.422%. These exceeded the applicable minimums including the capital conservation buffer.
  • Management reported that it had no formal full-year earnings guidance in this filing and cautioned that Q1 results are not necessarily indicative of 2016 results. It cited loan growth and wealth management income as supportive, while noting net interest margin compression.
  • Interest-rate simulations projected a 1.8% decline in 12-month net interest income under a 300-basis-point rate increase and a 2.4% decline under a 100-basis-point decrease. An immediate, sustained 300-basis-point increase was projected to reduce economic value of equity by 9.5%. Management cautioned that model assumptions limit predictive precision.
  • Key risks include changes in interest rates, liquidity and funding conditions, borrower credit deterioration, economic and real-estate-market weakness, competition, regulation, and acquisition integration. The allowance for loan losses, securities valuations, goodwill, and deferred tax assets rely on estimates and judgment.
  • The MDE acquisition includes contingent consideration payable four years after closing if revenue targets are met; the agreement caps total additional payment at $12.5 million. The filing reports a $338,000 fair-value liability at acquisition.
  • Management said ordinary-course legal claims were not expected to have a material adverse effect. No material changes to the risk factors from the 2015 Form 10-K were reported. Disclosure controls were assessed as effective.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether loan growth and MDE-related wealth management revenue can offset continued net interest margin pressure.
  • Trends in non-accrual loans, criticized and classified commercial credits, and the allowance relative to portfolio risk.
  • The sustainability and cost of deposit growth, including brokered deposits, and the Company’s reliance on borrowings.
  • Actual interest-rate sensitivity versus the filing’s modeled scenarios and assumptions.
  • Future MDE performance and any contingent consideration payable under the acquisition agreement.