Trueblue, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2019

TrueBlue, Inc. — Q3 2019 Form 10-Q

Business context and period. TrueBlue provides staffing and workforce solutions through PeopleReady, PeopleManagement and PeopleScout. This unaudited report covers the 13 and 39 weeks ended September 29, 2019; comparisons are with the periods ended September 30, 2018.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2019Q3 201839 weeks 201939 weeks 2018
Revenue$636.8m$680.4m$1,777.7m$1,849.1m
Gross profit / margin$169.1m / 26.6%$184.3m / 27.1%$475.8m / 26.8%$493.2m / 26.7%
Operating income / margin$29.2m / 4.6%$28.4m / 4.2%$58.8m / 3.3%$57.0m / 3.1%
Net income$26.7m$24.4m$54.4m$50.9m
Diluted EPS$0.68$0.61$1.38$1.26
  • Revenue and segments: Q3 revenue declined 6.4%, reflecting weaker client demand and lower volumes. PeopleReady revenue fell 3.6%, PeopleManagement fell 12.1%, and PeopleScout fell 8.7%. For the 39-week period, PeopleScout revenue grew 8.5%, largely due to the TMP acquisition; PeopleReady declined 1.2% and PeopleManagement declined 13.4%.
  • Profitability: Q3 gross margin narrowed 0.5 percentage points, mainly from client mix and higher workers’ compensation expense. Lower SG&A—down $14.2m in Q3 through cost controls—more than offset weaker gross profit, lifting operating income. YTD gross margin was broadly stable; operating income increased 3.2%.
  • Cash flow: Operating cash flow was $52.5m for 39 weeks, down from $68.6m. Investing used $11.7m, including $18.3m in capital expenditures, while financing used $68.6m, including $31.3m in share repurchases and $36.2m of net revolver repayments. Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash ended at $75.4m, including $23.6m of unrestricted cash.
  • Debt and liquidity: Long-term debt was $43.8m at September 29, versus $80.0m at December 30, 2018; management separately reported total debt of $44m versus $108m at the prior-year Q3 end. The company reported $250m available under its revolving facility and total liquidity of $274m. Restricted cash and investments of $227.0m principally support workers’ compensation obligations and are not equivalent to unrestricted liquidity.
  • Balance sheet and returns: Total assets were $1,131.0m and shareholders’ equity $620.7m. The company repurchased $31.3m of stock during the 39 weeks; $26.7m remained under the existing authorization at quarter-end. On October 16, the board authorized an additional $100m repurchase program.

Outlook, risks and notable items

  • Management expected further revenue pressure in Q4 2019, citing broad same-client demand weakness across industries and geographies; it provided no numerical earnings or revenue guidance and noted limited visibility into future demand.
  • Management highlighted cost discipline and ongoing investment in digital tools, including PeopleReady’s JobStack and PeopleScout’s Affinix. JobStack dispatched 1 million shifts in Q3, with a 40% digital fill rate and 87% worker adoption.
  • Key risks include economic and client-demand sensitivity, client concentration and losses, wage and recruiting pressures, workers’ compensation claims and collateral needs, competition and technology disruption, and cybersecurity and regulatory exposure. The company is substantially self-insured for workers’ compensation; its net reserve was $259.3m.
  • SIMOS goodwill had an estimated fair-value cushion of about 10% over carrying value, below management’s 20% threshold for “substantially in excess.” A roughly 1 percentage-point increase in its discount rate, 3-point decline in forecast revenue growth, or 1-point decline in gross margin could cause carrying value to exceed fair value. No impairment was recorded.
  • The Work Opportunity Tax Credit contributed to the low 10.4% YTD effective tax rate; its authorization was due to expire December 31, 2019 absent extension. The company adopted lease accounting in Q1, adding operating lease assets and liabilities; management said adoption did not materially affect operations or cash flows.
  • Management said ordinary-course legal proceedings were not expected to materially affect results or financial condition. Disclosure controls were assessed as effective at quarter-end.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether weak same-client demand and the announced Q4 pressure persisted, especially in PeopleManagement and PeopleReady.
  • Whether cost controls and pricing can sustain operating margins as revenue declines and wage and workers’ compensation costs evolve.
  • Workers’ compensation reserve estimates, collateral requirements, and SIMOS reporting-unit performance relative to its limited goodwill cushion.
  • Cash generation, revolver availability, and the effects of continued share repurchases on liquidity and capital allocation.
  • The status of the Work Opportunity Tax Credit after its stated year-end 2019 expiration date.