UBS Group AG current report, Q4 FY2021

UBS Group AG: Fourth Quarter 2021 Financial Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K filing covers the Fourth Quarter 2021 results for UBS Group AG, a Swiss systemically relevant bank (SRB). The report was filed on February 1, 2022. The period reflects a strategic update with new financial targets, the acquisition of digital wealth manager Wealthfront, and significant regulatory developments in Switzerland and the EU.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (USD Million) Q4 2021 Q4 2020 Full Year 2021
Operating Income 8,732 8,117 35,542
Operating Expenses 7,003 6,132 26,058
Operating Profit Before Tax 1,729 1,985 9,484
Net Profit Attributable to Shareholders 1,348 1,636 7,457
Diluted EPS (USD) 0.38 0.44 2.06
Return on Equity (ROE) 8.9% 11.0% 12.6%
Cost/Income Ratio 80.5% 74.9% 73.6%
CET1 Capital Ratio 15.0% 13.8% 15.0%
Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) 155% 152% 155%

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Profit Decline: Q4 2021 net profit attributable to shareholders decreased 17.6% year-over-year to USD 1.348 billion, driven primarily by a USD 871 million increase in operating expenses.
  • Expense Surge: General and administrative expenses rose by USD 697 million, largely due to a USD 740 million increase in litigation provisions related to the French cross-border wealth management matter.
  • Revenue Growth: Total operating income increased 8% to USD 8.732 billion, supported by higher net fee and commission income (up USD 445 million) and net interest income.
  • Capital Position: Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital increased to USD 45.3 billion, with the CET1 ratio rising to 15.0%.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • Updated Targets: UBS updated its long-term targets to a 15–18% return on CET1 capital, a 70–73% cost/income ratio, and 10–15% profit growth in Global Wealth Management over the cycle.
  • Capital Returns: The Board intends to propose a 2021 dividend of USD 0.50 per share. A new 2022–2024 share repurchase program of up to USD 6 billion was announced, with an expectation to execute up to USD 5 billion by end of 2022.
  • Acquisitions: UBS agreed to acquire Wealthfront for USD 1.4 billion, expected to close in H2 2022. This is projected to decrease the CET1 ratio by approximately 0.4 percentage points upon closing.
  • Regulatory Risks:
    • France: The Court of Appeal upheld a guilty verdict regarding cross-border tax fraud, ordering fines and confiscation totaling EUR 1.875 billion. UBS has appealed to the Supreme Court. Provisions of USD 1.252 billion were recorded.
    • Switzerland: Reactivation of the countercyclical capital buffer is expected to increase CET1 requirements by 30 basis points effective September 2022.
    • Climate: New Swiss regulations on climate reporting and net-zero targets are being implemented.
  • Outlook: Management expects Q1 2022 revenues to be influenced by seasonal factors and high asset prices, though geopolitical tensions and inflation remain risks.

Key Facts for Investor Verification

  • French Litigation Impact: Verify the finality of the French Court of Appeal verdict and the potential for further operational risk RWA increases in Q1 2022.
  • Wealthfront Acquisition: Monitor regulatory approval status and the timing of the closing to assess the impact on capital ratios.
  • Cost/Income Ratio: Note that the reported Q4 ratio of 80.5% was heavily impacted by litigation provisions; excluding these, the ratio would have been 72.0%.
  • Share Repurchases: Confirm the execution of the new USD 6 billion buyback program and the cancellation of shares repurchased under previous programs.
  • Regulatory Capital Buffers: Track the implementation of the Swiss countercyclical buffer and its effect on capital requirements in late 2022.