UNILEVER PLC current report, Q3 FY2024

Unilever PLC: First Half 2024 Results Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

This Form 6-K filing reports Unilever PLC's unaudited results for the six months ended June 30, 2024. The report highlights the execution of the "Growth Action Plan," focusing on high-quality sales growth, gross margin expansion, and the separation of the Ice Cream business, which is on track to complete by the end of 2025.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric H1 2024 H1 2023 Change
Turnover €31.1 billion €30.4 billion +2.3%
Underlying Sales Growth (USG) 4.1% 3.0% +110 bps
Underlying Operating Profit €6.1 billion €5.2 billion +17.1%
Underlying Operating Margin 19.6% 17.1% +250 bps
Net Profit €4.0 billion €3.9 billion +3.5%
Diluted EPS €1.47 €1.40 +5.4%
Underlying EPS €1.62 €1.39 +16.3%
Free Cash Flow €2.2 billion €2.5 billion -€0.3 billion
Net Debt €25.2 billion €23.7 billion +€1.5 billion

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Volume Growth: Underlying volume growth (UVG) improved to 2.6% in H1 2024, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive volume growth. Power Brands (approx. 75% of turnover) drove this with 4.0% volume growth.
  • Margin Expansion: Gross margin improved by 420 basis points to 45.7%, driven by volume leverage, mix, and productivity. This allowed for a 180 basis point increase in brand and marketing investment to 15.1% of turnover.
  • Segment Performance:
    • Beauty & Wellbeing: Strongest performer with 7.1% USG, led by Health & Wellbeing and Prestige Beauty.
    • Personal Care: 5.6% USG, driven by Deodorants and Skin Cleansing.
    • Home Care: 3.3% USG with 4.6% volume growth, offset by negative price growth due to commodity deflation.
    • Nutrition: 3.2% USG, driven by price with flat volumes in H1, though volumes turned positive in Q2.
    • Ice Cream: Weakest performer with 0.6% USG and negative volume (-1.0%) due to a soft start to the season in Europe and weakness in China.
  • Geography: Emerging markets grew 5.1% (USG), while Developed markets grew 2.8% (USG). Latin America and Africa/Turkey delivered double-digit growth.

Guidance, Outlook, and Risks

  • 2024 Outlook: Unilever expects full-year 2024 Underlying Sales Growth (USG) to remain within the multi-year range of 3% to 5%, with the majority driven by volume. Underlying operating margin is expected to be at least 18% for the full year.
  • Margin Progression: Management expects year-on-year margin progression in the second half to be smaller than in the first half, citing a low prior-year comparator and carry-over pricing effects that will not repeat.
  • Capital Allocation: A €1.5 billion share buyback program was announced in February; the first tranche of €850 million commenced in May. The quarterly dividend was raised by 3.0% to €0.4396 per share.
  • Risks and Contingencies:
    • Russia: Operations represent ~1% of turnover. There remains a risk of asset write-downs or loss of profit if operations cannot continue.
    • Hyperinflation: Significant net monetary losses arose from hyperinflationary economies (Argentina and Turkey).
    • Geopolitics: Sales in Indonesia declined 5.7% due to consumer avoidance of multinational brands linked to the Middle East conflict.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Volume Sustainability: Verify if the 2.6% volume growth trend can be sustained in H2, particularly in the Ice Cream and Nutrition segments which faced headwinds.
  • Margin Quality: Assess the durability of the 420bps gross margin improvement, noting management's warning that H2 progression will be smaller due to one-off factors.
  • Ice Cream Separation: Monitor progress on the legal and operational separation of the Ice Cream business, targeted for completion by end-2025.
  • Working Capital: Review the seasonal outflow in working capital that reduced Free Cash Flow to €2.2 billion despite strong operating profit.
  • Indonesia Market: Evaluate the long-term impact of the geopolitical boycott on sales in Indonesia and potential recovery strategies.