UNION PACIFIC CORP quarterly report, Q1 FY2015

Union Pacific Corporation — Q1 2015 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2015; unaudited consolidated results. Comparisons are with Q1 2014 unless otherwise noted. Financial amounts are in millions of dollars, except per-share data.

Business context

Union Pacific operates one integrated railroad segment. Freight revenue is reported across six commodity groups; the company also earns other revenue from subsidiaries, commuter rail operations, and accessorial services.

Financial performance

MetricQ1 2015Q1 2014Change/comment
Operating revenue$5,614$5,638Down less than 1%
Freight revenue$5,251$5,286Down 1%; carloads fell 2%, partly offset by 1% higher average revenue per car
Operating expenses$3,637$3,784Down 4%, principally from lower fuel costs
Operating income$1,977$1,854Higher year over year
Operating ratio64.8%67.1%Improved 2.3 points; company reported a first-quarter record
Net income$1,151$1,088Higher year over year
Diluted EPS$1.30$1.19Higher year over year
Cash from operations$2,064$1,767Higher, reflecting higher net income and timing of tax payments
Cash capital investments$1,101$893Higher year over year
Free cash flow$0$499Company-defined non-GAAP measure: operating cash flow less investing cash use and dividends paid

Fuel expense declined 39% to $564 million. Average locomotive diesel fuel cost was $1.95 per gallon versus $3.12. Compensation and benefits rose 9%, reflecting wage and benefit inflation, hiring and training, and a larger workforce. Interest expense increased to $148 million from $133 million; the weighted-average debt level rose, partly offset by a lower effective interest rate. The effective tax rate was 38.0%, compared with 38.1%.

Revenue and operating changes

  • Coal revenue fell 5% and carloads fell 7%, amid weaker domestic demand, low natural gas prices, and a soft export market.
  • Intermodal revenue declined 5%; international volume was down 12%, affected by West Coast port congestion, while domestic volume rose 9%.
  • Agricultural revenue increased 3% and automotive revenue increased 6%. Chemical and industrial-products revenue was broadly steady.
  • Fuel surcharge revenue fell to $447 million from $651 million. Management said the lag in surcharge adjustments added just over $100 million to operating income in the quarter.
  • Train speed was essentially flat at 24.6 mph; terminal dwell improved slightly to 30.6 hours. Management said operations remained below optimal levels despite improvement.

Financial position and liquidity

At March 31, 2015, cash and cash equivalents were $1,587 million, total assets were $53,145 million, and shareholders’ equity was $21,057 million. Debt was $12.3 billion, up from $11.48 billion at year-end 2014; debt to capital rose to 36.9% from 35.1%, and adjusted debt to capital rose to 42.6% from 41.3%.

The company had $1.7 billion available under its revolving credit facility, with no borrowings under it and no commercial paper outstanding. It reported compliance with the facility’s debt-to-net-worth covenant. A $650 million receivables securitization facility had $400 million outstanding. The fair value of total debt was $14.1 billion, approximately $1.8 billion above carrying value.

Cash used in financing was $921 million. The period included $922 million of dividends paid—two quarterly payments because declaration and payment timing was aligned within the quarter—and $792 million of cash share repurchases. The quarterly dividend declared per share increased to $0.55 from $0.455.

Outlook, management commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • The 2015 capital plan was revised to approximately $4.2 billion, including Positive Train Control; estimated total PTC investment through implementation was approximately $2.5 billion. Management said the plan could be revised if business conditions or regulation warrant.
  • Management said resources had been added in anticipation of strong demand, but the port slowdown and lower crude oil and natural gas prices required adjustment. At quarter-end, approximately 500 employees were furloughed or in alternate work status and about 475 locomotives were in storage. No specific earnings guidance was provided.
  • Q1 cash flow and free cash flow were affected by higher capital spending and dividend-payment timing. The reported free cash flow of zero is a company-defined non-GAAP measure.
  • Environmental liabilities were $191 million, compared with $166 million a year earlier. Personal-injury liabilities were $299 million; the estimated possible settlement-cost range was $299 million to $327 million, with the accrual recorded at the low end.
  • A federal misdemeanor Clean Water Act charge related to a 2012 sulfuric-acid release at Herington Yard was filed in March 2015. The stated penalty range is $2,500 to $200,000; a conviction could also result in facility debarment. The company said it could not predict the proceeding’s ultimate impact.
  • Fuel-surcharge antitrust litigation and other claims remain pending. The company said it believed these matters would not have a material adverse effect, but outcomes are uncertain. The filing reported no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors.
  • The company had not recognized a potential recovery in its pipeline-easement rent dispute because the outcome and timing remained uncertain. The 2014 comparison also included a $14 million gain related to a permanent easement sale.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether international intermodal volumes recover after port congestion and whether domestic intermodal growth continues.
  • Coal and crude-oil shipment trends, and the effect of commodity prices and fuel-surcharge timing on revenue and operating income.
  • Execution of the $4.2 billion capital plan and PTC spending, alongside dividends and share repurchases, and the resulting cash-flow and leverage trends.
  • Developments in the Herington Yard proceeding, fuel-surcharge antitrust cases, and environmental and personal-injury estimates.
  • The filing’s period-specific free cash flow calculation, including the unusual timing of two dividend payments in Q1 2015.