WHITE MOUNTAINS INSURANCE GROUP LTD quarterly report, Q2 FY2014

White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. — Q2 2014 Form 10-Q

Business context and reporting period. Bermuda-based specialty property and casualty insurer and reinsurer, with reportable segments OneBeacon, Sirius Group, HG Global/BAM and Other Operations. This unaudited filing covers the three and six months ended June 30, 2014; comparisons are with the corresponding 2013 periods unless noted. Dollar amounts are in millions except per-share data.

Key financial results

MetricQ2 2014Q2 2013Six months 2014Six months 2013
Total revenue$652.8$489.3$1,231.1$1,116.7
Pre-tax income from continuing operations$109.0$3.6$221.1$155.4
Net income attributable to common shareholders$95.6$26.3$191.2$146.7
Basic and diluted EPS, consolidated operations$15.53$4.26$31.00$23.55
Net realized and unrealized investment gains$113.9$(37.3)$177.7$37.9
Net investment income$29.1$28.7$53.4$57.2

Q2 2014 adjusted comprehensive income was $67.7 million, versus an adjusted comprehensive loss of $8.3 million in Q2 2013; first-half adjusted comprehensive income was $155.5 million versus $108.4 million. Management reported adjusted book value per share of $666.92 at June 30, up 4.0% for the first half including dividends.

  • Premiums: Earned premiums were $503.4 million in Q2 and $997.0 million in the first half, little changed year over year. Net written premiums increased 7% in Q2 to $487.4 million and 8% in the first half to $1,138.0 million, led by OneBeacon growth.
  • Underwriting: OneBeacon’s combined ratio was 99% in Q2 and 94% year to date, versus 94% and 91%. Elevated large losses and less favorable prior-year development weighed on results. Sirius Group’s ratios were 81% and 77%, versus 79% and 80%; lower catastrophe losses helped, while prior-year profit commissions benefited 2013.
  • Cash flow: Net cash used for operations was $42.4 million for the first half, including $11.7 million from continuing operations and $30.7 million from discontinued operations. Cash excluding restricted balances ended at $303.2 million, compared with $287.1 million at June 30, 2013.
  • Balance sheet and liquidity: At June 30, total assets were $12.36 billion, total investments $7.16 billion, common shareholders’ equity $4.11 billion and debt $677.5 million. The $425 million revolving facility was undrawn; the company reported covenant compliance. Debt was 13% of total adjusted capital.

Material changes, outlook and risks

  • Investment gains were a major driver of the earnings improvement: Q2 moved from investment losses in 2013 to $113.9 million in gains in 2014. First-half net investment income declined 7%, primarily due to lower yields. Reported investment results are also affected by foreign-currency translation, with some effects offset in other comprehensive income.
  • OneBeacon’s net written premiums rose 20% in Q2 and 19% in the first half, substantially reflecting newer businesses; excluding those additions, growth was 5% and 6%. Sirius net written premiums declined 9% in Q2 and 3% year to date.
  • OneBeacon’s sale of its runoff business to Armour remained subject to regulatory approval. Following a July 23 public hearing, management expected closing in the second half of 2014. The amended agreement increased the seller-financing cap to $80.9 million; a $5.3 million after-tax estimated sale-loss adjustment was recorded in Q2. Closing timing and sale value remain uncertain.
  • White Mountains committed $21 million to a proposed DavidShield joint venture, expected to close in Q4 subject to regulatory approval. In July, it acquired approximately 45% of Austrian comparison portal durchblicker.at for about $11.6 million.
  • Other notable items include a $5 million first-quarter tax benefit from settlement of the 2005–2006 IRS examination, and an unresolved IRS proposal for 2007–2009 with a stated estimated assessment of $71 million including interest. The company disputes the proposed adjustments and said it could not estimate a range of outcomes; it did not expect a material financial-position impact.
  • Principal risks include catastrophe and large-loss exposure, reserve adequacy, reinsurance collectability, investment and foreign-exchange volatility, fair-value estimates, variable-annuity guarantee assumptions, regulatory limits on subsidiary dividends and execution/approval of the runoff sale. Management stated liquidity was adequate for foreseeable requirements and reported no material change in previously disclosed risk factors.

Investor verification priorities

  • Assess how much earnings and adjusted book-value growth depends on investment gains, unrealized marks and foreign-currency accounting effects.
  • Review OneBeacon large-loss experience and reserve development, alongside Sirius catastrophe losses and the sustainability of its underwriting results.
  • Track regulatory approval, final terms, seller financing and any further sale-loss adjustments for the OneBeacon runoff transaction.
  • Reconcile negative operating cash flow with available cash, investment liquidity, subsidiary dividend restrictions and the undrawn credit facility.
  • Monitor the disputed IRS examination, reinsurance recoverables and key fair-value/actuarial assumptions, including variable-annuity policyholder behavior.