Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. annual report, FY2011

Business context and reporting period

The supplied filing is Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc.’s Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2011, filed February 22, 2012. Although the request metadata names Keurig Dr Pepper and 2011 Q4, this filing identifies the registrant as Dr Pepper Snapple Group and reports full-year results; fourth-quarter figures are included as unaudited quarterly data.

The company owns, manufactures and distributes non-alcoholic beverages, primarily in the U.S., Canada and Mexico. Its three segments are Beverage Concentrates, Packaged Beverages and Latin America Beverages. The U.S. generated 89% of 2011 sales. Dr Pepper Snapple reported $5.9 billion in annual net sales and approximately 1.6 billion equivalent cases sold.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricFY 2011FY 2010
Net sales$5.903 billion$5.636 billion
Gross profit / margin$3.418 billion / 57.9%$3.393 billion / 60.2%
Operating income / margin$1.024 billion / 17.3%$1.025 billion / 18.2%
Net income / net margin$606 million / 10.3%$528 million / 9.4%
Diluted EPS$2.74$2.17
Operating cash flow$760 million$2.535 billion
Capital expenditures$215 million$246 million

Fourth-quarter 2011 net sales were $1.461 billion versus $1.412 billion a year earlier; net income was $166 million versus $112 million, and diluted EPS was $0.77 versus $0.49. Quarterly data is unaudited.

FY 2011 segment sales and segment operating profit were: Beverage Concentrates, $1.193 billion and $779 million; Packaged Beverages, $4.292 billion and $519 million; Latin America Beverages, $418 million and $43 million. At year-end, cash and cash equivalents were $701 million, total assets $9.283 billion, and stockholders’ equity $2.263 billion. Total indebtedness was reported as $2.712 billion; the balance sheet lists $2.708 billion of obligations, including current and long-term debt and capital leases. The $500 million revolving facility had no borrowings, with $493 million available for additional borrowings and letters of credit. Current liabilities were $1.915 billion, including $530 million of income taxes payable.

Material changes versus prior comparable periods

  • Annual sales rose 5%, while net income rose 15% and diluted EPS rose 26%. Weighted average diluted shares fell to 221.2 million from 242.6 million, following significant share repurchases.
  • Gross margin declined 2.3 percentage points, primarily from higher packaging, sweetener, apple juice concentrate and other commodity costs, higher LIFO inventory provisions, and $22 million in unrealized commodity-derivative losses. Price increases and productivity savings partly offset these pressures.
  • Operating income was essentially flat. Packaged Beverages segment operating profit fell $17 million, including higher input and fuel costs and an $18 million legal provision; Beverage Concentrates and Latin America Beverages segment profit increased.
  • Operating cash flow fell by $1.775 billion from 2010, chiefly because 2010 included $1.615 billion in one-time cash payments from PepsiCo and Coca-Cola. FY 2011 cash flow also reflected working-capital movements and $54 million of tax payments associated with those agreements.
  • Sales volume measured in bottler case sales declined 1% overall. CSD volume was flat and NCB volume declined 2%; Mexico and Caribbean volume increased 4%.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

Management said operating cash flows, cash on hand and available financing were expected to cover anticipated obligations for the next 12 months. The company expected discretionary annual capital expenditures of approximately 4% of net sales. The filing does not provide specific earnings or sales guidance.

PepsiCo and Coca-Cola licensing arrangements generated one-time cash payments of $900 million and $715 million in 2010. The payments were recorded as deferred revenue and are being recognized as sales over an estimated 25-year customer relationship. Approximately $27 million of related licensing revenue was recognized in 2011. The company expected approximately $531 million of tax payments, primarily in the first quarter of 2012, related to these arrangements.

Other notable items include a $100 million loss on early debt extinguishment in 2010, which did not recur in 2011; an $18 million provision for an age-discrimination verdict against a subsidiary, which the company planned to appeal; and a $2 million gain on a real-estate-for-advertising-credit barter transaction. No goodwill or indefinite-lived intangible impairment was recorded in 2011, although goodwill and other intangible assets totaled approximately $5.7 billion.

Key risks include intense competition and changing consumer preferences, reliance on major retailers and third-party bottlers, commodity and fuel cost volatility, debt servicing, supply or facility disruptions, labor and pension obligations, litigation, regulation, weather, and possible impairment of goodwill and brands. Wal-Mart represented approximately 14% of consolidated net sales; Coca-Cola and PepsiCo represented approximately 29% and 20% of Beverage Concentrates segment sales, respectively. The financial statements and internal control over financial reporting received unqualified audit opinions.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Confirm the issuer and period: this is Dr Pepper Snapple Group’s FY 2011 10-K, not a filing under the Keurig Dr Pepper name, and not a Q4-only report.
  • Assess whether margin pressure and declining overall case volume continued after 2011, especially for Packaged Beverages and NCB products.
  • Review the timing and cash impact of the approximately $531 million tax payment due primarily in early 2012, and the deferred-revenue recognition from the PepsiCo and Coca-Cola arrangements.
  • Evaluate refinancing needs, including $450 million of notes due in 2012, and the company’s ability to sustain dividends and repurchases alongside capital spending.
  • Monitor the appeal and ultimate cost of the $18 million verdict, multi-employer pension exposure, and assumptions supporting the valuation of goodwill and brands.