NATURES SUNSHINE PRODUCTS INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2012

Nature’s Sunshine Products, Inc. — Q2 2012 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and six months ended June 30, 2012. Unaudited; comparisons are with the same 2011 periods unless noted. The company manufactures and direct-sells nutritional and personal-care products through independent distributors and managers. Dollar amounts below are in millions unless stated otherwise.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQ2 2012Q2 2011Six months 2012Six months 2011
Net sales$93.0$91.8$185.9$184.7
Operating income$10.3$8.1$19.5$15.7
Operating margin11.1%8.8%10.5%8.5%
Net income$7.3$5.6$14.5$12.2
Diluted EPS$0.46$0.36$0.91$0.78
Operating cash flow——$9.2$15.8
  • Q2 net sales rose 1.3%; operating income increased 28.1% and net income 29.8%. For the first half, sales increased 0.7%, operating income 24.3%, and net income 18.6%.
  • Cost of goods sold was 18.4% of sales in Q2 and 19.1% year to date, versus 18.6% and 19.3%. Volume incentives were 36.1% of sales in both 2012 periods, compared with 36.4% for Q2 2011 and 36.7% for first-half 2011. SG&A was 34.4% of Q2 sales and 34.3% year to date, down from 36.2% and 35.5%.
  • At June 30, cash and cash equivalents were $66.4; current assets $131.6; current liabilities $62.1; and working capital $69.5, versus $57.3 at year-end 2011. Of cash, $52.4 was held in foreign markets and could be subject to repatriation taxes or restrictions. Short-term investments available for use were $2.3.
  • First-half operating cash flow fell to $9.2 from $15.8, primarily reflecting timing of payments and receipts; income-tax payments were $11.1 versus $2.7. Capital expenditures were $2.6 versus $0.7, including upgrades to the Spanish Fork facility, a new call center, and equipment purchases.
  • Debt was $7.6, down from $9.2 at December 31, 2011, after $1.6 of principal payments. The $15.0 revolving facility was undrawn and available through August 2013; the company reported compliance with debt covenants. A $0.05-per-share dividend was paid in May.

Material changes and segment trends

  • Synergy WorldWide was the principal growth driver: Q2 sales rose 14.8% (20.0% in local currencies), and first-half sales rose 14.0% (17.9% in local currencies). Growth was strongest in Europe and Korea; Japan declined.
  • NSP International sales declined 5.5% in Q2 and 5.3% for the first half; reported local-currency declines were 4.0% and 4.1%. NSP United States sales declined 1.0% and 1.7%, respectively.
  • Operating income improved partly because of lower Russian-business royalty and professional costs following the NutriPlus LLC settlement: Q2 costs were lower by about $2.1, including $1.3 of royalties and $0.8 of professional fees. International operating income also benefited, while the U.S. segment’s first-half operating income declined slightly.
  • Foreign exchange was a headwind to sales in several markets. The filing also reports that a stronger U.S. dollar could reduce operating income; its sensitivity analysis estimates a 3.9% reduction for the first half under a hypothetical 10% strengthening.

Outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • The filing provides no quantified revenue or earnings guidance. Management said it expects cash, operating cash generation, working capital, and the undrawn credit line to meet foreseeable working-capital needs, while noting that prolonged economic weakness, lower product demand, or unfavorable tax or contingency outcomes could harm liquidity.
  • Management cited distributor recruitment and retention, foreign exchange and currency controls, product and direct-selling regulation, raw-material and cost pressures, and dependence on the Spanish Fork manufacturing facility as risks. Peru’s regulatory changes restricted sales of several key products; Belarus’s currency and debt crisis weakened distributor purchasing power. Belarus and Venezuela were classified as highly inflationary economies.
  • Legal proceedings include VAT assessments and other civil matters. No loss provision was recorded; management estimated possible future payments of $0 to approximately $1.0 and cautioned that an adverse outcome could be material. Accrued foreign non-income-tax contingencies were $6.8.
  • Accrued unrecognized tax positions were $9.8. The IRS was auditing 2009 and 2010 returns; earlier transfer-pricing disputes for 2003–2008 had been settled, with required payments made by June 30. Management warned that ultimate tax outcomes could differ materially from estimates.
  • Q2 effective tax rate was 30.5%, compared with 26.4%; first-half rate was 25.7%, compared with 21.1%. The 2012 rates reflected, among other items, a valuation-allowance release related to foreign tax credits. Rates may fluctuate across periods.
  • Q2 comprehensive income was $6.8, below net income of $7.3, primarily reflecting foreign-currency translation losses. First-half translation loss was $0.4. Management also reported unusually high Synergy Japan product returns in Q1 tied to a promotion; returns were not attributed to product quality.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Synergy’s growth in Europe and Korea continues and offsets weakness in NSP International and other declining markets.
  • Whether operating-margin gains persist as Russian settlement-related cost savings compare against prior periods and SG&A costs evolve.
  • Whether operating cash flow recovers after the lower first-half result and elevated tax payments and capital spending.
  • Exposure and potential outcomes from IRS and foreign tax matters, non-income-tax accruals, and the disclosed legal proceedings.
  • Effects of distributor retention, currency movements and restrictions, product regulation, and dependence on the Spanish Fork manufacturing facility.