EDENOR current report, Q4 FY2013

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: EDENOR (Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte S.A.)
Reporting Period: Year ended December 31, 2013
Business: Distribution and sale of electricity in the Greater Buenos Aires area under a regulated concession agreement.
Parent Company: Electricidad Argentina S.A. (EASA) holds 51.54% of capital stock and votes.

Key Financial Metrics (in thousands of Argentine Pesos)

Metric 2013 2012
Revenue from Sales 3,440,691 2,976,182
Operating Profit (Loss) 1,314,647 (828,443)
Net Profit (Loss) 772,759 (1,013,416)
Operating Cash Flow 1,584,209 538,549
Total Assets 7,258,096 6,871,927
Total Liabilities 6,081,794 6,382,639
Total Equity 1,176,302 489,288
Cash and Cash Equivalents 243,473 71,108
Total Borrowings 1,350,532 1,453,843

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Turnaround in Profitability: The company reported a net profit of 772.8 million pesos in 2013, reversing a net loss of 1.01 billion pesos in 2012. This reversal is primarily driven by a one-time regulatory adjustment.
  • Regulatory Recognition of Costs: A significant non-cash item of 2.93 billion pesos was recognized as "Higher costs recognition" due to SE Resolution 250/13 and SE Note 6852/13. This recognized accumulated higher costs (Cost Monitoring Mechanism) from May 2007 through September 2013.
  • Equity Restoration: Total equity increased from 489.3 million to 1.18 billion pesos. This resolved a situation of negative equity and potential corporate dissolution that existed as of March 31, 2013.
  • Discontinued Operations: The company divested subsidiaries (AESEBA and EMDERSA segments) in 2013, resulting in a loss of 95.1 million pesos from discontinued operations, compared to a profit of 16.9 million in 2012.
  • Revenue Growth: Revenue from sales increased by approximately 15.6% year-over-year.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks, and Contingencies

  • Going Concern Doubt: Management has raised substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern for the next fiscal year. This is due to the uncertainty of future tariff increases and the insufficiency of current revenues to cover operating costs and investment requirements.
  • Regulatory Uncertainty: The outcome of the electricity tariff review (RTI) remains uncertain regarding timing and final form. Without new tariff schedules or additional financing mechanisms, the company faces liquidity deficits.
  • Currency Risk: The company has a significant net liability exposure in US dollars (approx. 1.36 billion pesos net liability). A 10% devaluation of the Argentine peso would decrease operating results by approximately 135.9 million pesos.
  • Post-Reporting Event: Following the reporting period, the Argentine peso devalued by approximately 20%, resulting in an estimated loss of 284.1 million pesos due to net dollar exposure.
  • Legal Contingencies: The company is involved in various lawsuits regarding tariffs, penalties, and customer compensation. Provisions for penalties and contingencies totaled 93.8 million pesos (83.1 million non-current + 10.7 million current).

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Regulatory Resolution Impact: Verify the sustainability of the 2.93 billion peso "Higher costs recognition" and whether it represents a permanent fix or a temporary accounting adjustment.
  • Tariff Review Status: Confirm the current status of the Tariff Structure Review (RTI) and any new government resolutions regarding tariff increases for 2014.
  • Liquidity Position: Assess the company's ability to meet short-term obligations given the "substantial doubt" regarding going concern status and the recent currency devaluation.
  • Debt Covenants: Review compliance with Corporate Notes covenants, particularly regarding indebtedness levels and restrictions on dividends or asset sales.
  • Discontinued Operations: Confirm the final settlement of the AESEBA and EMDERSA divestitures and the realization of proceeds from the trust established for debt repurchase.