HERBALIFE LTD. quarterly report, Q1 FY2012

Herbalife Ltd. — Q1 2012 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2012; unaudited. Herbalife sells nutrition and personal-care products primarily through independent distributors. It reported 2.8 million distributors and operations in 81 countries. Comparisons below are against Q1 2011 unless otherwise stated.

Financial and operating performance

MetricQ1 2012Q1 2011Change
Net sales$964.2 million$795.1 million+21.3%; +24.3% in local currency
Gross profit / margin$768.0 million / 79.7%$632.3 million / 79.5%Margin +0.2 percentage points
Operating income / margin$154.1 million / 16.0%$123.4 million / 15.5%Income +24.9%
Net income$108.2 million$88.0 million+22.9%
Diluted EPS$0.88$0.70+25.7%
Operating cash flow$120.4 million$108.0 million+$12.4 million
Capital expenditures$24.9 million$28.3 million-$3.4 million

Net sales growth was broad-based: Asia Pacific excluding China rose 30.5%, South and Central America 32.1%, North America 26.2%, China 24.5%, and Mexico 12.7%; EMEA was essentially flat. Weight Management remained the largest product category at $601.8 million, up 20.7%. Worldwide Volume Points increased 23.6%, and average active sales leaders rose 23.1%.

Royalty overrides were $317.5 million, or 32.9% of sales, versus 33.2%. SG&A was $296.4 million, or 30.8% of sales in both periods. The effective tax rate rose to 29.2% from 27.1%. Management attributed growth principally to daily-consumption distribution methods, distributor engagement and recruiting; higher operating expenses and taxes partly offset the resulting contribution-margin growth.

Balance sheet, liquidity and capital allocation

  • At March 31, cash and cash equivalents were $305.9 million; current assets $845.0 million and current liabilities $565.8 million. Working capital was $279.1 million, up from $220.1 million at December 31, 2011.
  • Total debt was approximately $231.8 million, including $228.0 million drawn on the $700 million revolving credit facility. Undrawn facility capacity was $466.3 million. The facility matures March 2016; its weighted-average borrowing rate was 1.72%. The company reported compliance with covenants.
  • Financing cash outflows included $35.2 million of dividends and $72.9 million of share repurchases. The company repurchased approximately 743,300 shares for about $50.0 million at an average $67.24 per share; $427.9 million remained authorized under the repurchase program.
  • Management said operating cash flow and available facility borrowings should meet working-capital, capital-spending and foreseeable liquidity needs for the next 12 months and thereafter.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected 2012 capital expenditures of approximately $110–$120 million. It gave no specific revenue or earnings guidance in the supplied filing text and cautioned that first-quarter results are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.
  • Venezuelan currency access remains restricted and uncertain. Herbalife recorded $2.1 million of Q1 foreign-exchange losses using an alternative legal exchange mechanism. Its approximately $40.8 million of Bolivar cash was largely remeasured at the SITME rate; management warned that a 40% less favorable exchange rate applied to that cash could reduce its reported value by $16.5 million and produce a corresponding operating-profit loss. Repatriation and realizable U.S.-dollar value remain uncertain.
  • Tax disputes include a Mexican assessment of approximately $90 million, previously nullified but potentially subject to re-issuance and under litigation; a Spanish assessment of approximately $4.3 million; a Brazilian assessment of approximately $4.7 million; and an Italian court order of approximately $7.1 million, which Herbalife appealed. The company had not accrued losses for these matters, citing its assessment that loss was not probable; it said possible losses could not be reasonably estimated in key cases.
  • A Belgian court ruled in November 2011 that Herbalife’s Belgian operation violated local law concerning pyramid schemes. The company appealed in March 2012 and said it believed the ruling was flawed; it was also considering changes pending appeal. An adverse outcome could affect its network-marketing model.
  • Key risks include distributor recruitment and retention, regulation and legal challenges to network marketing, product safety and adverse publicity, foreign-exchange exposure, China licensing and regulatory uncertainty, supplier reliance, and tax and product-liability claims. The filing also identifies a pending adidas dispute concerning use of Herbalife’s Tri-Leaf mark on sports-related goods.
  • Other notable items: the company declared a further $0.30-per-share dividend on April 30, payable May 30, 2012; it extended its LA Galaxy sponsorship through 2022, with estimated remaining commitments of approximately $44 million for 2013–2022. Management concluded disclosure controls were effective and reported no material change in internal control over financial reporting during the quarter.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether distributor engagement and daily-consumption methods sustain sales growth, particularly given regional weakness in EMEA and Taiwan and the lower China sales-leader count.
  • Whether Venezuelan currency restrictions, exchange rates and cash convertibility materially affect earnings, reported cash or the ability to repatriate funds.
  • Developments and potential exposure in the Mexican, Spanish, Brazilian and Italian tax disputes, and the Belgian network-marketing appeal.
  • Cash generation relative to dividends, repurchases, planned capital expenditures and facility borrowing; confirm covenant headroom and the continuing cost of variable-rate debt.
  • Whether margin improvement persists as product mix, pricing, inventory write-downs, foreign exchange and distributor-related expenses change.