Evolent Health, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2017

Evolent Health, Inc. — Q3 2017 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2017. Amounts below are in U.S. dollars; financial statement amounts are shown in millions unless stated otherwise.

Business context and financial performance

Evolent provides technology, administration and related services to health-system and physician partners moving toward value-based care. Revenue comes from transformation services and platform and operations services. The company reported one operating segment and operates in the United States.

MetricQ3 2017Q3 2016Nine months 2017Nine months 2016
Revenue$107.9$60.2$321.2$166.2
Operating loss$(14.0)$(15.8)$(54.6)$(203.5)
Net loss$(13.1)$(15.8)$(56.0)$(201.6)
Net loss attributable to Evolent Health, Inc.$(12.6)$(11.2)$(47.5)$(142.3)
Loss per common share$(0.18)$(0.26)$(0.78)$(3.34)
  • Q3 revenue rose 79.2%; nine-month revenue rose 93.3%. Platform and operations revenue grew 90.1% in Q3 and 112.6% year to date, supported by acquisitions and an 84.7% increase in platform lives, from about 1.5 million to 2.7 million. The company had over 25 revenue-producing partners, compared with 13 a year earlier.
  • Transformation revenue increased 5.8% in Q3 but declined 9.4% for the nine-month period. Platform and operations accounted for 92.4% of Q3 revenue, versus 87.1% a year earlier.
  • Cost of revenue increased faster than Q3 revenue and rose to 63.3% of revenue from 56.3%; for nine months it was 63.4%, versus 57.3%. Management attributed the increase to growth and integration of recently acquired businesses, and expected this ratio to decline going forward.
  • SG&A rose 19.4% in Q3 and 45.9% for nine months, but declined as a share of revenue: 42.5% versus 63.8% in Q3 and 46.8% versus 62.0% year to date. Management expected SG&A to decline as a percentage of revenue over the long term.
  • Operating loss improved year over year, particularly for the nine-month period, which included a $160.6 million goodwill impairment in 2016 and none in 2017. The company nevertheless remained loss-making.

Cash flow, balance sheet and debt

  • At September 30, cash and cash equivalents were $287.1 million, compared with $134.6 million at December 31, 2016. Restricted cash and investments totaled $16.9 million. Management said available liquidity was sufficient for at least the next 12 months.
  • For the first nine months, operating cash outflow was $34.0 million, versus $14.0 million in 2016. Investing activities provided $17.0 million, principally reflecting $44.2 million of investment maturities, partly offset by $21.3 million of property and equipment purchases. Financing provided $169.6 million, primarily from the August primary stock offering.
  • Long-term debt had a $125.0 million principal balance and $121.2 million net carrying value. The 2.00% convertible notes mature in 2021; their reported fair value was $142.4 million at September 29, 2017.
  • Total assets were $1.299 billion, including $628.3 million of goodwill. Current assets were $352.3 million and current liabilities $105.5 million.

Material changes, outlook and notable items

  • Equity financing and ownership: The August 2017 primary offering raised $166.9 million net. Secondary offerings included exchanges of Class B interests that increased Evolent’s economic ownership of Evolent Health LLC from 77.4% at year-end 2016 to 96.6% at September 30, 2017. The secondary sales themselves generated no proceeds for the company.
  • Transactions: Evolent agreed to acquire commercial-business assets from New Mexico Health Connections for about $10.3 million, subject to closing conditions. After quarter-end, it agreed to acquire Premier Health Plan for about $31 million, subject to regulatory and other conditions. Also after quarter-end, it provided a customer a $20 million implementation loan at 2.5%, repayable in ten equal installments during 2018.
  • Goodwill and amortization: No interim goodwill impairment trigger was identified through September 30, but management said post-quarter share-price levels, if sustained, could trigger testing and a potentially material impairment. Effective September 1, the estimated useful lives of internal-use software and technology intangibles were shortened to five years, increasing Q3 net loss by approximately $0.2 million and $0.3 million, respectively.
  • One-time lease item: Evolent paid $4.4 million to cancel a Chicago lease acquired with Valence Health; no related abandonment liability remained at quarter-end. The 2017 nine-month results also included a $0.5 million reduction in rent expense from a lease-liability adjustment.
  • Controls and reporting: Management concluded disclosure controls were not effective at quarter-end because of an unremediated material weakness involving accounting resources and complex, non-routine transactions. The company corrected an immaterial cash-flow classification error in its prior-period presentation; it said remediation and effectiveness testing were ongoing.
  • Other risks: Revenue is concentrated among a small number of partners: the two largest contributed 28.5% of nine-month revenue. Contracts may be terminable or renegotiated. The company cited healthcare regulatory uncertainty, acquisition integration, growth execution, funding needs and its continuing operating losses among relevant risks.
  • Outlook: The filing gives no quantified financial guidance. Management expected depreciation and amortization to increase as software investment and acquired intangibles are amortized, while expecting cost of revenue and SG&A ratios to improve over time. It also said losses could continue for the foreseeable future.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  1. Whether revenue growth and enrollment gains translate into improving operating margins and lower operating cash burn.
  2. Whether customer concentration, partner contract renewals and shared-risk arrangements create material revenue or loss exposure.
  3. Whether goodwill testing results in an impairment, particularly given the company’s $628.3 million goodwill balance and post-quarter share-price risk.
  4. Whether the material weakness is remediated and controls operate effectively; review the corrected cash-flow presentation in subsequent filings.
  5. Whether the NMHC and Premier transactions close as expected, and how the $20 million implementation loan is repaid.
  6. The terms and potential dilution of the convertible notes, future share exchanges and any obligations under the tax receivables agreement.