Fair Isaac Corporation FICO is set to report its third-quarter 2026 results on July 29.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2026 revenues is pegged at $679.31 million, suggesting an increase of 26.64% from the reported figure in the year-ago quarter.
The consensus mark for third-quarter 2026 earnings is pegged at $12.02 per share, down by 0.25% over the past 30 days, while indicating 40.26% year-over-year growth.
The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average surprise of 8.78%.
Fair Isaac Corporation Price and EPS Surprise
Fair Isaac Corporation price-eps-surprise | Fair Isaac Corporation Quote
Let us see how things have shaped up prior to this announcement.
Factors Likely to Impact FICO’s Q3 Performance
FICO's third-quarter 2026 performance is likely to have been driven by continued strength in its Scores business, supported by higher mortgage pricing and healthy origination activity. Mortgage origination revenues surged 127% year over year in the second quarter of 2026, reflecting the benefit of higher pricing and stronger volumes.
The rollout of FICO Score 10T is expected to have provided another growth tailwind in the to-be-reported quarter. During the second quarter of 2026, the company added 11 lenders to its Early Adopter Program, bringing the total to 55 lenders that represent more than $495 billion in annual serviceable mortgage originations. Three of the five largest mortgage resellers have signed up for the Direct Licensing Program, with the remaining two expected to join pending final regulatory approval. These developments are likely to have supported broader adoption of FICO Score 10T in the to-be-reported quarter.
Fair Isaac’s software business is also likely to have benefited from continued momentum in the FICO Platform. Total software ARR increased 10% year over year to $789 million in the second quarter of 2026, while Platform ARR jumped 49% to $349 million. Platform revenues grew 54%, supported by new customer wins, expanded use cases among existing customers and migrations to the platform. Management noted that software bookings are expected to be stronger in the second half of fiscal 2026 than in the first half, reflecting a healthy sales pipeline. This momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter as well.
FICO’s investments in explainable artificial intelligence (AI) and decisioning software are expected to remain a positive catalyst. The company highlighted that the FICO Platform is "agentic-by-design," with more than 150 customers using it across multiple use cases. Management noted that FICO has been issued 137 AI-related patents and continues to invest in explainable AI capabilities for highly regulated industries, strengthening its competitive positioning as enterprise AI adoption accelerates.
However, delays in regulatory approvals for the FICO Score 10T Direct Licensing Program and uncertainty regarding the timing of its commercial rollout could affect the pace of adoption in the to-be-reported quarter. Management continues to assume conservative mortgage volume trends, while macroeconomic conditions and housing market activity remain variables that could influence quarterly performance.
What Our Model Says About FICO
Per the Zacks model, the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that is not the exact case here.
Fair Isaac currently has an Earnings ESP of -0.04% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they are reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Stocks to Consider
Here are some companies worth considering, as our model shows that they have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat in their upcoming releases.
Amphenol APH has an Earnings ESP of +1.12% and a Zacks Rank #1 at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Amphenol shares have gained 16.5% year to date. Amphenol is scheduled to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 29.
ASE Technology ASX has an Earnings ESP of +21.21% and a Zacks Rank #2 at present.
ASE Technology shares have surged 145.1% year to date. ASE Technology is set to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 30.
Fortive FTV has an Earnings ESP of +2.82% and a Zacks Rank #2 at present.
Fortive shares have gained 9.8% in the year-to-date period. Fortive is set to report its second-quarter 2026 results on July 29.
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Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO): Free Stock Analysis Report
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This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).