AMERICAN PUBLIC EDUCATION INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2019

American Public Education, Inc. — Q2 2019 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and six months ended June 30, 2019. APEI provides online and campus-based postsecondary education through American Public University System (APUS) and Hondros College of Nursing (HCN).

Financial performance

MetricQ2 2019Q2 2018Six months 2019Six months 2018
Revenue$70.6 million$72.8 million$144.0 million$147.8 million
Operating income$5.7 million$8.0 million$7.1 million$14.2 million
Operating margin8.0%11.0%4.9%9.6%
Net income$4.9 million$6.5 million$5.9 million$11.0 million
Diluted EPS$0.30$0.39$0.36$0.67
Operating cash flowNot separately statedNot separately stated$23.7 million$19.6 million

At June 30, cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash were $220.8 million, versus $212.1 million at year-end 2018; current assets were $240.0 million and current liabilities $42.2 million. The balance sheet reports no borrowings; operating lease liabilities totaled $11.1 million. Six-month capital expenditures were $3.0 million. Cash used for share repurchases was $12.1 million.

Material changes and segment results

  • Consolidated revenue fell 3.1% in Q2 and 2.5% for the first half. HCN revenue declined 21.6% in Q2 and 19.1% year to date, while APEI segment revenue was nearly flat.
  • HCN’s Q2 enrollment fell 25% to about 1,500 students; new enrollment fell 35.3%. HCN reported a $0.9 million Q2 operating loss, compared with $0.9 million operating income a year earlier. APUS net course registrations declined 1.2% in Q2, but increased 0.1% for the first half.
  • Six-month results include a $5.9 million non-cash HCN goodwill impairment and approximately $1.4 million in professional fees related to evaluating an acquisition. The first half also included a $1.5 million equity investment loss associated with an investee impairment.
  • Cash from operations increased year over year, primarily due to working-capital timing. Cash increased by $8.7 million during the first half.

Outlook, risks and notable items

  • Management said existing cash and expected operating cash flow should fund ongoing operations and planned capital expenditures for the foreseeable future. No earnings or revenue guidance was provided.
  • APEI expects Navy tuition-assistance funding to be exhausted earlier than usual and anticipates a significant negative effect on Q3 2019 results; the duration and impact of subsequent Navy policy changes were uncertain.
  • HCN’s enrollment decline, weak performance and goodwill impairment create risk of further impairment. Its nursing programs face Ohio Board of Nursing pass-rate requirements, and all HCN programs at all campuses failed ABHES retention thresholds for the year ended June 30, 2019; accreditation consequences could include corrective requirements or withdrawal.
  • Federal distance-education state-authorization rules were in effect following a court decision and remained subject to appeal and rulemaking. The filing also identifies risks from Title IV and borrower-defense requirements and changes to military tuition-assistance programs.
  • The company authorized up to $35 million in share repurchases in May 2019; $25.7 million remained available at June 30. It signed a lease for a new Indianapolis campus, with minimum payments of $1.8 million over the initial term. Adoption of the new lease standard recognized operating lease assets and liabilities without a reported net-income or liquidity impact.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether HCN enrollment and operating performance stabilize, and how accreditation and nursing-program outcomes develop.
  • The actual Q3 impact of Navy tuition-assistance funding exhaustion and new Navy eligibility and funding limits.
  • Whether HCN’s valuation assumptions change enough to trigger additional goodwill impairment.
  • Progress and costs for planned technology investment, the Indianapolis campus and any acquisition-related activity.
  • Developments in state-authorization, borrower-defense and other higher-education regulations that could affect Title IV eligibility or student demand.