Aterian, Inc. annual report, FY2020

Business context and reporting period

This is the annual report for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2020, filed March 16, 2021. The issuer is identified in the filing as Mohawk Group Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: MWK); the request identifies the company as Aterian, Inc. Mohawk operated a technology-enabled consumer-products business, using its AIMEE platform to develop, market and sell products, primarily through online marketplaces. The filing reports full-year results, not standalone fourth-quarter results.

Key financial metrics

Metric20202019
Net revenue$185.7 million$114.5 million
Gross profit / margin$84.7 million / 45.6%$45.0 million / 39.4%
Operating loss$34.8 million$54.3 million
Net loss$63.1 million$58.8 million
Operating cash flow$6.1 million provided$25.2 million used
Adjusted EBITDA$2.5 million$(19.5) million
  • Revenue grew 62.3%. Direct sales rose 47.5% to $164.2 million; wholesale revenue increased to $20.2 million, mainly from PPE sales. PaaS revenue declined 20.7% to $1.3 million.
  • Product-category revenue included $78.4 million from heating, cooling and air quality; $26.1 million from health and beauty; $15.5 million from PPE; and $7.7 million from home office products.
  • Operating cash flow turned positive, with management attributing the result to $8.5 million of cash from working capital. Investing cash outflow was $39.1 million, largely for Truweo and Smash acquisitions; financing cash inflow was $32.3 million.
  • At year-end, cash was $26.7 million, restricted cash was approximately $3.4 million, and current assets and current liabilities were $75.2 million and $74.7 million, respectively. Total liabilities were $134.1 million and stockholders’ equity was $23.4 million.
  • Debt included $12.9 million outstanding under the MidCap revolving facility and a $43.0 million principal High Trail note issued for $38.0 million. The revolver had approximately $1.4 million of availability. The filing also reports seller notes and acquisition earn-out liabilities.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Gross margin improved by 6.2 percentage points, while sales and distribution expenses fell to 36.6% of revenue from 48.2%, reflecting higher sales volume, pricing and manufacturer discounts, and lower fulfillment costs following warehouse expansion.
  • Operating loss narrowed by $19.6 million, but net loss worsened by $4.3 million. 2020 included $21.3 million of noncash warrant-liability remeasurement, $12.7 million of contingent earn-out remeasurement and a $2.0 million debt-extinguishment loss.
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved from a loss of $19.5 million to income of $2.5 million; this non-GAAP measure excludes, among other items, stock compensation and the warrant and earn-out valuation changes.
  • Cash from operations improved from a $25.2 million use to $6.1 million provided, while cash declined by $0.7 million over the year. Inventory fell to $31.6 million from $36.2 million.
  • The company completed the Truweo acquisition and the Smash asset acquisition in 2020, and raised $23.4 million net through an August equity offering. Smash consideration included $25.0 million cash, 4.22 million shares, a seller note and contingent earn-outs.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • No specific revenue or earnings guidance was provided. Management said its forecasts anticipated continued positive operating cash flow and covenant compliance; these are expectations, not guarantees.
  • Management expected higher freight, container and last-mile shipping costs in early 2021. It also disclosed production and shipment delays in late 2020 and early 2021 that could cause stockouts.
  • COVID-19 contributed to online demand and revenue growth, but management cautioned that supply-chain disruption, demand shifts, remote-work challenges and reduced access to capital could adversely affect results and liquidity.
  • Amazon accounted for 88% of 2020 revenue, leaving the business exposed to marketplace policy changes, listing suspensions, fulfillment restrictions and platform concentration. Substantially all products were manufactured in China; tariffs, sourcing dependence and shipping disruption are additional risks.
  • The company’s launch-to-sustain product model carries risk: management disclosed a lower-than-expected success rate for products reaching the sustain phase and past inventory overages. No products had reached the company’s “milk” phase.
  • Debt covenants impose operating and liquidity restrictions. The filing describes a planned refinancing, expected in April 2021, into a senior secured note with an expected 8% cash interest rate and three-year maturity; completion and terms were not assured. Subsequent February 2021 financing and the Healing Solutions acquisition are also described.
  • Potential regulatory exposures included a DOE review of a dehumidifier model and unresolved EPA matters; certain products had been temporarily restricted, with sales resuming for some in October 2020. A $150,000 California Energy Commission fine was settled and paid in 2020. Management stated it could not reasonably estimate potential DOE penalties.
  • The company reported that it was then ineligible to use Form S-3 because required Smash acquisition financial statements had not been filed by the stated deadline, potentially constraining capital raising and increasing financing cost or dilution.
  • The auditor issued an unqualified opinion on the financial statements. Management said disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting were effective at year-end and reported remediation of previously disclosed material weaknesses; the auditor did not attest to internal control effectiveness.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether operating cash flow remains positive after the working-capital contribution and acquisition-related cash needs.
  • Debt balances, required payments, covenant headroom and the completion, pricing and dilution effects of any refinancing or subsequent financing.
  • Amazon concentration, product-listing status, inventory availability and the effect of freight and fulfillment costs on margins.
  • Acquisition performance, including Smash earn-out exposure, seller-note obligations and the integration of Healing Solutions.
  • Resolution and any financial impact of DOE and EPA matters, and the filing status of the Smash financial statements and Form S-3 eligibility.