COMMERCE BANCSHARES INC quarterly report, Q1 FY2014

Commerce Bancshares, Inc. — Q1 2014 Form 10-Q

Business context and period: Unaudited consolidated results for the three months ended March 31, 2014, compared with Q1 2013; balance-sheet comparisons are to December 31, 2013. The company operates primarily through Commerce Bank, with Consumer, Commercial, and Wealth segments. Summit Bancshares, acquired in September 2013, is included in current results but not in Q1 2013.

Key financial results

MetricQ1 2014Q1 2013 / prior date
Net interest income$153.1 million$150.3 million
Provision for loan losses$9.7 million$3.3 million
Non-interest income$102.6 million$99.9 million
Net investment securities gains (losses)$10.0 million($2.2 million)
Non-interest expense$162.3 million$155.0 million
Net income attributable to Commerce Bancshares$64.3 million; diluted EPS $0.67$61.0 million; diluted EPS $0.63
Net interest margin3.03%3.07%
Efficiency ratio63.28%61.76%
Total assets$22.84 billion$23.07 billion at Dec. 31, 2013
Loans / deposits$11.22 billion / $19.24 billion$10.96 billion / $19.05 billion at Dec. 31, 2013
Cash and cash equivalents$748.2 million at quarter-end$1.27 billion at year-end
Allowance for loan losses$161.5 million; 1.44% of loans$161.5 million at year-end

Profitability, cash flow, and capital

  • Net income attributable to the company rose 5.4% year over year. Net interest income increased 1.8%; fee income rose 2.8%, led by bank card and trust fees.
  • Operating cash flow was $121.5 million. Investing activities used $218.6 million and financing activities used $424.2 million, resulting in a $521.3 million decrease in cash and cash equivalents.
  • Quarter-end borrowings were approximately $1.03 billion, down from $1.45 billion at December 31, 2013. The company reported no subordinated debt. Core deposits were $16.9 billion, or 87.8% of deposits.
  • Regulatory capital ratios remained above well-capitalized thresholds: Tier 1 risk-based 13.98%, total risk-based 15.16%, and Tier 1 leverage 9.41%. Tangible common equity to assets was 9.36%.
  • The company paid a $0.225 per-share dividend, a 5% increase from the 2013 fourth-quarter dividend, and repurchased 474,854 shares for $20.9 million.

Material changes and credit quality

  • Net income increased despite higher credit costs and operating expenses. The loan-loss provision rose to $9.7 million from $3.3 million, matching net charge-offs; annualized net charge-offs were 0.35% of average loans versus 0.32% a year earlier.
  • Non-performing assets were $54.4 million, or 0.49% of loans, versus $55.4 million and 0.51% at year-end. Non-accrual loans were $47.6 million. Potential problem loans increased 11.2% to $109.4 million.
  • Loans grew about $265 million from year-end, while deposits increased about $190 million. Total assets declined about $235 million, principally amid lower cash and interest-earning deposits and reduced repurchase-agreement funding.
  • Net interest income benefited from loan growth and lower deposit interest expense, partly offset by lower loan yields and less income from long-term securities purchased under resale agreements. The reported net interest margin declined from 3.07% to 3.03% year over year.
  • Non-interest expense increased 4.7%, including higher salaries and benefits, a $1.5 million litigation provision, and $720,000 in write-downs on surplus branch properties. Summit-related costs also contributed.

Outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • The filing provides no specific full-year earnings or revenue guidance. Management stated that it expected to meet short-term operating liquidity needs and did not expect significant losses from maturing home-equity lines, citing borrower credit scores, collateral values, and historical losses.
  • Management’s interest-rate simulation estimated that a gradual 100-basis-point rise would increase 12-month net interest income by $5.7 million (0.93%); a 200-basis-point rise by $4.1 million (0.68%); and a 300-basis-point rise by $0.3 million (0.05%). Falling-rate scenarios were not modeled because rates were already low. These are model estimates, not earnings guidance.
  • Net securities gains included a $15.6 million gain on private-equity investments, primarily fair-value adjustments and including an $18.4 million gain on one long-held investment. This was partly offset by a $5.2 million realized loss on U.S. Treasury inflation-protected bonds. Such gains may not recur.
  • The company had $8.3 billion in loan commitments, including approximately $3.8 billion in unused approved credit-card lines; $333.3 million in standby letters of credit; and $177.7 million in outstanding commitments to purchase state tax credits. These commitments do not necessarily represent future cash outflows.
  • At March 31, the company reported $86.0 million of troubled debt restructurings, including $25.2 million on non-accrual status. It also disclosed $10.5 million of commitments to lend additional funds to borrowers with restructured loans.
  • Legal matters included a $2.5 million liability for a pending suit and a remaining $664,000 liability related to the interchange settlement. The filing says other ordinary-course lawsuits exist; some early-stage matters could not yet be reasonably estimated.
  • The planned sale of branches in Farmington, Desloge, and Bonne Terre, Missouri, was expected to close in July 2014, subject to regulatory approval; the company expected to sell about $16 million of loans and $75 million of deposits.
  • Key risks identified include regional economic conditions, interest-rate and liquidity changes, loan demand and credit losses, regulation, competition, and litigation. Basel III requirements were scheduled to begin in 2015; management believed capital remained well-capitalized under the new rules. The company did not expect significant effects from the Volcker Rule.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether loan growth and fee-income gains can offset continued loan-yield and net-interest-margin pressure.
  • Whether higher provision expense, consumer credit-card charge-offs, and the increase in potential problem loans persist or worsen.
  • How much Q1 earnings depended on the private-equity fair-value gain, and the valuation assumptions behind Level 3 assets.
  • Whether the significant decline in cash reflects planned funding changes and how deposit and repurchase-agreement trends develop.
  • The outcome and potential cost of pending litigation, the Missouri branch sale, and the company’s large off-balance-sheet commitments.
  • The filing states that the interim results are unaudited and are not necessarily indicative of full-year results.