DOLLAR TREE, INC. annual report, FY2018

Dollar Tree, Inc. — Form 10-K Summary

Period clarification: The request identifies “2017 Q4,” but this filing is for the fiscal year ended February 2, 2019 (fiscal 2018). Fiscal 2017, the main prior-year comparator, included 53 weeks; fiscal 2018 included 52 weeks.

Business context

Dollar Tree operated 15,237 stores across the Dollar Tree and Family Dollar brands, with two reporting segments. Dollar Tree primarily sells at a fixed $1 price point; Family Dollar offers neighborhood discount merchandise at multiple price points. The filing was signed March 27, 2019.

Financial performance

MetricFiscal 2018Fiscal 2017
Net sales$22.823 billion$22.246 billion
Gross profit / margin$6.948 billion / 30.4%$7.022 billion / 31.6%
Operating income (loss)$(939.5) million$1.999 billion
Net income (loss)$(1.591) billion$1.714 billion
Diluted earnings (loss) per share$(6.66)$7.21
Cash from operating activities$1.766 billion$1.510 billion
Capital expenditures$817.1 million$632.2 million
  • Sales rose 2.6% as reported. Excluding fiscal 2017’s additional week, sales increased 4.5%. Comparable-store sales grew 1.7% on a constant-currency basis: 3.3% at Dollar Tree and 0.1% at Family Dollar.
  • The reported operating loss includes a $2.727 billion noncash Family Dollar goodwill impairment. Excluding that charge, operating income was $1.788 billion, with a 7.8% margin, versus $1.999 billion and 9.0% in fiscal 2017.
  • Gross margin declined 120 basis points. The company cited higher markdowns, freight and merchandise costs, shrink, occupancy, and distribution costs. Family Dollar’s gross margin fell to 25.3% from 27.3%; Dollar Tree’s fell to 35.3% from 35.8%.
  • Family Dollar sales increased 0.3% as reported, but excluding the prior-year extra week rose 2.2%. Its comparable sales increased 0.1%; average ticket growth was offset by lower customer count. Dollar Tree comparable sales growth reflected increases in both average ticket and customer count.

Cash, debt and liquidity

  • At year-end, cash and cash equivalents were $422.1 million; working capital was $2.198 billion. Total debt, including capital lease obligations, was $4.300 billion, down from $5.733 billion a year earlier.
  • The company reported $1.25 billion of revolving-credit availability, less $182.9 million of outstanding letters of credit. It was in compliance with debt covenants at year-end.
  • Cash used in financing activities was $1.600 billion, primarily reflecting debt refinancing and repayment of the $782 million term loan. Net interest expense was $370.0 million and included refinancing-related premiums and accelerated financing-cost expense.
  • Operating lease obligations totaled $7.308 billion. The company expected to recognize approximately $6.1–$6.2 billion of operating lease liabilities when adopting the new lease accounting standard in fiscal 2019.

Outlook, management commentary and risks

  • The filing provides no formal numerical earnings or sales guidance. Management estimated fiscal 2019 capital expenditures of approximately $1.0 billion and expected to fund working capital and planned investment from operating cash flow and potential revolver borrowings.
  • Family Dollar’s announced 2019 optimization plan included converting at least 1,000 stores to the H2 format, closing as many as 390 underperforming stores, re-bannering about 200 stores to Dollar Tree, adding adult beverages to about 1,000 stores, and expanding coolers and freezers in about 400 stores. Management cited H2 comparable-sales lifts above 10% versus control stores, based on the initial test group. Estimated costs included about $28 million for closures and $30 million of incremental initiative costs.
  • Management planned to consolidate the Family Dollar support center in Matthews, North Carolina, with the Chesapeake, Virginia center by fall 2019; expected fiscal 2019 expense was approximately $37 million.
  • Family Dollar goodwill was impaired after slower sales growth, higher freight costs, reinvestment in store labor, and higher shrink challenged earlier growth expectations. The Family Dollar trade name’s estimated fair value was within 1% of carrying value, creating sensitivity to assumptions and potential future impairment risk.
  • Risks include wage, freight, fuel and merchandise cost inflation; tariffs and dependence on imported goods (particularly from China); supply-chain and truck-driver constraints; intense retail competition; execution and retention challenges from Family Dollar integration; seasonal sales concentration; cyber and systems disruption; litigation; and substantial debt. Management said tariffs were not expected to be material in 2019 after mitigation efforts, but noted their eventual scope and impact remained uncertain.
  • Starboard Value had notified the company of its intent to nominate seven directors for the 2019 annual meeting, creating potential governance and execution disruption.
  • The auditor issued an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal controls; management and the auditor concluded internal control over financial reporting was effective as of year-end.

Investor verification priorities

  • Confirm the actual reporting period and comparable-week treatment; the filing is fiscal 2018, not 2017 Q4.
  • Assess underlying operating trends excluding the $2.727 billion goodwill impairment and one-time debt-refinancing costs, especially Family Dollar’s margin and customer-count trends.
  • Track execution, costs and sales results of Family Dollar’s H2 renovations, store closures, re-bannering and other optimization initiatives.
  • Review liquidity and debt maturities alongside lease obligations, planned capital spending, and sensitivity to variable interest rates and freight costs.
  • Monitor impairment assumptions, including the Family Dollar trade name’s limited fair-value cushion, and the outcomes of disclosed legal matters and the activist shareholder contest.