Fossil Group, Inc. annual report, FY2021

Fossil Group, Inc. — Form 10-K Summary

Period and scope: This filing is for the fiscal year ended January 1, 2022 (fiscal 2021), not 2020 Q4. Fiscal 2021 comprised 52 weeks; fiscal 2020 comprised 53 weeks. The filing does not provide a separate Q4 results summary. Fossil designs, markets and distributes fashion accessories, principally watches, under owned and licensed brands across the Americas, Europe and Asia.

Financial performance

MetricFiscal 2021Fiscal 2020
Net sales$1,870.0 million$1,613.3 million
Gross profit / margin$966.4 million / 51.7%$770.4 million / 47.7%
Operating income (loss) / margin$92.6 million / 5.0%$(135.3) million / (8.4)%
Net income (loss) attributable to Fossil / diluted EPS$25.4 million / $0.48$(96.1) million / $(1.88)
Adjusted EBITDA (non-GAAP)$159.6 million$7.7 million
Cash provided by operating activities$50.0 million$101.2 million

Sales rose 15.9% year over year (13.8% in constant currency). Gross margin improved 4.0 percentage points, principally due to less smartwatch liquidation and inventory valuation impact, favorable currency, lower promotional activity, reduced tariffs and lower minimum royalty costs. Results also reflect the comparison with a pandemic-affected prior year; the prior year had an additional week.

  • Traditional watch sales increased 21.8% to $1,288.5 million; smartwatch sales fell 10.0% to $223.9 million. Jewelry sales increased 65.2% to $158.8 million, while leather sales declined 9.2% to $157.6 million.
  • Americas sales grew 22.4% to $785.9 million, Europe grew 16.8% to $610.2 million, and Asia grew 4.8% to $455.2 million, each on a reported basis.
  • SG&A was $842.6 million, up slightly in dollars but down to 45.1% of sales from 51.8%. Restructuring charges were $21.9 million versus $36.5 million; other long-lived asset impairment charges were $9.2 million versus $31.6 million.
  • Interest expense was $25.1 million. Other expense was $14.5 million, including a $13.0 million debt extinguishment loss. The income tax provision was $26.4 million, an effective rate of 49.8%.

Cash, liquidity and debt

  • Cash and cash equivalents were $250.8 million at year-end, down from $316.0 million; $199.0 million was held by foreign subsidiaries. Working capital was $487.1 million, compared with $431.9 million.
  • Operating cash flow was $50.0 million, down from $101.2 million, primarily because of increased inventory purchases. Inventory increased 17.5% to $346.9 million; accounts receivable rose 11.0% to $255.1 million.
  • Total liquidity, as defined by the company, was $450.5 million: $250.8 million of cash plus $199.7 million of revolving-facility availability.
  • In November 2021, Fossil issued $150.0 million of 7.00% senior notes due 2026 and used most of the proceeds to repay its term loan. At year-end, it had $150.0 million principal outstanding on the notes, no revolving-facility borrowings, and $0.5 million of other short-term debt. The balance-sheet carrying amount of debt was approximately $141.9 million after debt issuance costs.
  • The company reported compliance with debt covenants at January 1, 2022. Its $225 million asset-based revolving facility expires in September 2024 and is subject to borrowing-base limitations.

Outlook, risks and unusual items

  • No formal revenue or earnings guidance is provided in the supplied filing text. Management expects fiscal 2022 capital expenditures of approximately $20–25 million and anticipates closing approximately 40–50 stores, with no new store openings planned. It estimates about $5 million of NWF 2.0 restructuring charges in fiscal 2022.
  • Management says COVID-19 continues to affect demand, store traffic, supply chains and shipping. It also cites inflation, freight and input-cost pressure, geopolitical uncertainty, and risks related to China sourcing and U.S. tariffs. Fiscal 2022 gross-profit exposure from Section 301 tariffs is estimated at approximately $8.7 million, assuming no offsets.
  • Digital sales were 41.3% of net sales, versus 38.8% in fiscal 2020. Management plans further investment in digital capabilities, marketing and e-commerce. Marketing expense increased 33.3% to $168.4 million, or 9.0% of sales.
  • Licensed products represented 50.5% of sales. Michael Kors and Emporio Armani products represented 20.9% and 18.4%, respectively. The Google Wear OS license for full-display smartwatches expires April 27, 2023; those products generated 9.1% of fiscal 2021 sales.
  • Minimum royalty commitments total $194.8 million through fiscal 2028, including $129.7 million in fiscal 2022. Purchase obligations were $441.3 million at year-end. The company reported no pending legal matters expected to have a material effect.
  • The auditor issued an unqualified opinion on the financial statements and internal controls. Inventory valuation was identified as a critical audit matter because it depends on estimates of demand, market conditions and liquidation options.

Key investor verification points

  • Assess whether the sales and margin recovery is sustainable, particularly given lower smartwatch and leather sales and the different week count in the comparison period.
  • Track inventory growth, cash conversion and operating cash flow as purchasing and shipping constraints evolve.
  • Review the notes and covenants for the 7.00% senior notes, revolving-facility borrowing availability, and upcoming debt and lease obligations.
  • Evaluate licensed-brand concentration, renewal and minimum-sales terms, the Wear OS license expiration, and the large fiscal 2022 minimum royalty commitment.
  • Monitor tariff exposure, inflation and freight costs, store closures, restructuring execution, and the assumptions underlying inventory valuation and deferred tax assets.