GREAT SOUTHERN BANCORP, INC. quarterly report, Q3 FY2013

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. — Q3 2013 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2013. Unaudited consolidated results. Great Southern is a one-bank holding company operating primarily in Missouri, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Arkansas. Dollar amounts below are in millions unless otherwise stated.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2013Q3 2012Nine months 2013Nine months 2012
Total interest income$43.0$50.2$133.9$143.1
Net interest income$38.5$43.3$119.1$120.5
Provision for loan losses$2.7$8.4$14.6$36.1
Non-interest income$0.9$2.1$6.2$44.0
Non-interest expense$27.2$29.2$81.7$82.3
Net income$8.4$7.1$25.1$36.3
Diluted EPS$0.61$0.51$1.80$2.62
Net interest margin4.64%4.75%4.60%4.47%

Q3 net income increased 18.8%, mainly reflecting lower loan-loss provision and operating expense, partly offset by lower net interest and non-interest income. Nine-month net income fell 30.9%; 2012 included a $31.3 million pre-tax gain on the InterBank FDIC-assisted acquisition. The 2013 effective tax rate was 13.5% for the nine-month period, aided mainly by tax credits and tax-exempt income.

Cash from operations was $93.8 million and investing activities provided $187.9 million for the first nine months; financing activities used $346.0 million, primarily reflecting deposit outflows. Cash and cash equivalents declined $64.3 million to $339.8 million.

Financial position, funding, and capital

  • Total assets were $3.60 billion, down 8.9% from year-end 2012. Net loans were $2.33 billion, up $9.1 million; excluding FDIC-covered loans and loans held for sale, loans grew $119.2 million, led by commercial real estate, commercial business, and consumer lending.
  • Deposits were $2.85 billion, down $300.7 million, or 9.5%. Available-for-sale securities fell $226.0 million to $581.0 million, principally from mortgage-backed security paydowns and sales; proceeds helped fund loans and deposit outflows.
  • Reported obligations included $127.8 million of FHLB advances, $135.8 million of customer reverse-repurchase agreements and short-term borrowings combined, $50.0 million of structured repurchase agreements, and $30.9 million of subordinated debentures.
  • Stockholders’ equity was $375.6 million, or 10.4% of assets. The Bank’s Tier 1 risk-based, total risk-based, and Tier 1 leverage ratios were 15.1%, 16.4%, and 10.0%; management reported the Bank and holding company were well capitalized under then-current standards.
  • Available liquidity included $339.8 million cash, $101.6 million in unpledged securities, a $376.5 million FHLB line, and a $393.4 million Federal Reserve line. The company also reported $102.8 million in loan-origination commitments, $313.3 million in unused lines and unadvanced loans, and $28.6 million in letters of credit.

Credit quality and material changes

  • The allowance for loan losses was $39.5 million, down $1.2 million since year-end. Nine-month net charge-offs were $15.8 million versus $37.0 million in 2012; the provision was $14.6 million versus $36.1 million. The allowance was 2.01% of loans excluding FDIC-covered loans.
  • Non-performing assets excluding FDIC-covered assets were $63.2 million, or 1.75% of assets, down from $72.6 million at year-end. This comprised $21.4 million of non-performing loans and $41.8 million of foreclosed assets. Total foreclosed assets reported on the balance sheet were $55.6 million, including $13.8 million of FDIC-supported assets.
  • Troubled debt restructurings were $48.1 million, or 2.0% of loans, versus $46.8 million at year-end. Of the September balance, $45.6 million was accruing; approximately $1.4 million of restructurings modified in the prior 12 months subsequently defaulted during the nine-month period.
  • FDIC-acquired loan cash-flow estimates materially affect reported results. For the first nine months, related adjustments raised interest income by $26.5 million and reduced non-interest income by $22.0 million, a net $4.5 million pre-tax benefit. Management expected remaining 2013 recognition of $5.7 million in interest income and $5.0 million of negative non-interest income/expense impact. Further estimate changes remain possible.
  • Available-for-sale securities declined in value as market rates rose; accumulated other comprehensive income fell $12.9 million. Management considered the debt-security unrealized losses temporary and recorded no other-than-temporary impairment in the 2013 period.

Outlook, commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • Management did not expect significant overall loan-portfolio growth under then-current lending conditions. It expected 2013 provision expense and net charge-offs to remain below 2012 levels, while noting that credit losses are difficult to predict.
  • Management described improving employment, housing, and commercial real estate conditions in its markets, but highlighted economic, real estate, credit, funding, interest-rate, regulatory, and competitive uncertainties. It also warned FDIC loss-sharing protection is time-limited and subject to servicing requirements; retained acquired loans could require higher reserves after coverage expires.
  • Eleven Missouri banking centers were consolidated on October 25, 2013. Management expected $1.2–$1.5 million of annual pre-tax expense savings and $0.3–$0.6 million of one-time fourth-quarter 2013 costs. The affected premises, with about $1.5 million carrying value, were to be marketed for sale.
  • On October 25, 2013, the Bank purchased 119 loans with $86.1 million par value for $87.9 million, a 2.125% premium. The portfolio was primarily multifamily real estate loans; management estimated a 4.3% average yield, potentially 4.7% if balances remained beyond initial maturities.
  • The company’s $57.9 million SBLF preferred stock carried a 1.0% dividend rate for Q3 2013; the Q4 rate was expected to be approximately 1.0%. The preferred-stock terms constrain dividends and repurchases under specified conditions. A Missouri class-action suit challenging overdraft fees remained pending; management could not estimate the probability or amount of potential loss.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the decline in deposits and the associated use of cash and securities are stabilizing, and how available liquidity compares with funding needs and commitments.
  • Whether loan quality continues to improve, particularly TDRs, non-performing commercial real estate loans, potential problem loans, and foreclosed property valuations.
  • The assumptions behind FDIC-acquired loan cash-flow estimates, future accretion and indemnification-asset amortization, and the effect of loss-sharing expirations and the InterBank clawback.
  • Whether the bank-center consolidation delivers projected savings without greater-than-expected costs, and whether the post-quarter loan purchase meets yield and credit expectations.
  • The ultimate exposure from the overdraft-fee litigation, and the effect of SBLF terms and upcoming Basel III capital requirements on capital distributions.