JACK IN THE BOX INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2016

Jack in the Box Inc. — Form 10-Q Summary

Business context and reporting period

For the 12-week quarter and 40 weeks ended July 3, 2016, Jack in the Box Inc. operated and franchised Jack in the Box quick-service restaurants and Qdoba Mexican Eats fast-casual restaurants. Comparisons are with the periods ended July 5, 2015. At quarter-end, the company had 2,254 Jack in the Box restaurants and 688 Qdoba restaurants; 74% of its combined 2,942-restaurant system was franchised.

Financial performance and liquidity

MetricQuarterYear to date
Revenue$368.9 million, up 2.6%$1,200.9 million, up 1.2%
Operating earnings$55.7 million, up 10.5%; 15.1% margin vs. 14.0%$171.0 million, up 10.0%; 14.2% margin vs. 13.1%
Net earnings$30.2 million vs. $26.8 million$92.1 million vs. $85.7 million
Diluted EPS$0.91 vs. $0.71$2.67 vs. $2.22
Operating cash flowNot presented for the quarter$146.7 million vs. $165.1 million
Capital expendituresNot presented for the quarter$75.0 million vs. $54.8 million

Year-to-date company-operated restaurant margin was 20.3%, down from 20.5%. Jack in the Box margin increased to 21.3% from 20.8%; Qdoba margin declined to 18.4% from 19.8%. Quarter same-store sales were up 1.1% for the Jack in the Box system and 0.6% for Qdoba; year-to-date they were up 0.9% and 1.6%, respectively. Jack in the Box company same-store sales were down 0.2% year-to-date, principally reflecting lower transactions; Qdoba company same-store sales increased 1.8%.

At July 3, cash was $6.6 million, current assets $136.3 million and current liabilities $221.3 million. Total reported debt was approximately $896.3 million, including $26.3 million of current maturities; stockholders’ deficit was $167.5 million. The company had $282.4 million outstanding on its term loan, $595.0 million drawn on its $900 million revolving facility and $25.1 million of letters of credit. It reported compliance with credit covenants. Year-to-date financing included $250 million of share repurchases and $30.5 million of dividends; cash fell by $11.1 million to $6.6 million.

Material changes and unusual items

  • Higher operating earnings and EPS were partly offset by higher net interest expense: $7.6 million for the quarter and $22.7 million year-to-date, compared with $4.5 million and $13.9 million. Management attributed the increase to higher average borrowings and, to a lesser extent, higher rates.
  • Quarter SG&A declined $8.2 million year over year, including a $2.5 million legal settlement recovery and favorable changes in company-owned life-insurance values and incentive compensation. The filing says the $2.5 million recovery arose from an approved Deepwater Horizon settlement-program claim.
  • Impairment and other charges rose to $10.5 million for the quarter from $3.8 million, largely due to $7.7 million of restructuring charges. The plan includes workforce reductions, relocating Qdoba’s corporate support center and consolidating information technology. Management expected $10–$13 million of fiscal 2016 pretax restructuring charges; the filing does not estimate post-2016 charges.
  • Year-to-date discontinued-operation losses were $1.6 million, primarily related to lease obligations at previously closed Qdoba locations. Remaining closure costs were not expected to be material, but sublease estimates are judgmental.

Outlook, risks and contingencies

  • Management expected fiscal 2016 capital expenditures of $100–$110 million, approximately 50–60 Qdoba openings (about 35 company-operated) and approximately 20 Jack in the Box openings, mostly franchised. It aimed to increase Jack in the Box franchise ownership to 90–95% by the end of fiscal Q1 2018, from 82% at quarter-end.
  • Management forecast fiscal 2016 commodity-cost declines of approximately 2–3% for Jack in the Box and 5% for Qdoba, with beef costs expected to fall approximately 15–20% for the year. It expected a fiscal-year tax rate of about 37%.
  • The company expected $66.1–$86.1 million in fourth-quarter pension and postretirement contributions, including accelerated pension contributions intended to reduce Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation variable-rate premiums. It stated that operating cash flow and available financing should cover expected needs for at least the next 12 months.
  • Risks highlighted include restaurant traffic and consumer-spending trends, commodity and labor costs, competition, franchisee performance and execution of the refranchising and cost-reduction plans, supply interruptions, severe weather, substantial indebtedness and litigation.
  • A wage-and-hour lawsuit, Gessele v. Jack in the Box, seeks $45 million in damages. The company had accrued for one claim it considers probable and estimable, disputes other claims and intends to defend the matter; an unfavorable outcome beyond existing accruals could materially affect results or liquidity.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether Jack in the Box’s weak company-store transactions and Qdoba’s margin pressure persist, and how those trends affect restaurant-level profitability.
  • Actual restructuring costs, savings achieved and progress toward the stated franchise mix and restaurant-opening targets.
  • Debt, interest expense and revolver availability after planned pension contributions, capital spending, dividends and repurchases.
  • Actual commodity costs, annual tax rate and pension funding compared with management’s estimates.
  • Developments in the Gessele litigation and estimates for closed-store lease commitments and sublease recoveries.