Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2012

Business context and reporting period

The supplied filing is Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc.’s unaudited Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2012—not a filing in the name of Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. The company reports Beverage Concentrates, Packaged Beverages, and Latin America Beverages segments.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2012Q3 2011Nine months 2012Nine months 2011
Net sales$1.528 billion$1.529 billion$4.511 billion$4.442 billion
Gross profit / margin$902 million / 59.0%$857 million / 56.0%$2.616 billion / 58.0%$2.561 billion / 57.7%
Operating income / margin$308 million / 20.1%$261 million / 17.1%$800 million / 17.7%$753 million / 17.0%
Net income$179 million$154 million$459 million$440 million
Diluted EPS$0.84$0.71$2.15$1.97

For the nine months, operating cash flow was $264 million, down from $580 million; capital expenditures were $143 million and cash used in financing was $442 million. Cash at September 30 was $383 million, versus $701 million at year-end 2011. Management attributed the operating cash-flow decline primarily to $531 million of tax payments related to PepsiCo and Coca-Cola licensing agreements, partly offset by working-capital improvements.

At September 30, total liabilities were $6.671 billion and stockholders’ equity was $2.318 billion. Long-term obligations were $2.766 billion, including $701 million current and $2.065 billion long-term; this includes capital leases. Senior unsecured notes had a $2.710 billion carrying amount. Current assets of $1.396 billion compared with current liabilities of $1.736 billion. The company reported no revolver borrowings and stated it was in compliance with debt covenants.

Material changes versus prior comparable periods

  • Q3 sales were essentially flat, while net income rose 16% and diluted EPS rose 18%. Higher pricing, favorable mix, productivity, and commodity-derivative mark-to-market gains lifted gross margin; volumes remained weak.
  • For the first nine months, sales increased 2%, net income increased 4%, and diluted EPS increased 9%. Gross margin improved 0.3 percentage points.
  • Q3 bottler case sales declined 3%; nine-month bottler case sales declined 1%. Q3 CSD volume fell 2% and non-carbonated beverage volume fell 5%.
  • Nine-month segment sales were $888 million in Beverage Concentrates, $3.314 billion in Packaged Beverages, and $309 million in Latin America Beverages. Segment operating profit was respectively $552 million, $408 million, and $37 million.
  • Cash returned to shareholders included $262 million of share repurchases and $213 million of dividends during the first nine months. The company repurchased 6.3 million shares; $1.110 billion remained under the repurchase authorization.

Outlook, commentary, risks, and unusual items

  • Management expected 2012 capital expenditures, net of disposals, to be approximately 3.75% of net sales and said operating cash flows should cover anticipated obligations for the next 12 months.
  • The company intended to refinance its $450 million of 2.35% notes due December 21, 2012. It also had $250 million of 6.12% notes due May 1, 2013. A new five-year $500 million revolver was established in September 2012, with $493 million available at quarter-end.
  • Q3 gross profit benefited from $15 million of unrealized commodity-derivative gains, compared with $9 million of unrealized losses in Q3 2011. Nine-month results included $15 million of such gains versus $14 million of losses in the prior-year period. These are valuation items and may reverse.
  • Key demand and cost exposures include lower beverage volumes, competition limiting recovery of commodity-cost increases, foreign-exchange movements, and seasonality. Management cited pricing and reduced promotions as contributors to volume declines in several brands.
  • The company accrued approximately $18 million for an age-discrimination jury verdict and appealed the judgment. It reported potential Superfund cleanup exposure in New Jersey; costs had not been determined, and approximately $425,000 had been paid through September 30, 2012. Management did not expect pending legal matters to have a material adverse effect.
  • Management reported no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors. Forward-looking statements are subject to uncertainty; the filing does not provide specific full-year revenue or EPS guidance.

Investor facts to verify

  • Confirm the issuer identity: this document names Dr Pepper Snapple Group, Inc., despite the request identifying Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.
  • Track whether the December 2012 notes were refinanced and the resulting interest cost and liquidity position.
  • Assess whether pricing and mix can offset continued volume weakness, particularly in Packaged Beverages and non-carbonated products.
  • Separate underlying operating trends from commodity-derivative mark-to-market gains and the unusual licensing-related tax payments.
  • Review the $18 million legal accrual, appeal outcome, and any updates to environmental contingencies.