Ramaco Resources, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2021

Ramaco Resources, Inc. — Q3 2021 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2021. Ramaco develops and operates metallurgical coal mines in Appalachia. Unless noted otherwise, financial amounts below are in millions of dollars.

Financial performance

MetricQ3 2021Q3 2020Nine months 2021Nine months 2020
Revenue$76.4$39.5$195.9$117.8
Operating income (loss)$8.8$(7.6)$17.0$(10.7)
Net income (loss)$7.0$(4.8)$21.1$(0.2)
Adjusted EBITDA$17.8$0.6$47.4$19.9
Operating cash flowNot stated for quarterNot stated for quarter$37.8$0.9

Q3 revenue rose 94%, reflecting 50% more tons sold and a 35% increase in revenue per ton (FOB mine) to $105. The company sold 644,000 tons. Q3 cash cost per ton (FOB mine) was $72, versus $69 a year earlier. For the nine-month period, tons sold increased 45% to 1.75 million, revenue per ton rose 13% to $98, and cash cost per ton declined to $68 from $70.

Q3 operating margin was approximately 11.5% and net margin approximately 9.2%, calculated from reported figures. Nine-month operating margin was approximately 8.7% and net margin approximately 10.8%.

Financial position and liquidity

  • At September 30, cash and cash equivalents were $46.7; restricted cash was another $1.0. Working capital was approximately $57.2, based on current assets of $102.5 and current liabilities of $45.3.
  • Operating cash flow for the first nine months was $37.8; capital expenditures were $17.6, primarily for mine development and infrastructure. Working capital movements had a net negative cash impact of $11.7.
  • The company reported $27.1 of unused revolving-credit availability at quarter-end; the revolver had no balance outstanding. The October 29 amendment subsequently increased the facility to $40 million and extended maturity to December 31, 2024.
  • Debt included $34.5 principal of 9% senior notes due 2026, a $4.2 term-loan balance, $2.6 equipment-loan balance, and approximately $0.8 and $1.0 on two additional equipment loans. Financing-lease obligations were $7.9. The company said it was in compliance with credit-agreement covenants at quarter-end.

Material changes and unusual items

  • Results improved sharply versus 2020 as sales volumes and coal pricing recovered. Management attributed the prior-year weakness largely to the effects of COVID-19.
  • In July, Ramaco issued $34.5 million of 9% senior notes, receiving proceeds net of $2.4 million in offering costs. Interest expense increased year over year, in part because of the notes.
  • Nine-month 2021 other income included $5.4 million from the CARES Act Employee Retention Tax Credit. The company did not expect to qualify for the credit in Q4. In 2020, other income included $8.4 million for anticipated PPP-loan forgiveness; full forgiveness was approved in July 2021.
  • Q3 sales to the three largest customers represented approximately 64% of revenue; those customers also represented approximately 63% of receivables at quarter-end.

Outlook, contingencies, and risks

  • Management described improving metallurgical-coal demand and stronger steel prices and said it expected favorable market conditions to continue into the next quarter. It did not provide formal earnings guidance.
  • For the remainder of 2021, performance obligations included approximately 0.5 million tons at an average fixed price of $84 per ton, plus 0.1 million tons under index-based pricing.
  • After quarter-end, Ramaco reported 2022 domestic contracts for 1.67 million tons at an average price of roughly $196 per short ton FOB mine, about 54% of projected 2022 production of 3.1 million tons. Its longer-term plan is to grow production toward approximately 5 million clean tons, subject to markets, permits, and capital deployment.
  • After quarter-end, the company agreed to acquire certain assets for $30 million, with closing expected in mid-November 2021 subject to customary conditions. The board also authorized quarterly dividends beginning in Q1 2022; the amount had not yet been set.
  • A jury awarded Ramaco $7.7 million in compensatory damages and $25.0 million for inconvenience and aggravation in its insurance dispute over the Elk Creek silo failure. The verdict was not final and could face post-trial motions or appeal; no gain was recognized as of September 30, 2021.
  • Other exposures include $4.6 million of contingent take-or-pay transportation commitments and $15.8 million of reclamation bonding requirements supported by surety bonds. Management cited transportation availability, customer payment timing, equipment costs, mine-development delays, and coal-market conditions as potential liquidity risks.
  • Management reported no material change in the risk factors disclosed in its 2020 Form 10-K and no material off-balance-sheet arrangements. Disclosure controls were assessed as effective.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether the strong 2022 contracted price and volume translate into realized revenue, production, and cash flow.
  • Customer concentration, receivables collection, and exposure to changes in metallurgical-coal pricing and export demand.
  • The timing, funding, and expected contribution of the $30 million asset acquisition, alongside mine-development capital needs.
  • The final outcome and collectability of the insurance verdict, which was not recorded as an asset or gain at quarter-end.
  • The eventual dividend amount and sustainability, and the company’s ability to service 9% notes and other debt while funding operations and growth.
  • Adjusted EBITDA and per-ton figures are non-GAAP measures; review the filing’s reconciliations and definitions when comparing them with other companies.