MGE ENERGY INC quarterly report, Q3 FY2011

MGE Energy, Inc. — Q3 2011 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and nine months ended September 30, 2011. This combined filing covers MGE Energy, Inc. and its wholly owned utility subsidiary, Madison Gas and Electric Company (MGE). MGE Energy is a regulated electric and gas utility holding company with nonregulated generation and transmission investments; MGE accounts for most consolidated operations.

Financial performance

Amounts below are MGE Energy consolidated unless noted; dollars in millions except per-share data.

MetricQ3 2011Q3 2010Nine months 2011Nine months 2010
Operating revenue$133.6$127.9$415.4$396.7
Operating income$36.3$34.4$90.4$76.2
Net income$21.0$19.9$51.5$45.7
Diluted EPS$0.91$0.86$2.23$1.98
Dividend per share$0.383$0.375$1.133$1.112
  • Revenue rose 4.4% in Q3 and 4.7% year to date. Operating income increased about 5.8% and 18.6%, respectively; operating margin was approximately 27.2% for Q3 and 21.8% year to date, versus 26.9% and 19.2% in 2010.
  • Management attributed earnings growth to higher electric revenue and lower electric operations and maintenance costs, plus greater nonregulated generation income as Elm Road Unit 2 entered service in January 2011. Year-to-date gas deliveries also benefited from a colder winter. The prior-year comparison included a $2.6 million pretax gain on a property sale to ATC.
  • Cash flow, nine months: Operating cash flow was $106.5 million versus $97.4 million; capital expenditures were $44.9 million versus $43.2 million. Cash increased to $44.9 million from $7.1 million at year-end 2010. Higher earnings and lower taxes paid helped operating cash flow; increased pension contributions partly offset the improvement.
  • Liquidity and debt: Current assets were $173.7 million and current liabilities $52.5 million at September 30. MGE Energy reported $361.6 million of long-term debt and $2.7 million due within one year; short-term debt was zero. Its capitalization was 60.2% common equity and 39.8% long-term debt. MGE Energy had a $40 million revolving facility and MGE a $75 million facility; neither had borrowings/commercial paper outstanding at quarter-end, respectively. Facilities were extended to July 31, 2015.
  • MGE Energy net income includes consolidated operations; MGE reported $21.1 million consolidated net income in Q3 and $51.8 million year to date, of which $15.1 million and $33.8 million, respectively, were attributable to MGE after noncontrolling interests.

Material changes and outlook

  • MGE requested 2012 rate changes effective January 1: a 5.7% electric increase and a 0.4% gas increase, including updated fuel, purchased-power, transmission, Elm Road, and energy-efficiency costs. It also sought deferral of CSAPR-related costs. These were requests, not approved rates in this filing.
  • MGE estimated CSAPR compliance could increase fuel costs by as much as $14.5 million in 2012. It expected to seek rate recovery, but regulatory timing and recovery were uncertain.
  • MGE’s estimated share of Columbia air-emission control investment was approximately $140 million, with planned spending of $5 million for the remainder of 2011, $53 million in 2012, $68 million in 2013, and $13 million in 2014. Management expected recovery through rates. The Columbia owners also faced potential allowance shortages and possible generation reductions before planned controls are completed.
  • EPA and state environmental requirements—including air, water, cooling-water, and greenhouse-gas rules—could raise operating and capital costs. MGE said costs and impacts could not yet be estimated for several proposed or pending rules.
  • MGE and co-owners were defending Columbia Clean Air Act allegations and litigation. Potential penalties or injunctive remedies could have a significant effect; management could not predict the outcome. Other environmental contingencies included Superfund cleanup and pending water-permit determinations.
  • MISO determined that 90 MW at Blount were no longer needed for reliability; MGE expected to reduce capacity and transition the station to natural gas by year-end 2011, earlier than its prior 2013 estimate. Approximately $0.4 million of severance benefits were expected in 2011 and would not be sought for rate recovery.
  • After quarter-end, MF Global-affiliated entities filed for bankruptcy and the CME froze related accounts. MGE had approximately $3.3 million in a customer-segregated margin account at MF Global as of October 31, 2011; the ultimate impact and any regulatory recovery were uncertain.
  • In August 2011, MGE Energy terminated two Iowa wind development agreements. The $2.0 million paid was to be returned; $1.8 million remained outstanding at September 30, with expected receipts split between year-end 2011 and year-end 2012.

Key facts for investors to verify

  • Progress and final approval of the 2012 rate reopener, including recovery of environmental and CSAPR costs.
  • Actual Columbia project spending, allowance availability, schedule, and litigation or permit outcomes.
  • Recoverability of the $3.3 million MF Global margin balance and any associated loss.
  • Operating and financial effects of the Blount transition and continued Elm Road performance.
  • Collection of the outstanding Iowa wind-rights refund and the timing and cost of remaining capital commitments.