MGE ENERGY INC quarterly report, Q2 FY2010

MGE Energy, Inc. — Q2 2010 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and six months ended June 30, 2010. The combined filing reports MGE Energy, Inc. and its wholly owned utility subsidiary, Madison Gas and Electric Company (MGE); MGE’s results include consolidated generation entities and noncontrolling interests. Unless noted, figures below are for MGE Energy consolidated and are in millions of dollars.

Financial performance and position

MetricQ2 2010Q2 2009Six months 2010Six months 2009
Operating revenue$109.1$107.6$268.7$288.7
Operating income$20.1$16.7$41.9$41.0
Net income$11.6$9.9$25.8$24.8
EPS, basic and diluted$0.50$0.43$1.12$1.08
Operating margin18.4%15.5%15.6%14.2%
Net margin10.6%9.2%9.6%8.6%

Six-month operating cash flow was $64.4 million, down from $82.6 million; investing used $26.8 million, including $28.6 million of capital expenditures; financing used $28.6 million. Cash ended June at $13.8 million, versus $4.7 million at year-end 2009. Dividends paid were $17.0 million; declared dividends were $0.737 per share for the half-year.

At June 30, MGE Energy had $54.5 million of short-term debt and $320.1 million of long-term debt, including $1.7 million due within one year; shareholders’ equity was $510.5 million. Current assets were $143.0 million and current liabilities $110.1 million. MGE Energy’s reported capitalization mix was 57.6% equity, 36.3% long-term debt, and 6.1% short-term debt.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Second-quarter earnings rose to $11.6 million from $9.9 million, supported by 7.7% higher electric revenue and warmer weather: cooling degree days increased 38.4%. Elm Road Unit 1 began commercial operation in February, reducing purchased-power expense.
  • Six-month revenue fell 6.9%, principally as gas revenue declined 21.2% amid milder winter weather, lower gas prices, and lower deliveries. Gas utility earnings also lacked the $1.9 million pretax GCIM benefit recorded in 2009.
  • Six-month net income increased modestly, including a one-time $2.6 million pretax gain on land sold to ATC. Higher nonregulated energy earnings reflected Elm Road Unit 1 operations.
  • MGE’s six-month net income attributable to MGE (after noncontrolling interests) decreased to $16.0 million from $17.4 million, despite consolidated MGE net income increasing to $25.9 million from $24.3 million.

Outlook, risks, contingencies, and unusual items

  • MGE requested PSCW approval for 2011 rate increases of 9.4% for electric service and 2.0% for gas service, targeted for January 1, 2011. No earnings guidance was provided.
  • Elm Road Unit 2 was expected to enter commercial operation in Q4 2010, with a contractual in-service date of November 28. The estimated MGE share of capital costs for both Elm Road units was approximately $180 million, excluding capitalized interest.
  • MGE estimated its share of Columbia emissions-reduction project capital expenditures at approximately $140 million, expected to be recoverable through rates. Columbia also faced Clean Air Act allegations and an EPA notice of violation; MGE had recorded no related loss contingency at June 30. Potential penalties, injunctive relief, and additional operating or capital costs remained uncertain.
  • Pending air- and water-quality requirements, including thermal discharge, phosphorus, mercury, coal ash, and greenhouse-gas rules, could require additional spending; management said impacts could not yet be estimated for several initiatives. Management expects to seek rate recovery of compliance costs, but recovery and timing are uncertain.
  • On July 30, 2010, MGE Energy entered a $40 million revolving credit facility and MGE entered a $75 million facility, both expiring in 2013. MGE’s facility remained subject to PSCW approval. No borrowings were outstanding under either facility on that date.
  • MGE Power Elm Road issued $50 million of 5.04% secured notes due 2040 to refinance construction-related short-term borrowing; it was compliant with its 1.25-to-1.00 debt-service coverage covenant at June 30. A 10-year power purchase agreement had a $17.9 million fair-value loss position, deferred through regulatory accounting; it may require $20–$40 million of collateral if MGE’s rating falls below investment grade once purchases begin in 2012.
  • Other exposures include a $1.9 million liability for uncertainty over the tax accounting method for repairs, a $1.5 million accrual for other legal matters, and pension and postretirement obligations. The Blount primary-fuel switch from coal to natural gas occurred in March; management expected coal use to end by 2011, while full-capacity availability could be required until MISO releases 90 MW, currently estimated for 2013.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Track PSCW decisions on the requested 2011 rates, Columbia environmental project, and MGE credit facility approval.
  • Verify Elm Road Unit 2’s completion date, final project costs, and rate treatment of construction and operating costs.
  • Monitor the Columbia permit and Clean Air Act proceedings, including any settlement, remediation, or penalty exposure; no related contingency was accrued at June 30.
  • Assess cash generation against capital requirements, debt maturities, and dividend payments, and note the decline in six-month operating cash flow.
  • Review environmental rulemaking and the potential for capital or operating costs and regulatory recovery, which the filing says are not yet reliably quantifiable in several cases.