Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Nathan's Famous, Inc.
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Unaudited)
Reporting Period: Thirteen and twenty-six weeks ended September 28, 2003 (Fiscal Year 2004).
Business Overview: The Company operates and franchises Nathan's, Miami Subs, and Kenny Rogers Roasters restaurant concepts. It also generates revenue through a Branded Product Program and licensing agreements. As of September 28, 2003, the system included 341 franchised/licensed units, seven company-owned units, and over 3,000 branded product points of sale.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric (in thousands) | 13 Weeks Ended Sept 28, 2003 |
26 Weeks Ended Sept 28, 2003 |
26 Weeks Ended Sept 29, 2002 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Revenues | $8,754 | $17,772 | $19,230 |
| Net Income | $856 | $1,600 | $(11,882) |
| Diluted EPS | $0.15 | $0.29 | $(1.86) |
| Cash from Operations | N/A | $3,419 | $996 |
| Cash & Equivalents (End Period) | $2,515 | $2,515 | $2,241 |
| Total Debt (Current + Long-term) | $1,126 | $1,126 | $1,226 |
| Working Capital | $7,881 | $7,881 | $5,935 |
Note: Prior year 26-week net loss included a $12.3 million cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle (SFAS No. 142) related to goodwill impairment.
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Decline: Total sales from continuing operations decreased 16.2% ($1.2M) for the quarter and 13.6% ($2.0M) for the year-to-date period. This was primarily driven by a 25.8% drop in company-owned restaurant sales due to the reduction of seven company-owned units (sold or franchised).
- Profitability Improvement: Net income turned positive ($856k for the quarter) compared to a net loss of $110k in the prior year quarter. The prior year's 26-week loss was heavily impacted by a non-recurring $12.3M goodwill write-down.
- Cost Reductions: General and administrative expenses decreased by $361k (quarter) and $544k (YTD) due to expense reduction plans, lower personnel costs, and insurance expense reversals.
- Impairment Charges: Impairment charges on notes receivable were $56k for the current period compared to $320k in the prior year. No impairment charges on long-lived assets were recorded in the current period, compared to $421k in the prior year.
- Discontinued Operations: The prior year included results from eight abandoned restaurants (including seven Home Depot locations). No discontinued operations were reported in the current period.
Outlook, Risks, and Management Commentary
- Commodity Costs: Beef costs rose approximately 17.4% year-over-year due to supply shortages (Canadian import ban, Australian drought). Management has increased menu prices by ~2.0% and is seeking a temporary surcharge in the Branded Product Program to offset margin pressure.
- Liquidity: Management believes cash, marketable securities ($7.1M), and operating cash flow are sufficient to fund operations for the next 12 months. The Company maintains an unused $5.0M uncommitted line of credit.
- Capital Allocation: The Company continues a stock repurchase program. Through September 28, 2003, it had repurchased 1.78 million shares for approximately $6.5 million. Future purchases depend on market conditions.
- Legal Contingencies: A slip-and-fall lawsuit was filed against a Miami Subs franchisee. The franchisee's insurer has agreed to indemnify and defend the Company; no material liability is expected.
- Market Risk: The Company is exposed to interest rate fluctuations on $1.07M of variable-rate debt and commodity price volatility. It does not currently use hedging instruments.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Restaurant Count: Verify the impact of the reduction from 16 to 7 company-owned Nathan's units on future comparable sales growth.
- Beef Pricing: Monitor the effectiveness of the 2.0% price increase and potential surcharges in offsetting the 17.4% rise in beef costs.
- Franchise Royalties: Review the trend of "unrealizable" royalties (44 locations deemed unrealizable as of Sept 28, 2003) which impacts revenue recognition.
- Debt Obligations: Confirm the schedule of lease obligations ($23.6M gross) and loan guarantees ($731k) to assess long-term cash commitments.
- Stock Repurchases: Track the remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program and its impact on share count and EPS.