Otter Tail Corp quarterly report, Q2 FY2020

Otter Tail Corporation — Q2 2020 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three and six months ended June 30, 2020; financial statements are unaudited. Otter Tail operates Electric, Manufacturing and Plastics businesses. COVID-19 affected all three segments, most severely Manufacturing.

Financial performance

MetricQ2 2020Q2 2019Six months 2020Six months 2019
Operating revenue$192.8 million$229.2 million$427.5 million$475.2 million
Operating income$27.9 million$26.8 million$67.2 million$66.4 million
Net income$17.0 million$15.4 million$41.2 million$41.8 million
Diluted EPS$0.42$0.39$1.02$1.05
  • Q2 operating margin was approximately 14.5%, compared with 11.7% a year earlier; six-month operating margin was approximately 15.7%, versus 14.0%. Revenue fell 15.9% in Q2 and 10.0% year to date. Q2 net income increased 10.1%; first-half net income declined 1.2%.
  • Segment trends, Q2: Electric operating income rose to $22.6 million from $15.5 million, aided by lower purchased-power and maintenance costs and renewable-project rider revenues. Manufacturing operating income fell to $0.6 million from $5.8 million as sales declined 37.5%. Plastics operating income decreased to $7.1 million from $8.0 million as sales volumes and prices fell.
  • Cash flow, six months: Operating cash flow was $73.9 million, versus $69.3 million. Capital expenditures were $119.8 million, versus $54.0 million; operating cash flow less capital expenditures was negative $45.9 million. Investing cash outflow was $121.0 million. Financing provided $65.4 million, including debt and equity proceeds and short-term borrowing.
  • Balance sheet, June 30: Cash was $39.5 million; total assets $2.39 billion; common equity $822.1 million. Short-term debt was $41.2 million and long-term debt, net, $724.4 million; total debt including current maturities was approximately $765.9 million. Debt was higher than year-end 2019, when total short- and long-term debt including current maturities was $695.8 million.
  • Available credit under the two revolving facilities was $291.1 million, including $7.7 million reserved for letters of credit. The company reported compliance with debt covenants; consolidated interest-bearing debt to capitalization was 0.48 to 1.00. The quarterly dividend increased to $0.37 per share in February; $29.9 million was paid in the first half.

Changes, outlook and risks

  • Management raised 2020 diluted EPS guidance on August 3 to $2.10–$2.30, from the May range of $2.00–$2.25. The stated drivers included stronger Plastics results and a less severe-than-expected Electric impact from COVID-19. Guidance assumes gradual recovery in Electric and Plastics and a slow Manufacturing recovery; management cautioned renewed COVID-19 spread could undermine those assumptions.
  • Manufacturing demand weakened sharply after customer plant shutdowns. BTD reduced headcount by approximately 180 and had temporarily furloughed about 55% of employees; segment backlog was approximately $96 million, compared with $115 million a year earlier. Management estimated COVID-related BTD impacts of $0.08 per share in Q2 and $0.09 per share in the first half.
  • Planned 2020 capital expenditures were $380 million; the five-year 2020–2024 plan totaled approximately $982 million. Merricourt wind and Astoria Station projects were major investments. Merricourt faced contractor force-majeure claims and COVID-related component delays, though completion before year-end was expected. Astoria was expected online in late 2020 or early 2021; 26 workers at its construction site had tested positive for COVID-19.
  • The company expected to issue $40 million of Series 2020B notes in August, subject to customary closing conditions, and anticipated up to a further $28 million of equity issuance under existing programs. It cited possible financing-market, liquidity and borrowing-cost effects if economic conditions weakened.
  • Key exposures include uncertain COVID-19 impacts, utility regulatory decisions and recovery of capital costs, weather and energy-market volatility, customer concentration in Manufacturing and Plastics, raw-material pricing and supply, and environmental requirements. Potential Regional Haze Rule controls at Coyote Station could require material spending or contribute to early retirement; cost recovery would require regulatory approval.
  • Other notable items: a $2.9 million accrued liability for potential MISO transmission return-on-equity refunds remains subject to appeal; OTP’s potential exposure tied to the Coyote Creek mining agreement could be approximately $50 million in specified termination circumstances. A BTD goodwill impairment test found no impairment, with estimated fair value about 20% above carrying value; estimates remain sensitive to the duration and severity of demand weakness.

Investor verification priorities

  • Track whether Manufacturing demand and backlog recover as assumed in the $2.10–$2.30 EPS outlook, and assess the Plastics segment’s volume, pricing and resin-cost trends.
  • Verify completion timing and final costs for Merricourt and Astoria, including the impact of COVID-related delays, contractor claims and workforce disruptions.
  • Review funding needs against the capital program, planned debt and equity issuance, available credit and covenant headroom.
  • Monitor regulatory outcomes affecting rider recovery, Minnesota transmission costs, COVID-related relief requests and the $2.9 million potential MISO refund.
  • Assess possible Coyote Station environmental-control costs, early-retirement risk and the mining-agreement exposure, as well as continued impairment sensitivity at BTD.