RUSH ENTERPRISES INC annual report, FY2015

Rush Enterprises, Inc. — FY 2015 Form 10-K

Business context and reporting period. This annual report covers the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015; quarterly figures are unaudited. Rush operates one reportable segment, a multistate commercial-vehicle dealership network offering new and used vehicle sales, parts and service, leasing and rental, and related products. Aftermarket services contributed 64.1% of gross profit. The financial statements received an unqualified audit opinion from Ernst & Young.

Financial performance

MetricFY 2015FY 2014Change
Revenue$4,979.7 million$4,727.4 million+5.3%
Gross profit / margin$784.9 million / 15.8%$756.0 million / 16.0%Profit +3.8%; margin down 0.2 points
Operating income / margin$121.3 million / 2.4%$141.7 million / 3.0%−14.4%
Net income$66.1 million$80.0 million−17.4%
Diluted EPS$1.61$1.96−17.9%
Net interest expense$13.5 million$11.2 million+20.3%
Cash from operations$227.3 million$88.9 million+$138.3 million

Revenue gains reflected higher vehicle sales, aftermarket services and lease/rental activity. New and used vehicle revenue rose 5.2%; parts and service revenue rose 5.1%; lease and rental revenue rose 12.6%. SG&A increased 7.9% to $619.3 million, outpacing revenue growth. Lower truck sales margins and higher SG&A and interest expense contributed to reduced operating and net income.

Fourth-quarter trend: Q4 2015 revenue was $1,161.8 million versus $1,345.2 million in Q4 2014 (−13.6%). Operating income fell to $19.4 million from $43.0 million, and net income to $9.8 million from $24.6 million. Diluted EPS was $0.24 versus $0.60.

Cash, liquidity and debt

  • Cash and cash equivalents were $64.8 million at year-end, down from $191.5 million; working capital was $79.5 million, down from $152.5 million.
  • Operating cash flow of $227.3 million was more than offset by $436.2 million of investing outflows, including $367.8 million of property and equipment acquisitions and $69.0 million for acquisitions. Financing activities provided $82.4 million. Cash declined by $126.6 million.
  • Year-end balances included $854.8 million of floor-plan notes payable, $647.8 million of long-term debt including current maturities, and $83.8 million of capital-lease obligations. Shareholders’ equity was $844.9 million.
  • The floor-plan facility commitment was $850 million and was scheduled to expire July 11, 2016; the lender could terminate it on 120 days’ notice. The company reported covenant compliance and believed available funds and expected operating cash flows would meet needs for at least 12 months.
  • A $17.5 million secured line had no advances outstanding; $4.8 million remained available after letters of credit. Management estimated that a 100-basis-point LIBOR change could alter annual interest expense by about $9.8 million.

Changes, outlook and risks

  • New vehicle unit sales rose 8.4%; heavy-duty sales increased 6.6% and medium-duty sales 13.3%, while light-duty sales fell 2.3%. U.S. Class 8 market share declined to about 6.7% from 7.1%. Dealership absorption was 115.6%, versus 117.8% in 2014.
  • Management cited the decline in oil prices and drilling activity as a headwind. It expected aftermarket revenue to decline slightly in 2016 as energy-sector activity weakened.
  • For 2016, management cited industry estimates of 222,000 U.S. Class 8 sales (−12.2% versus 2015) and 218,350 Class 4–7 sales (about flat). Rush expected Class 8 market share of 6.0%–7.0%, medium-duty share of 5.0%–5.5%, and approximately 1,900 light-duty and 8,200–8,500 used-vehicle sales. Lease/rental revenue was expected to grow 10%–15%.
  • Expected 2016 ranges included aftermarket gross margin of 36.5%–37.0%, Class 8 truck gross margin of 6.2%–6.6%, medium-duty margin of 5.5%–6.0%, and used-vehicle margin of 8.0%–10.0%. SG&A was expected at 11%–12% of revenue; management also forecast a 38.5%–39.0% effective tax rate. These are management expectations, not guaranteed outcomes.
  • Planned 2016 spending included $220–$250 million for lease/rental vehicles, all expected to be financed; $20–$25 million of recurring capital expenditures; and $18.4 million of remaining contracted dealership construction/remodeling costs.
  • Key risks include dependence on Peterbilt/PACCAR and Navistar, dealership agreement renewals and change-of-control provisions, cyclical truck demand, oil-and-gas customer exposure, variable interest rates, inventory financing availability, used-truck values, environmental liabilities, goodwill impairment, and potential order cancellations. Year-end confirmed-order backlog was $1,223.9 million, down from $1,502.8 million; orders may be canceled.
  • The company completed its SAP dealership-system conversion in Q3 2015 and reported its first Momentum Fuel Technologies natural-gas fuel-system sale in November. Acquisitions included dealerships in Georgia and Illinois, a Las Vegas dealership, and a Dallas used-truck facility. No goodwill impairment was recorded in 2015.

Important facts for investors to verify

  • Reconcile floor-plan debt disclosures: the balance sheet reports $854.8 million total; the filing separately states $628.2 million outstanding under the primary facility in one passage and $792.4 million in another. Confirm the facility-level balance and classification.
  • Assess the near-term refinancing/renewal of the floor-plan facility, which was due to expire in July 2016, and its sensitivity to interest rates and inventory needs.
  • Track subsequent truck orders, cancellations, backlog conversion, used-truck pricing, and oil-and-gas exposure against management’s 2016 assumptions.
  • Monitor cash conversion and leverage alongside planned lease-fleet investment and dealership capital spending.
  • Review franchise renewals and ownership provisions: several agreements had terms expiring as early as 2016, and Peterbilt agreements include specified control thresholds.