Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. quarterly report, Q1 FY2023

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. — Q1 2023 Form 10-Q

Reporting period: Three months ended March 31, 2023; comparative period is Q1 2022. Skyward Specialty is a U.S. specialty property and casualty insurer serving niche markets through eight underwriting divisions. Its insurance subsidiaries held A.M. Best financial strength ratings of A-.

Financial and operating results

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2022 / comparison
Gross written premiums$360.5 million$282.6 million; up 27.5%
Net written premiums$202.1 million$135.4 million; up 49.3%
Net earned premiums$182.8 million$141.7 million; up 29.0%
Total revenue$189.9 million$152.7 million
Underwriting income$17.8 million$11.4 million
Net income$15.6 million$16.3 million
Net income attributable to common shareholders$14.3 million$8.5 million
Basic / diluted EPS$0.43 / $0.42$0.52 / $0.50
Operating cash flow$107.2 million$45.9 million

Underwriting margins: Loss and LAE ratio was 62.8% versus 63.5%; expense ratio was 27.4% versus 28.4%; combined ratio was 90.2% versus 91.9%. The adjusted combined ratio was 90.3% versus 91.9%. A combined ratio below 100% indicates underwriting profit.

Investment results: Net investment income fell to $4.6 million from $15.1 million, mainly reflecting losses in the opportunistic fixed-income portfolio, including negative equity-method investment income. Net investment gains were $1.0 million, compared with a $4.4 million loss a year earlier. Management reported no credit impairment in available-for-sale fixed maturities and attributed unrealized losses primarily to interest-rate changes.

Balance sheet, debt and liquidity

  • At March 31, 2023, total assets were $2.62 billion, total liabilities $2.11 billion and stockholders’ equity $507.1 million.
  • Total investments were $1.29 billion; cash and cash equivalents were $41.2 million, with another $64.0 million in restricted cash. Cash and restricted cash combined were $105.2 million at quarter-end.
  • Loss and LAE reserves were $1.17 billion. Net reinsurance recoverables were $570.5 million; 98.5% of net recoverables by reinsurer rating were with reinsurers rated A- or above.
  • Debt included $50.0 million drawn on a new revolving facility and $78.6 million of subordinated debt. The reported debt-to-capital ratio was 20.2%, versus 23.4% at year-end 2022. The company said it was compliant with facility covenants.
  • Operating cash flow was more than offset by $193.4 million of investing outflows, largely associated with investment purchases. IPO proceeds contributed to $66.5 million of financing inflows.

Material changes and management commentary

  • Premium growth was driven by new business, rate increases and new products or units. Continuing-business gross written premiums rose 28.7%; notable growth included Transactional E&S, Professional Lines, Global Property & Agriculture and Surety.
  • Net retention on a written basis increased to 56.1% from 47.9%. The filing describes reinsurance as protection against severity events and earnings volatility.
  • Catastrophe losses from wind and hail, including tornadoes, were $3.2 million, adding 1.8 points to the loss ratio. The non-catastrophe loss ratio improved 2.4 points, which management attributed mainly to exited-business run-off and changes in business mix.
  • The company completed its IPO in January 2023, receiving approximately $62.4 million in net proceeds; selling stockholders also sold shares. Preferred shares converted into common shares at the IPO closing. Shares outstanding were 37,658,111 as of May 4, 2023.
  • Effective January 1, 2023, the company adopted the expected-credit-loss accounting standard, recording a $2.3 million increase in accumulated deficit, net of tax, and elected fair-value accounting for mortgage loans.
  • Management gave no specific financial guidance in the supplied filing text. It said premium receipts and investment income were expected to cover cash outflows in the foreseeable future; interim results may not indicate full-year performance.

Risks, contingencies and unusual items

  • Investment performance is exposed to market movements, and the portfolio included $51.6 million of gross unrealized losses on fixed maturities at quarter-end. Management said it did not intend, nor expect to be required, to sell the securities before recovery or maturity.
  • The company remains responsible for ceded claims if reinsurers fail to perform. Reinsurance recoverables are material; funded trust accounts providing additional security had a market value of approximately $127.1 million, but were not recorded as balance-sheet assets.
  • Mortgage loans and opportunistic investments include affiliated-party relationships: Arena manages investment accounts and is affiliated with Westaim, the company’s largest shareholder. The quarter included negative equity-method investment income of $4.7 million.
  • The filing describes ordinary-course litigation and buyer indemnifications, but management did not expect these matters to have a material adverse effect based on information available. It reported no material quarterly changes to risk factors or market-risk disclosures.
  • Debt-term disclosure to reconcile: The notes state the revolving facility rate is SOFR plus a margin of 150–190 basis points and a 10-basis-point credit spread adjustment. The MD&A text instead prints a margin and adjustment of zero basis points. The filing text does not provide a clear, consistent value.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Confirm the revolving facility’s actual interest-rate margin and all covenant thresholds in the executed credit agreement, given the inconsistent MD&A disclosure.
  • Assess whether premium growth and improved combined ratios persist, particularly after catastrophe losses and as business mix changes.
  • Review the drivers and valuation of opportunistic and affiliated investments, including the effect of equity-method losses on recurring investment income.
  • Monitor reserve adequacy, reinsurance recoverability and collateral arrangements, as well as exposure to interest-rate changes and unrealized investment losses.
  • Consider share-count dilution and ongoing stock-based compensation following the IPO; Q1 included substantial equity awards and $1.9 million of stock-based compensation expense.