Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc. quarterly report, Q3 FY2016

Business context and reporting period

The supplied filing is Cara Therapeutics, Inc.’s unaudited Form 10-Q for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2016—not a Tvardi Therapeutics filing. The company is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical developer of CR845 for pain and pruritus and had no products for sale.

Financial results and position

Amounts below are in millions of dollars except per-share data. Revenue was $0 in Q3 2016, versus $2.44 million in Q3 2015; nine-month revenue was $0.086 million versus $3.803 million. The 2016 nine-month revenue was clinical compound sales; prior-year revenue primarily reflected license, milestone and collaboration revenue.

  • Losses: Q3 net loss was $11.542 million ($0.42 per share), compared with $4.787 million ($0.19) in Q3 2015. Nine-month net loss was $35.308 million ($1.29 per share), versus $15.160 million ($0.64).
  • Expenses: Q3 R&D expense rose 73% to $9.671 million and G&A rose 13% to $2.102 million. Nine-month R&D rose 112% to $28.976 million and G&A rose 28% to $7.195 million, reflecting clinical development, manufacturing, toxicology and personnel costs.
  • Cash and liquidity: At September 30, cash and cash equivalents were $5.426 million and marketable securities were $65.994 million, totaling $71.420 million unrestricted. Current assets were $77.018 million and current liabilities $6.825 million. Management expected available cash and securities to fund planned operations through the end of Q1 2018, excluding potential collaboration milestones.
  • Cash flow: Nine-month operating cash use was $34.193 million, compared with $17.310 million in 2015. Investing activities provided $24.478 million, largely from securities maturities and sales; financing provided $0.040 million. Cash and cash equivalents declined $9.675 million.
  • Debt and obligations: The balance sheet reports no debt balance. Operating lease commitments totaled $9.241 million, including $8.268 million for the Stamford lease. Current liabilities included a $0.998 million accrued liability for the vacated Shelton facility.

Material changes versus the prior comparable period

  • Revenue declined sharply because significant Maruishi and CKD license, milestone and deferred collaboration revenue recognized in 2015 did not recur.
  • Higher clinical-development spending increased operating losses and cash used in operations. Nine-month R&D spending more than doubled year over year.
  • Cash and marketable securities fell from $106.741 million at December 31, 2015 to $71.420 million at September 30, 2016. The comparison includes the prior-year follow-on offering proceeds.
  • Common shares outstanding increased modestly, from 27.255 million at year-end 2015 to 27.283 million at September 30, 2016.

Outlook, commentary, risks and unusual items

  • Management expected R&D expense to remain near its current level through 2018 and anticipated higher G&A expense to support development and possible commercialization. The company stated that additional capital would be needed to meet all development objectives; financing may be unavailable or dilutive.
  • The adaptive Phase 3 IV CR845 postoperative-pain trial was placed on FDA clinical hold in February 2016 after a protocol stopping rule for elevated serum sodium was triggered. The FDA removed the hold in April; the trial resumed in June with a revised two-dose design. An interim analysis was expected in the first half of 2017.
  • Top-line results were expected in 2017 for the Oral CR845 osteoarthritis Phase 2b trial (first half), the uremic-pruritus Phase 2/3 trial’s Part A (first quarter), and an oral-CR845 hemodialysis pharmacokinetic safety trial (first quarter). These are forward-looking expectations, not reported outcomes.
  • Relocation from Shelton to Stamford resulted in $0.899 million of accelerated leasehold-improvement amortization and a $1.312 million cease-use liability accrual in 2016. The Shelton lease runs through October 2017; the Stamford lease runs through October 2023.
  • Key risks include clinical-trial safety, efficacy and timing; regulatory approval; commercialization and reimbursement; competition; dependence on collaborators and third parties; intellectual-property protection; and the need for additional financing. The filing reported no material legal proceedings, no material changes to previously disclosed risk factors, and no off-balance-sheet arrangements.

Important facts for investors to verify

  1. Confirm the issuer identity: the filing is for Cara Therapeutics, Inc., despite the Tvardi Therapeutics request metadata.
  2. Track actual cash burn and whether the stated runway through Q1 2018 remains achievable, given planned trial costs and the company’s stated need for additional capital.
  3. Verify clinical-trial progress, safety findings and reported data against the stated 2017 expectations, especially for IV CR845 and Oral CR845.
  4. Review the conditions and timing for potential Maruishi and CKD milestones; the filing states receipt is uncertain and excludes them from its runway estimate.
  5. Monitor the Shelton lease accrual and remaining lease commitments, as well as any subsequent financing or share dilution.