Business Context and Reporting Period
Company: Texas Roadhouse, Inc.
Filing Type: Form 10-Q (Quarterly Report)
Period Ended: June 24, 2008 (13 and 26 weeks)
Business Overview: A growing, moderately priced, full-service restaurant chain operating 300 locations (222 company-owned, 78 franchise) across 44 states as of the period end. The company focuses on high-quality, affordable meals with a strategy centered on expanding its restaurant base and maintaining profitability.
Key Financial Metrics
| Metric (in thousands) | 13 Weeks Ended June 24, 2008 |
26 Weeks Ended June 24, 2008 |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $217,311 | $428,524 |
| Net Income | $10,472 | $23,385 |
| Diluted EPS | $0.14 | $0.31 |
| Operating Cash Flow | N/A | $42,732 |
| Capital Expenditures | N/A | ($52,573) |
| Long-Term Debt (excl. current) | $93,592 | $93,592 |
| Cash and Equivalents | $7,071 | $7,071 |
Margins (as % of Restaurant Sales):
- Cost of Sales: 34.8% (Q2 2008) / 35.0% (YTD 2008)
- Labor: 28.8% (Q2 2008) / 28.4% (YTD 2008)
- Operating Income Margin: 7.8% (Q2 2008) / 8.8% (YTD 2008)
Material Changes vs. Prior Period
- Revenue Growth: Total revenue increased 20.1% in Q2 2008 and 19.3% YTD compared to the prior year periods. This growth was driven primarily by the opening of 16 new company restaurants and the acquisition of three franchise restaurants in Q2 2008.
- Comparable Sales: Comparable restaurant sales declined slightly, down 0.3% in Q2 2008 and 0.7% YTD, offsetting the growth from new units.
- Cost Pressures: Labor costs as a percentage of sales increased to 28.8% in Q2 2008 (from 28.2% in Q2 2007) due to higher wage rates and new restaurant ramp-up costs. Cost of sales remained relatively stable but faced pressure from commodity inflation (wheat, oil, dairy), partially mitigated by menu price increases of approximately 1.5% in Q2 2008.
- Acquisitions: The company acquired three franchise restaurants in Q2 2008 for approximately $8.7 million. Subsequent to the period end, nine additional franchise restaurants were acquired for $10.6 million.
- Stock Repurchases: The company repurchased 1,624,200 shares for approximately $15.1 million during the first 26 weeks of 2008.
Guidance, Outlook, and Risks
- Capital Expenditures: Management expects fiscal 2008 capital expenditures to range between $100.0 million and $110.0 million, excluding franchise acquisitions.
- Outlook: The company plans to continue expanding its restaurant base, focusing on mid-sized markets. It anticipates continued inflationary pressure on labor and commodities, which may necessitate further menu price adjustments.
- Legal Proceedings: The company is a defendant in a consolidated class action lawsuit (In re: Texas Roadhouse FACTA Litigation) alleging violations of the Fair and Accurate Credit Transactions Act regarding credit card receipts. Management believes it has meritorious defenses and does not expect a material adverse effect.
- Market Risks: Significant exposure to commodity price volatility (beef, produce, cheese) and interest rate fluctuations on variable-rate debt. The company currently has fixed-price contracts for 100% of its beef volume for 2008.
- Liquidity: The company maintains a $250.0 million revolving credit facility with $155.8 million available as of June 24, 2008. It remains in compliance with all financial covenants.
Investor Verification Checklist
- Comparable Sales Trend: Verify the sustainability of the negative comparable restaurant sales trend (-0.3% Q2, -0.7% YTD) amidst inflationary pressures.
- Commodity Hedging: Confirm the duration and terms of the fixed-price beef contracts covering 100% of volume for 2008 and exposure to other volatile commodities (wheat, oil).
- Legal Exposure: Monitor the status of the FACTA class action litigation and potential settlement costs or statutory damages.
- Acquisition Integration: Assess the accretive impact of the three Q2 2008 acquisitions and the nine subsequent acquisitions on future earnings per share.
- Debt Covenants: Review the company's leverage ratio and fixed charge coverage ratio to ensure continued compliance with the $250M credit facility covenants.