AMBEV S.A. current report, Q2 FY2016

AMBEV S.A. Form 6-K Summary

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: AMBEV S.A.
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Report of Foreign Private Issuer)
Reporting Period: Six months ended June 30, 2016 (Interim)
Currency: Brazilian Reais (R$) in thousands
Business Overview: Ambev produces and sells beer, soft drinks, and other beverages in Brazil and the Americas. The company is a subsidiary of Anheuser-Busch InBev (AB InBev). During the period, Ambev entered into an agreement to transfer its businesses in Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador to AB InBev in exchange for SABMiller's Panamanian business, pending regulatory approval.

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (R$ Thousands) Six Months Ended
June 30, 2016
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2015
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2016
Net Sales 21,942,302 20,678,795 10,377,204
Gross Profit 14,087,381 13,290,337 6,482,599
Income from Operations (EBIT) 7,692,831 7,514,095 3,298,599
Net Income 5,066,514 5,553,684 2,172,521
Net Income (Attributable to Ambev) 4,813,019 5,319,319 2,046,154
Normalized EBITDA 9,468,967 9,196,255 4,204,622
Cash Flow from Operating Activities (132,941) 7,104,306 2,081,877
Cash and Cash Equivalents (End of Period) 5,729,655 6,707,558 5,729,655
Total Debt (Interest-bearing loans) 3,633,324 3,599,476 3,633,324

Note: Operating cash flow for the six-month period was negative primarily due to a significant increase in income tax payments (R$4.8 billion) compared to the prior year.

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Net sales increased 6.1% year-over-year to R$21.9 billion, driven by volume growth and price increases, particularly in Brazil and Canada.
  • Profitability Decline: Net income attributable to Ambev shareholders decreased 9.5% to R$4.8 billion. This was primarily due to a significant increase in net finance costs (R$2.1 billion vs. R$0.8 billion in 2015) driven by foreign exchange losses and higher interest rates, partially offset by lower exceptional items.
  • Exceptional Items: Exceptional items improved significantly, decreasing from a loss of R$246.7 million in 2015 to R$28.5 million in 2016. The 2015 figure included a large administrative lawsuit charge.
  • Balance Sheet: Total assets decreased 15% to R$76.7 billion, largely due to foreign exchange translation losses on assets held in foreign subsidiaries. Cash and cash equivalents dropped 58% to R$5.7 billion, reflecting tax payments and investing activities.
  • Segment Performance:
    • Latin America North (Brazil/CAC): Net sales up 3.6%; Net income down 19.6% due to finance costs.
    • Canada: Net sales up 30.1%; Net income up 31.9%.
    • Latin America South: Net sales flat; Net income up 5.6%.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

  • Strategic Transactions: The company is awaiting regulatory approval for the swap of its Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador operations for SABMiller's Panama business. This transaction is conditional on the completion of the AB InBev/SABMiller merger.
  • Acquisitions: In early 2016, Ambev acquired rights to spirit-based beers and ciders from Mark Anthony Group (R$1.4 billion), Archibald Microbrasserie in Canada, and Sucos do Bem in Brazil.
  • Financial Risks:
    • Foreign Exchange: Significant exposure to currency fluctuations, particularly the Brazilian Real, which impacted finance costs and translation reserves (loss of R$3.9 billion in OCI).
    • Interest Rates: High interest rate environment in Brazil increased finance costs.
  • Contingencies:
    • Tax Litigation: Significant potential losses exist regarding Brazilian federal taxes, including a special goodwill reserve assessment (estimated R$7.4 billion possible loss) and disallowance of taxes paid abroad (estimated R$2.5 billion possible loss). No provisions have been recorded for these as the likelihood is classified as "possible" rather than "probable."
    • Legal: Ongoing labor and civil lawsuits, though provisions are maintained for probable losses.
  • Dividends: The company paid R$2.04 billion in dividends and R$2.04 billion in interest on shareholder's equity during the six-month period.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Cash Flow Volatility: Verify the sustainability of operating cash flows given the negative six-month result driven by tax payments and the heavy reliance on financing activities.
  • FX Sensitivity: Assess the impact of continued Brazilian Real depreciation on future finance costs and consolidated earnings.
  • Tax Contingencies: Review the status of the R$7.4 billion goodwill tax assessment and R$2.5 billion foreign tax disallowance to understand potential future liabilities.
  • Transaction Closing: Monitor the regulatory approval status of the asset swap with AB InBev (Colombia/Peru/Ecuador for Panama) and its impact on future revenue streams.
  • Debt Structure: Analyze the maturity profile of the R$3.6 billion debt and the impact of rising interest rates on refinancing costs.