AMBEV S.A. current report, Q2 FY2014

Business Context and Reporting Period

Company: AMBEV S.A.
Filing Type: Form 6-K (Interim Consolidated Financial Statements)
Reporting Period: Six months ended June 30, 2014
Currency: Brazilian Reais (R$) in thousands
Business Overview: Ambev produces and sells beer, soft drinks, and other beverages in Brazil and the Americas. The company is a subsidiary of Anheuser-Busch InBev N.V/S.A. (ABI). Key events in the period included the merger of Old Ambev and Ambev Brasil Bebidas S.A. into Ambev S.A. and the acquisition of ABI's equity interest in Cerbuco Brewing Inc. (Cuba operations).

Key Financial Metrics

Metric (Six Months Ended) June 30, 2014 June 30, 2013
Net Sales R$ 17,222,505 R$ 15,402,220
Gross Profit R$ 11,173,525 R$ 10,037,417
Income from Operations (EBIT) R$ 6,276,887 R$ 5,812,440
Net Income R$ 4,812,407 R$ 4,284,574
Net Income Attributable to Ambev R$ 4,713,521 R$ 2,589,708
Basic EPS (Common) R$ 0.30 R$ 0.27
Cash Flow from Operating Activities R$ 4,189,581 R$ 2,564,050
Normalized EBITDA R$ 7,378,350 R$ 6,862,691
Total Assets (June 30, 2014) R$ 62,989,043 R$ 69,085,180 (Dec 31, 2013)
Total Liabilities (June 30, 2014) R$ 21,040,440 R$ 24,860,485 (Dec 31, 2013)
Interest-Bearing Debt (Total) R$ 2,656,733 R$ 2,905,845 (Dec 31, 2013)

Material Changes vs. Prior Period

  • Revenue Growth: Net sales increased 11.8% year-over-year (YoY) to R$ 17.2 billion, driven by volume growth across all segments (Total volume: 82.3 million hectoliters vs. 77.5 million in 2013).
  • Profitability: Net income attributable to Ambev shareholders surged 82% YoY to R$ 4.7 billion. This significant increase is largely due to a reduction in non-controlling interests' share of income compared to the prior year.
  • Operating Margins: Normalized EBITDA margin decreased slightly to 42.8% from 44.6% in the prior period, primarily due to higher sales and marketing expenses and cost of sales pressures.
  • Balance Sheet: Total assets decreased by approximately R$ 6.1 billion from year-end 2013, primarily due to a significant reduction in cash and cash equivalents (from R$ 11.5 billion to R$ 6.3 billion) and a decrease in trade payables.
  • Debt Reduction: Total interest-bearing loans and borrowings decreased by approximately R$ 249 million compared to December 31, 2013.

Guidance, Outlook, Risks, and Unusual Items

  • Dividends and Distributions: The Board approved dividends and interest on shareholders' equity (IOC) for the 2014 fiscal year totaling R$ 0.16 per share (R$ 0.06 dividend + R$ 0.10 IOC), payable in August 2014. Significant distributions were also made in the first half of 2014 related to 2013 results.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: The company acquired 100% of Cerbuco Brewing Inc. (Cuba) and entered a licensing agreement for Corona and related brands in Canada, recording R$ 150.9 million in intangible assets.
  • Financial Risks:
    • Foreign Currency: The company maintains a hedging policy to mitigate operational FX risk. As of June 30, 2014, the open position for major currencies (USD, EUR) was fully hedged.
    • Commodity Prices: Significant exposure to aluminum, sugar, wheat, and corn is managed via derivative instruments (futures and swaps).
    • Interest Rates: The company uses swaps to manage the mix of fixed and floating rate debt.
  • Contingencies: The company faces significant tax contingencies (PIS, COFINS, ICMS, IPI, Income Tax) with estimated possible losses of R$ 17.9 billion, though management considers the likelihood of loss for most as "possible" rather than "probable," hence not fully provisioned.
  • Unusual Items: Special items reduced operating income by R$ 13.7 million for the six-month period. The effective tax rate was 14.37%, lower than the nominal rate, due to government grants and deductible interest on shareholders' equity.

Investor Verification Checklist

  • Non-Controlling Interests Impact: Verify the composition of the R$ 98.9 million net income attributable to non-controlling interests in 2014 versus R$ 1.7 billion in 2013 to understand the driver of the reported net income growth.
  • Cash Position: Confirm the utilization of the R$ 5.1 billion decrease in cash and cash equivalents, largely attributed to dividend payments (R$ 6.0 billion) and capital expenditures (R$ 2.0 billion).
  • Tax Contingencies: Review the R$ 17.9 billion in tax contingencies and the company's assessment of "probable" vs. "possible" loss to gauge potential future liabilities.
  • Derivative Exposure: Assess the sensitivity analysis provided for foreign currency and commodity price fluctuations, noting the potential equity impact in adverse scenarios (e.g., R$ 1.6 billion for FX, R$ 0.5 billion for commodities).
  • Capital Structure: Monitor the R$ 2.66 billion total debt level and the company's compliance with debt covenants, particularly regarding the Bond 2017.