Ambow Education Holding Ltd. annual report, Q4 FY2015

Ambow Education Holding Ltd. — FY2015 Form 20-F

Reporting period: Fiscal year ended December 31, 2015. This is an annual report, not a standalone fourth-quarter filing; quarterly results are not clearly provided in the filing text. Unless otherwise noted, financial figures below are in RMB millions (the filing presents most amounts in thousands). U.S. dollar equivalents are included where useful.

Business context

Ambow provides education and career-enhancement services in China through three segments: tutoring, K-12 schools and career enhancement. At year-end, it reported 49 centers and schools across 17 provinces and autonomous regions. Operations rely substantially on PRC variable interest entities (VIEs) and contractual arrangements. The ADSs had been delisted from the NYSE in October 2014 and were quoted on the OTC Markets.

Financial performance and position

MetricFY2014FY2015Change or context
Revenue from continuing operationsRMB 412.0RMB 395.7 (US$61.1)Down 4.0%
Gross profit / marginRMB 138.0 / 33.5%RMB 149.8 / 37.8%Margin improved with lower costs and expense control
Operating lossRMB 755.8RMB 356.0Loss narrowed; operating expenses fell 43.4%
Loss from continuing operationsRMB 1,024.8RMB 276.4 (US$42.7)Improved, but continuing operations remained loss-making
Net income (loss)RMB (1,082.6)RMB 64.4 (US$9.9)2015 included RMB 340.8 of net income from discontinued operations
Net cash used in operating activitiesRMB 160.4RMB 40.1 (US$6.2)Cash use declined but remained negative
Cash and cash equivalents at year-endRMB 180.3RMB 246.3 (US$38.0)Includes RMB 125.9 held by VIEs

Segment trends: Tutoring revenue fell to RMB 54.9 million from RMB 68.2 million, attributed to lower enrollments and a reduced sales force. K-12 revenue rose to RMB 186.7 million from RMB 168.2 million; management attributed the increase primarily to the timing of school days and described the business as stable over the longer term. Career-enhancement revenue declined to RMB 154.1 million from RMB 175.6 million, also attributed to lower enrollments and a reduced sales force. Gross margins improved in all three segments.

Balance sheet and liquidity: At December 31, 2015, current assets were RMB 682.6 million and current liabilities RMB 839.4 million, a working-capital deficit of about RMB 156.8 million. Total liabilities were RMB 865.1 million and total equity RMB 142.8 million. Short-term borrowings were RMB 2.3 million; the filing says this amount remained overdue at issuance. Convertible loans had been converted into shares, and none remained on the year-end balance sheet. Short-term investments totaled RMB 255.4 million. Operating lease commitments totaled RMB 115.9 million, including RMB 17.4 million due within one year.

Material changes and unusual items

  • Revenue continued to contract, following a 23.2% decline in 2014. Management attributed the earlier decline chiefly to lower enrollment and negative publicity during the period of provisional liquidation supervision.
  • Ambow completed the sale of Jinghan Group in April 2015 for RMB 500 million. The disposal generated a reported gain of RMB 343.9 million and was the main driver of 2015 discontinued-operations income. The filing also reports a substantial allowance against receivables associated with Jinghan.
  • Ambow regained control of four previously deconsolidated entities in 2015 and reconsolidated them, although their operations had ceased. Reconsolidation generated reported income of RMB 14.1 million.
  • Operating expenses included RMB 162.4 million of impairment losses in 2015. Notable property-related charges included RMB 38.8 million for a capital lease and RMB 109.2 million for a prepaid long-term lease related to the Beijing Career Enhancement facility, which was unavailable for use.
  • A RMB 119.0 million income-tax benefit materially reduced the reported continuing-operations loss; the filing attributes it to tax effects related to the Jinghan disposal, impairment-related deferred tax liabilities and assumed use of tax-loss carryforwards.
  • CEIHL and Baring converted loan principal into shares in March 2015. The company also completed a 1-for-30 reverse stock split and created Class C shares carrying ten votes per share; 4.7 million Class A shares were converted to Class C shares in November.

Outlook, risks and controls

Management said available cash, investments and expected cash flows should cover anticipated needs for at least 12 months after issuance of the financial statements. It also said additional capital would be needed for its longer-term plan and gave no assurance it could raise funds if required. Plans emphasized cost reduction, operating efficiency, shared finance services and ERP implementation. No specific revenue or earnings guidance was provided. Management warned that negative publicity could continue to affect business in the near term.

Key risks include continued enrollment weakness and competition; reliance on teachers and regulated school enrollment and fees; PRC regulatory uncertainty around education, foreign investment and the VIE structure; restrictions on transferring cash out of China; property-title and lease defects; and possible additional tax liabilities. The draft PRC Foreign Investment Law could affect VIE arrangements if enacted. Software product sales had been suspended since 2012, with no distributor software sales in 2013–2015.

Skillsoft asserted consolidated claims of US$7.3 million; the matter was stayed for mediation, and management said the outcome could not yet be assessed. A tax challenge concerning Ambow Online’s preferential treatment was unsuccessful on appeal; the filing reports RMB 12.0 million of tax payable recognized for the contingency. A separate Changsha school dispute had been dismissed at first instance but was on appeal. The U.S. securities class action was settled with payment by the company’s insurer.

The independent auditor issued an unqualified opinion on the consolidated financial statements and did not attest to internal-control effectiveness. Management concluded disclosure controls were ineffective at year-end, while separately concluding internal control over financial reporting was effective after remediation measures. This distinction, and the remediation status, merits review.

Most important facts for investors to verify

  • Whether recurring operations can return to growth and positive operating cash flow, given declining revenue and continuing losses.
  • How much of 2015 net income depended on the Jinghan disposal, tax benefit and reconsolidation, rather than ongoing operations.
  • Liquidity quality and accessibility: the current-liability deficit, overdue RMB 2.3 million borrowing, investment maturities and cash held in VIEs.
  • Progress and potential consequences of the Skillsoft and other legal matters, tax disputes, and unresolved property-title or facility issues.
  • Whether internal-control remediation is sustained, and how the VIE structure, Class C voting rights and OTC trading affect investor protections and liquidity.